The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Recent Prediction
This prediction includes detailed insights.
Predicted Winner: Gregory Rodrigues
Weight Class: Middleweight
Final Confidence: 9.9
Value: +10.0%
Reason: Base confidence between 10 and 13, increased by 10%
Value: -10.0%
Reason: Predicted winner lost by KO/TKO within last 12 months
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
| Stat | Jack Hermansson | Gregory Rodrigues | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 37 | 33 | 33 | |
| Height | 73" | 75" | 73" | |
| Reach | 77" | 75" | 75" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.00% | 72.73% | 78.96% | |
| Wins | 24 | 17 | ||
| Losses | 9 | 6 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 11 | 7 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 3 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 51.63% | 54.91% | 52.74% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.94% | 52.94% | 46.98% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.961 | 6.284 | 5.350 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.090 | 5.590 | 3.892 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.946 | 0.790 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 30.65% | 7.50% | 5.64% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 16.18% | 6.70% | 3.68% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 49.82% | 6.60% | 5.85% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 32.88% | 5.30% | 3.71% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 69.84% | 83.61% | 73.83% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 94.09% | 91.54% | 98.87% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 56.49% | 51.16% | 46.67% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.382 | 0.315 | 0.740 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.529 | 2.364 | 1.514 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.045 | 5.990 | 3.749 | |
| Takedown Defense | 23.81% | 12.50% | 79.78% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 30.30% | 39.47% | 33.26% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.843 | 4.224 | 2.579 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.301 | 8.900 | 5.827 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.670 | 2.743 | 2.193 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.024 | 1.072 | 0.793 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.559 | 1.282 | 1.055 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.815 | 1.145 | 0.688 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.223 | 0.294 | 0.519 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.468 | 0.378 | 0.609 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.204 | 0.998 | 0.545 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.382 | 0.631 | 0.424 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.515 | 0.893 | 0.568 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.219 | 0.683 | 0.355 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 10, 2024 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Joe Pyfer | Jack Hermansson | |
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Roman Dolidze | Roman Dolidze | |
| July 23, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson | |
| Feb. 5, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
| May 22, 2021 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Edmen Shahbazyan | Jack Hermansson | |
| Dec. 5, 2020 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Marvin Vettori | Marvin Vettori | |
| July 18, 2020 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Kelvin Gastelum | Jack Hermansson | |
| Sept. 28, 2019 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Jared Cannonier | Jared Cannonier | |
| April 27, 2019 | Middleweight | Jacare Souza | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson | |
| March 30, 2019 | Middleweight | David Branch | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson | |
| Dec. 15, 2018 | Middleweight | Gerald Meerschaert | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson | |
| May 12, 2018 | Middleweight | Thales Leites | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson | |
| Oct. 28, 2017 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Jack Hermansson | Thiago Santos | |
| Aug. 5, 2017 | Middleweight | Brad Scott | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson | |
| May 28, 2017 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Alex Nicholson | Jack Hermansson | |
| Nov. 19, 2016 | Middleweight | Cezar Ferreira | Jack Hermansson | Cezar Ferreira | |
| Sept. 3, 2016 | Middleweight | Scott Askham | Jack Hermansson | Jack Hermansson |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 15, 2025 | Middleweight | Jared Cannonier | Gregory Rodrigues | Jared Cannonier | |
| July 27, 2024 | Middleweight | Christian Leroy Duncan | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| Feb. 10, 2024 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| Aug. 19, 2023 | Middleweight | Gregory Rodrigues | Denis Tiuliulin | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| Jan. 21, 2023 | Middleweight | Gregory Rodrigues | Brunno Ferreira | Brunno Ferreira | |
| Sept. 17, 2022 | Middleweight | Chidi Njokuani | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| June 18, 2022 | Middleweight | Julian Marquez | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| Feb. 26, 2022 | Middleweight | Armen Petrosyan | Gregory Rodrigues | Armen Petrosyan | |
| Oct. 23, 2021 | Middleweight | JunYong Park | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues | |
| June 5, 2021 | Middleweight | Dusko Todorovic | Gregory Rodrigues | Gregory Rodrigues |