Analysis: Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Mayra Bueno Silva

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Jasmine Jasudavicius to Win

Score: 21
Odds:
Jasmine Jasudavicius: -230
Mayra Bueno Silva: +176

Jasmine Jasudavicius's Breakdown

Jasmine Jasudavicius brings a well-rounded game to the octagon, heavily leveraging her grappling prowess, which has been key to her recent win streak. In her fight against Ariane da Silva, she showcased her top-tier ground control, executing three takedowns and nearly six minutes of control before securing a D'Arce choke. Her ability to dominate opponents on the ground is well-documented across fights, including her impressive submission over Priscila Cachoeira.

Jasudavicius's ability to control the fight pace with takedowns and maintain aggressive pressure was pivotal in her unanimous decision victory over Miranda Maverick. However, her striking was tested heavily by Tracy Cortez, who used effective jabs to maintain distance.

Mayra Bueno Silva's Breakdown

Mayra Bueno Silva is relentless with her striking pressure and clinch tactics. Known for her formidable submissions, as highlighted by her decisive kneebar against Lina Lansberg, Silva combines her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background with powerful muay Thai strikes, particularly elbows and knees. However, Silva's recent loss via TKO to Macy Chiasson points towards potential issues with striking defense and gas tank management, especially in high-pressure exchanges.

Silva's win over Mara Romero Borella by submission showcased her adaptability on the ground, but her susceptibility to being taken down and controlled, as seen in her loss to Maryna Moroz, remains a critical vulnerability.

Analysis and Key Points

• Jasudavicius's Grappling vs Silva's Striking:
• Jasudavicius: Superior grappling control; thrives on setting the fight's pace.

• Silva: Aggressive stand-up; excels in muay Thai techniques and submissions.

• Ground Game vs Standing Pressure:

• Jasudavicius can potentially neutralize Silva's striking with takedown attempts, as she has shown with fighters like Fatima Kline.
• Silva's effective use of elbows and knees could be decisive if she manages to defend takedowns and keep it standing.

Understanding the Prediction

Features significantly boosting Jasmine's favor include:

• Odds: Strong betting lines favoring Jasudavicius increased her predicted likelihood by +11.
• Recent Win Percentage and Striking Impact Differential further support her chances, emphasizing her recent form and effective striking.
• Recent Takedowns Attempted per Fight: At +3, highlights her proactive grappling approach against Silva's reach and striking.

Past Model Performance

WolfTicketsAI has correctly predicted Jasmine in high-pressure matchups like against Ariane da Silva, although faltering once against Miranda Maverick. In Silva's case, predictions have been on-point for finishes, but differed for matches heavily relying on striking defense.

Conclusion

Expect Jasmine Jasudavicius to effectively control the pace, neutralize Silva's striking range, and capitalize on her grappling strengths to secure a victory. WolfTicketsAI backs Jasudavicius's well-versed skill set and recent performance track record to triumph in this bout.