The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Jonathan Pearce comes into this fight with a solid record of 14-4, riding a wave of victories in his recent UFC matches. He's shown his versatility, bagging wins through decisions, knockouts, and submissions. However, there's a notable KO/TKO loss to Joe Lauzon, a factor that could hint at vulnerability under heavy pressure. Pearce's stats boast impressive numbers in takedowns, striking accuracy, and significant strikes landed, painting the picture of a well-rounded fighter.
Joanderson Brito, on the flip side, holds a 15-3 record with a similar blend of victory methods. His UFC journey reflects a knack for finishing fights, evident from his recent KO/TKO and submission wins. Brito's stats reveal a high knockdown rate per fight and substantial takedown accuracy. However, his striking defense percentages are lower than Pearce's, suggesting potential openings for a skilled striker.
Recent Performance & Trends: Pearce has an unbroken streak in recent fights, demonstrating adaptability and resilience. Brito, with a single loss against Bill Algeo, has bounced back with decisive victories. Both have maintained momentum, but Pearce's broader range of victory methods could be pivotal.
Statistical Insight: Pearce excels in takedowns and has a higher striking defense, which might be crucial against Brito's aggressive striking and takedown approach. Brito's higher knockdown rate per fight indicates a powerful striking ability that Pearce must be wary of.
Vulnerability Analysis: Pearce's past KO/TKO loss signals a potential weakness against a heavy hitter like Brito. Brito's lower defense stats might leave him open to Pearce's varied attack if he's not cautious.
WolfTicketsAI's Confidence: The AI's prediction favoring Brito, with a confidence score of 4, likely factors in his recent decisive wins and high finish rate.
The matchup is a clash of Pearce's tactical versatility against Brito's finishing prowess. While Pearce's diverse skill set and recent success story are impressive, Brito's knockout capability and aggressive style might edge him out in this featherweight bout. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of a Brito win resonates with the Brazilian's recent form and striking power, making it a plausible outcome in this high-octane encounter.
| Stat | Jonathan Pearce | Joanderson Brito | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 31 | 28 | 32 | |
| Height | 72" | 68" | 69" | |
| Reach | 71" | 72" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 77.78% | 83.33% | 79.25% | |
| Wins | 14 | 16 | ||
| Losses | 5 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 64.22% | 52.60% | 49.73% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 54.32% | 49.38% | 43.45% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.080 | 4.414 | 5.283 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.923 | 3.880 | 3.670 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.728 | 0.355 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 52.17% | -10.50% | 3.63% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 18.50% | 2.50% | 2.23% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 60.33% | -9.50% | 6.87% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 18.83% | 4.75% | 4.84% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 46.53% | 85.71% | 83.95% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 83.39% | 91.25% | 106.70% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 57.52% | 51.05% | 48.28% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 1.022 | 0.728 | 0.668 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 5.877 | 3.638 | 1.481 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 10.222 | 5.093 | 4.160 | |
| Takedown Defense | 90.00% | 0.00% | 81.34% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 57.50% | 71.43% | 33.81% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.595 | 2.862 | 2.288 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.342 | 6.500 | 6.015 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.215 | 2.425 | 2.280 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.869 | 0.291 | 0.804 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.210 | 0.485 | 1.158 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.596 | 0.631 | 0.932 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.460 | 0.728 | 0.578 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.511 | 0.873 | 0.702 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.222 | 0.340 | 0.546 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.073 | 0.388 | 0.434 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.278 | 0.631 | 0.593 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.290 | 0.873 | 0.585 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Featherweight | Darren Elkins | Jonathan Pearce | Jonathan Pearce | |
| July 23, 2022 | Featherweight | Makwan Amirkhani | Jonathan Pearce | Jonathan Pearce | |
| Feb. 19, 2022 | Featherweight | Jonathan Pearce | Christian Rodriguez | Jonathan Pearce | |
| Sept. 25, 2021 | Featherweight | Jonathan Pearce | Omar Morales | Jonathan Pearce | |
| Nov. 28, 2020 | Featherweight | Jonathan Pearce | Kai Kamaka | Jonathan Pearce | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Lightweight | Joe Lauzon | Jonathan Pearce | Joe Lauzon |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 1, 2023 | Featherweight | Joanderson Brito | Westin Wilson | Joanderson Brito | |
| Oct. 15, 2022 | Featherweight | Joanderson Brito | Lucas Alexander | Joanderson Brito | |
| April 30, 2022 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Joanderson Brito | Joanderson Brito | |
| Jan. 15, 2022 | Featherweight | Bill Algeo | Joanderson Brito | Bill Algeo |