The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Recent Prediction
This prediction includes detailed insights.
Predicted Winner: Felipe Lima
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Final Confidence: 3.68
Value: -30.0%
Reason: Base confidence < 10, decreased by 30%
Value: +5.0%
Reason: Opponent is moving down in weight
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Weight Change: Moving down in weight (from Featherweight to Bantamweight)
| Stat | Payton Talbott | Felipe Lima | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 26 | 27 | 31 | |
| Height | 70" | 66" | 68" | |
| Reach | 70" | 68" | 69" | |
| Win Percentage | 90.00% | 93.33% | 81.29% | |
| Wins | 10 | 14 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 3 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 63.96% | 51.26% | 45.69% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 60.57% | 45.10% | 40.71% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.733 | 4.648 | 4.852 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.343 | 3.505 | 3.681 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.948 | 0.000 | 0.632 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 17.50% | 16.00% | 3.68% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 17.50% | 15.50% | 3.75% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 30.25% | -12.50% | 3.76% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 29.00% | -9.00% | 3.66% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 32.39% | 141.80% | 92.87% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 37.87% | 175.00% | 114.08% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 39.26% | 72.52% | 48.36% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.474 | 1.143 | 0.454 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.474 | 1.714 | 1.268 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.948 | 4.000 | 3.543 | |
| Takedown Defense | 55.56% | 20.00% | 72.25% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.00% | 42.86% | 28.35% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.952 | 2.019 | 2.365 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.208 | 5.676 | 6.112 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.403 | 1.333 | 2.144 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.012 | 0.800 | 0.756 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.233 | 1.105 | 1.107 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.443 | 0.419 | 0.691 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.379 | 0.686 | 0.560 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.379 | 0.991 | 0.695 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.285 | 0.571 | 0.569 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.411 | 0.343 | 0.373 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.569 | 0.571 | 0.521 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.190 | 0.076 | 0.304 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 18, 2025 | Bantamweight | Payton Talbott | Raoni Barcelos | Raoni Barcelos | |
| June 29, 2024 | Bantamweight | Payton Talbott | Yanis Ghemmouri | Payton Talbott | |
| March 23, 2024 | Bantamweight | Payton Talbott | Cameron Saaiman | Payton Talbott | |
| Nov. 18, 2023 | Bantamweight | Payton Talbott | Nick Aguirre | Payton Talbott |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 14, 2024 | Featherweight | Miles Johns | Felipe Lima | Felipe Lima | |
| June 22, 2024 | Featherweight | Muhammad Naimov | Felipe Lima | Felipe Lima |