The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Recent Prediction
This prediction includes detailed insights.
Predicted Winner: Jacobe Smith
Weight Class: Welterweight
Final Confidence: 20.4
Value: +20.0%
Reason: Base confidence between 14 and 21, increased by 20%
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
| Stat | Niko Price | Jacobe Smith | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 29 | 33 | |
| Height | 72" | 70" | 72" | |
| Reach | 76" | 72" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 66.67% | 100.00% | 78.34% | |
| Wins | 16 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 9 | 0 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 8 | 1 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 10 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 49.46% | 52.17% | 49.05% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 42.95% | 52.17% | 44.31% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.168 | 9.863 | 5.387 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.212 | 9.863 | 4.128 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.473 | 12.329 | 0.634 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 4.22% | 4.00% | 6.18% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -3.22% | 5.00% | 4.37% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 19.61% | 8.00% | 8.44% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 10.61% | 9.00% | 6.49% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 77.82% | 58.33% | 80.56% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 102.66% | 58.33% | 96.75% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 48.96% | 50.00% | 48.57% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.663 | 0.000 | 0.575 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.041 | 0.000 | 1.291 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.502 | 0.000 | 3.282 | |
| Takedown Defense | 90.00% | 100.00% | 75.35% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 29.73% | 0.00% | 34.19% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.199 | 6.575 | 2.622 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.332 | 13.973 | 6.637 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.773 | 4.932 | 2.358 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.864 | 1.644 | 0.828 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.420 | 2.466 | 1.174 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.965 | 0.822 | 0.750 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.148 | 1.644 | 0.678 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.382 | 2.466 | 0.821 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.839 | 0.000 | 0.652 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.568 | 0.000 | 0.406 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.965 | 0.000 | 0.563 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.442 | 0.822 | 0.376 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2024 | Welterweight | Themba Gorimbo | Niko Price | Themba Gorimbo | |
| June 1, 2024 | Welterweight | Niko Price | Alex Morono | Niko Price | |
| July 8, 2023 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Niko Price | Robbie Lawler | |
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Welterweight | Niko Price | Phil Rowe | Phil Rowe | |
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Welterweight | Alex Oliveira | Niko Price | Niko Price | |
| July 10, 2021 | Welterweight | Niko Price | Michel Pereira | Michel Pereira | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Welterweight | Donald Cerrone | Niko Price | None | |
| May 9, 2020 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Welterweight | Niko Price | James Vick | Niko Price | |
| July 27, 2019 | Welterweight | Geoff Neal | Niko Price | Geoff Neal | |
| March 9, 2019 | Welterweight | Tim Means | Niko Price | Niko Price | |
| Sept. 8, 2018 | Welterweight | Abdul Razak Alhassan | Niko Price | Abdul Razak Alhassan | |
| July 14, 2018 | Welterweight | Randy Brown | Niko Price | Niko Price | |
| Jan. 27, 2018 | Welterweight | Niko Price | George Sullivan | Niko Price | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Welterweight | Vicente Luque | Niko Price | Vicente Luque | |
| Aug. 5, 2017 | Welterweight | Alan Jouban | Niko Price | Niko Price | |
| Feb. 4, 2017 | Welterweight | Alex Morono | Niko Price | None | |
| Dec. 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price | Niko Price |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 11, 2025 | Welterweight | Preston Parsons | Jacobe Smith | Jacobe Smith |