Viviane Araujo vs. Tracy Cortez - UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Tracy Cortez by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:

Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Elevation: 627.00m

Weight Class: Women's Strawweight

Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.

Predictions

W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value

Fighter

Confidence

Dec

Sub

TKO

Odds

Viviane Araujo

91.67%|11

0.0%|0

8.33%|1

+190

Tracy Cortez

2.9

100.0%|6

0.0%|0

-260

Weighted Scoring Report

Recent Prediction

This prediction includes detailed insights.

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Tracy Cortez

Weight Class: Women's Strawweight

Final Confidence: 17.01

Confidence Adjustments

Value: +20.0%

Reason: Base confidence between 14 and 21, increased by 20%

Value: -10.0%

Reason: Predicted winner is moving down in weight

Value: +5.0%

Reason: Opponent is moving down in weight

Fighter History & Outcomes

Viviane Araujo

Weight Change: Moving down in weight (from Women's Flyweight to Women's Strawweight)

Fight History:

November 16, 2024: Viviane Araujo won against Karine Silva. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
February 3, 2024: Viviane Araujo lost against Natalia Silva. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
October 14, 2023: Viviane Araujo won against Jennifer Maia. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
March 4, 2023: Viviane Araujo lost against Amanda Ribas. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 26 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 29.
October 15, 2022: Viviane Araujo lost against Alexa Grasso. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 45 - 50. 46 - 49. 46 - 49.
May 14, 2022: Viviane Araujo won against Andrea Lee. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 27 - 29. 27 - 29.
May 15, 2021: Viviane Araujo lost against Katlyn Cerminara. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 27 - 30.
January 20, 2021: Viviane Araujo won against Roxanne Modafferi. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 26 - 30.
September 5, 2020: Viviane Araujo won against Montana De La Rosa. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 28 - 29.
December 14, 2019: Viviane Araujo lost against Jessica Eye. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
July 27, 2019: Viviane Araujo won against Alexis Davis. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
May 11, 2019: Viviane Araujo won against Talita Bernardo. The fight ended in round 3 at 0:48. Method of victory: KO/TKO.

Tracy Cortez

Weight Change: Moving down in weight (from Women's Flyweight to Women's Strawweight)

Fight History:

July 13, 2024: Tracy Cortez lost against Rose Namajunas. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 46 - 49. 46 - 49. 47 - 48.
September 16, 2023: Tracy Cortez won against Jasmine Jasudavicius. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 28 - 29.
May 7, 2022: Tracy Cortez won against Melissa Gatto. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
April 17, 2021: Tracy Cortez won against Justine Kish. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 27 - 30.
October 10, 2020: Tracy Cortez won against Stephanie Egger. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
November 16, 2019: Tracy Cortez won against Vanessa Melo. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 29.

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat	Viviane Araujo	Tracy Cortez	Weight Class Average
Main Stats
Age	38	31	31
Height	64"	65"	66"
Reach	68"	65"	66"
Win Percentage	68.42%	84.62%	75.81%
Wins	13	12
Losses	7	2
Wins at Weight Class	6	3
Losses at Weight Class	5	1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy	55.05%	55.87%	50.09%
Significant Striking Accuracy	47.62%	47.01%	42.43%
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.899	5.760	5.905
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.037	3.620	3.924
Knockdowns per Fight	0.081	0.000	0.280
Striking Impact Differential	-10.33%	23.00%	6.26%
Significant Striking Impact Differential	-12.92%	9.00%	4.10%
Striking Output Differential	-40.67%	20.83%	6.74%
Significant Striking Output Differential	-43.50%	5.83%	4.08%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio	114.87%	81.25%	78.40%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio	158.93%	117.96%	108.25%
Striking Defense Percentage	56.84%	58.10%	50.92%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight	0.646	0.300	0.564
Takedowns per Fight	1.857	1.800	1.448
Takedowns Attempted per Fight	4.279	4.200	3.395
Takedown Defense	25.00%	64.71%	63.61%
Takedown Accuracy	43.40%	42.86%	38.92%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute	2.987	2.230	2.425
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute	7.207	5.920	6.541
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute	3.068	2.020	2.128
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute	0.587	0.740	0.921
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute	0.754	0.970	1.333
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute	0.942	0.600	0.791
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute	0.463	0.650	0.579
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute	0.517	0.810	0.718
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute	0.861	0.460	0.557
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute	0.075	0.390	0.456
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute	0.108	0.460	0.623
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute	0.361	0.340	0.456

Viviane Araujo History:

Date	Weight	Red Corner	Blue Corner	Winner
Nov. 16, 2024	Women's Flyweight	Viviane Araujo	Karine Silva	Viviane Araujo
Feb. 3, 2024	Women's Flyweight	Viviane Araujo	Natalia Silva	Natalia Silva
Oct. 14, 2023	Women's Flyweight	Jennifer Maia	Viviane Araujo	Viviane Araujo
March 4, 2023	Women's Flyweight	Viviane Araujo	Amanda Ribas	Amanda Ribas
Oct. 15, 2022	Women's Flyweight	Alexa Grasso	Viviane Araujo	Alexa Grasso
May 14, 2022	Women's Flyweight	Viviane Araujo	Andrea Lee	Viviane Araujo
May 15, 2021	Women's Flyweight	Katlyn Cerminara	Viviane Araujo	Katlyn Cerminara
Jan. 20, 2021	Women's Flyweight	Roxanne Modafferi	Viviane Araujo	Viviane Araujo
Sept. 5, 2020	Women's Flyweight	Viviane Araujo	Montana De La Rosa	Viviane Araujo
Dec. 14, 2019	Women's Flyweight	Jessica Eye	Viviane Araujo	Jessica Eye
July 27, 2019	Women's Flyweight	Alexis Davis	Viviane Araujo	Viviane Araujo
May 11, 2019	Women's Bantamweight	Talita Bernardo	Viviane Araujo	Viviane Araujo

Tracy Cortez History:

Date	Weight	Red Corner	Blue Corner	Winner
July 13, 2024	Women's Flyweight	Rose Namajunas	Tracy Cortez	Rose Namajunas
Sept. 16, 2023	Women's Flyweight	Tracy Cortez	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Tracy Cortez
May 7, 2022	Women's Flyweight	Tracy Cortez	Melissa Gatto	Tracy Cortez
April 17, 2021	Women's Flyweight	Tracy Cortez	Justine Kish	Tracy Cortez
Oct. 10, 2020	Women's Bantamweight	Tracy Cortez	Stephanie Egger	Tracy Cortez
Nov. 16, 2019	Women's Bantamweight	Vanessa Melo	Tracy Cortez	Tracy Cortez