The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Recent Prediction
This prediction includes detailed insights.
Predicted Winner: Joshua Van
Weight Class: Flyweight
Final Confidence: 3.78
Value: -30.0%
Reason: Base confidence < 10, decreased by 30%
Value: -10.0%
Reason: Predicted winner lost by KO/TKO within last 12 months
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Stat | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 32 | 23 | 30 | |
Height | 69" | 65" | 67" | |
Reach | 68" | 65" | 68" | |
Win Percentage | 70.83% | 87.50% | 81.94% | |
Wins | 17 | 15 | ||
Losses | 8 | 2 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 7 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 49.68% | 60.46% | 47.61% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 39.53% | 54.92% | 41.98% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.169 | 10.701 | 4.599 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.458 | 8.203 | 3.249 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.374 | 0.551 | 0.434 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 34.30% | 68.88% | 2.06% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 16.80% | 40.00% | 0.27% | |
Striking Output Differential | 85.80% | 58.25% | 2.32% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 65.00% | 27.63% | 0.25% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 41.53% | 72.70% | 87.70% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 63.06% | 93.17% | 105.27% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 47.88% | 59.22% | 44.75% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 1.248 | 0.000 | 0.873 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.749 | 0.965 | 1.308 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.998 | 1.516 | 3.731 | |
Takedown Defense | 121.43% | 23.26% | 86.27% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 75.00% | 63.64% | 26.44% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.418 | 5.824 | 1.993 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.714 | 12.079 | 5.175 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.697 | 3.151 | 1.982 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.757 | 1.709 | 0.731 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.115 | 2.113 | 1.037 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.657 | 0.974 | 0.798 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.283 | 0.671 | 0.525 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.449 | 0.744 | 0.686 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.707 | 1.139 | 0.651 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.216 | 0.597 | 0.244 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.275 | 0.717 | 0.347 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.141 | 0.110 | 0.285 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct. 12, 2024 | Flyweight | Brandon Royval | Tatsuro Taira | Brandon Royval | |
Feb. 24, 2024 | Flyweight | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval | Brandon Royval | |
Dec. 16, 2023 | UFC Flyweight Title | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Royval | Alexandre Pantoja | |
April 15, 2023 | Flyweight | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau | Brandon Royval | |
May 7, 2022 | Flyweight | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell | Brandon Royval | |
Jan. 15, 2022 | Flyweight | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin | Brandon Royval | |
Aug. 21, 2021 | Flyweight | Alexandre Pantoja | Brandon Royval | Alexandre Pantoja | |
Nov. 21, 2020 | Flyweight | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval | Brandon Moreno | |
Sept. 26, 2020 | Flyweight | Kai Kara-France | Brandon Royval | Brandon Royval | |
May 30, 2020 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Brandon Royval | Brandon Royval |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 7, 2025 | Flyweight | Bruno Silva | Joshua Van | Joshua Van | |
March 8, 2025 | Flyweight | Joshua Van | Rei Tsuruya | Joshua Van | |
Dec. 7, 2024 | Flyweight | Cody Durden | Joshua Van | Joshua Van | |
Sept. 14, 2024 | Flyweight | Edgar Chairez | Joshua Van | Joshua Van | |
July 13, 2024 | Flyweight | Joshua Van | Charles Johnson | Charles Johnson | |
Jan. 13, 2024 | Flyweight | Joshua Van | Felipe Bunes | Joshua Van | |
Nov. 11, 2023 | Flyweight | Joshua Van | Kevin Borjas | Joshua Van | |
June 24, 2023 | Flyweight | Zhalgas Zhumagulov | Joshua Van | Joshua Van |