Terrance McKinney vs. Viacheslav Borshchev - UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Terrance McKinney by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Terrance McKinney
2
8
18
-11.0
-200
Viacheslav Borshchev
+154

Weighted Scoring Report

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Terrance McKinney

Weight Class: Lightweight

Final Confidence: 1.4

Confidence Adjustments

Value: -30.0%

Reason: Base confidence < 10, decreased by 30%

Fighter History & Outcomes

Terrance McKinney

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • February 1, 2025: Terrance McKinney won against Damir Hadzovic. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:01. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • May 11, 2024: Terrance McKinney lost against Esteban Ribovics. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:37. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • October 14, 2023: Terrance McKinney won against Brendon Marotte. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:20. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • August 12, 2023: Terrance McKinney won against Mike Breeden. The fight ended in round 1 at 1:25. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • July 15, 2023: Terrance McKinney lost against Nazim Sadykhov. The fight ended in round 2 at 1:07. Method of victory: Submission.
  • January 21, 2023: Terrance McKinney lost against Ismael Bonfim. The fight ended in round 2 at 2:17. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • August 6, 2022: Terrance McKinney won against Erick Gonzalez. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:17. Method of victory: Submission.
  • March 12, 2022: Terrance McKinney lost against Drew Dober. The fight ended in round 1 at 3:17. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • February 26, 2022: Terrance McKinney won against Fares Ziam. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:11. Method of victory: Submission.
  • June 12, 2021: Terrance McKinney won against Matt Frevola. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:07. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
Viacheslav Borshchev

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • February 8, 2025: Viacheslav Borshchev lost against Tom Nolan. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 27 - 30.
  • August 24, 2024: Viacheslav Borshchev won against James Llontop. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 27 - 30.
  • May 11, 2024: Viacheslav Borshchev lost against Chase Hooper. The fight ended in round 2 at 3:00. Method of victory: Submission.
  • November 11, 2023: Viacheslav Borshchev had an inconclusive result against Nazim Sadykhov. The fight went the distance (3 Rnd (5-5-5)). Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 28. 28 - 28.
  • May 20, 2023: Viacheslav Borshchev won against Maheshate. The fight ended in round 2 at 2:37. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • October 1, 2022: Viacheslav Borshchev lost against Mike Davis. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 26 - 30. 26 - 30.
  • March 26, 2022: Viacheslav Borshchev lost against Marc Diakiese. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • January 15, 2022: Viacheslav Borshchev won against Dakota Bush. The fight ended in round 1 at 3:47. Method of victory: KO/TKO.

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Terrance McKinney Viacheslav Borshchev
Main Stats
Age 30 33
Height 70" 71"
Reach 73" 69"
Win Percentage 69.57% 61.54%
Wins 17 8
Losses 7 6
Wins at Weight Class 6 3
Losses at Weight Class 4 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 60.15% 55.30%
Significant Striking Accuracy 56.62% 53.19%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.474 5.858
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.174 5.117
Knockdowns per Fight 1.754 0.636
Striking Impact Differential 13.20% -9.75%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.40% 5.38%
Striking Output Differential 22.20% -37.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 17.60% -15.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 29.22% 120.61%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 37.50% 122.57%
Striking Defense Percentage 46.31% 57.36%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.754 0.159
Takedowns per Fight 2.924 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 7.602 0.159
Takedown Defense 28.57% 127.27%
Takedown Accuracy 38.46% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 6.238 2.553
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.345 6.737
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.871 3.167
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.936 1.282
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.287 1.515
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.819 0.731
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.000 1.282
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.039 1.367
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.429 0.763
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.936 0.254
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.131 0.403
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.507 0.233
Terrance McKinney History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 1, 2025 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Damir Hadzovic Terrance McKinney
May 11, 2024 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Esteban Ribovics Esteban Ribovics
Oct. 14, 2023 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Brendon Marotte Terrance McKinney
Aug. 12, 2023 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Mike Breeden Terrance McKinney
July 15, 2023 Lightweight Nazim Sadykhov Terrance McKinney Nazim Sadykhov
Jan. 21, 2023 Lightweight Ismael Bonfim Terrance McKinney Ismael Bonfim
Aug. 6, 2022 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Erick Gonzalez Terrance McKinney
March 12, 2022 Lightweight Drew Dober Terrance McKinney Drew Dober
Feb. 26, 2022 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Fares Ziam Terrance McKinney
June 12, 2021 Lightweight Matt Frevola Terrance McKinney Terrance McKinney
Viacheslav Borshchev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 8, 2025 Lightweight Tom Nolan Viacheslav Borshchev Tom Nolan
Aug. 24, 2024 Lightweight Viacheslav Borshchev James Llontop Viacheslav Borshchev
May 11, 2024 Lightweight Chase Hooper Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper
Nov. 11, 2023 Lightweight Nazim Sadykhov Viacheslav Borshchev None
May 20, 2023 Lightweight Maheshate Viacheslav Borshchev Viacheslav Borshchev
Oct. 1, 2022 Lightweight Mike Davis Viacheslav Borshchev Mike Davis
March 26, 2022 Lightweight Marc Diakiese Viacheslav Borshchev Marc Diakiese
Jan. 15, 2022 Lightweight Dakota Bush Viacheslav Borshchev Viacheslav Borshchev