Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano - UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Beneil Dariush by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Beneil Dariush
1
12
13
5.7
+100
Renato Moicano
-128

Fighter Comparison Chart

This radar chart shows each fighter's strengths across key fighting dimensions. Each dimension is scored 0-100 based on their percentile ranking within the Lightweight weight class.

Beneil Dariush
Renato Moicano
Lightweight Average (50th percentile)

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Weighted Scoring Report

Weighted Score for WTAI Prediction

Predicted Winner: Beneil Dariush

Weight Class: Lightweight

Final Confidence: 0.7

Confidence Adjustments

Value: -30.0%

Reason: Base confidence < 10, decreased by 30%

Fighter History & Outcomes

Beneil Dariush

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • December 2, 2023: Beneil Dariush lost against Arman Tsarukyan. The fight ended in round 1 at 1:04. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • June 10, 2023: Beneil Dariush lost against Charles Oliveira. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:10. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • October 22, 2022: Beneil Dariush won against Mateusz Gamrot. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 28 - 29.
  • May 15, 2021: Beneil Dariush won against Tony Ferguson. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • February 6, 2021: Beneil Dariush won against Diego Ferreira. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 28 - 29.
  • August 8, 2020: Beneil Dariush won against Scott Holtzman. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:38. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • March 7, 2020: Beneil Dariush won against Drakkar Klose. The fight ended in round 2 at 1:00. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • October 26, 2019: Beneil Dariush won against Frank Camacho. The fight ended in round 1 at 2:02. Method of victory: Submission.
  • March 9, 2019: Beneil Dariush won against Drew Dober. The fight ended in round 2 at 4:41. Method of victory: Submission.
  • November 10, 2018: Beneil Dariush won against Thiago Moises. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 25 - 30. 25 - 30. 26 - 30.
  • March 3, 2018: Beneil Dariush lost against Alexander Hernandez. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:42. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • October 7, 2017: Beneil Dariush had an inconclusive result against Evan Dunham. The fight went the distance (3 Rnd (5-5-5)). Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 28. 28 - 28.
  • March 11, 2017: Beneil Dariush lost against Edson Barboza. The fight ended in round 2 at 3:35. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • November 5, 2016: Beneil Dariush won against Rashid Magomedov. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 28 - 29.
  • June 4, 2016: Beneil Dariush won against James Vick. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:16. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • April 16, 2016: Beneil Dariush lost against Michael Chiesa. The fight ended in round 2 at 1:20. Method of victory: Submission.
  • August 8, 2015: Beneil Dariush won against Michael Johnson. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 28 - 29.
  • April 18, 2015: Beneil Dariush won against Jim Miller. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • March 14, 2015: Beneil Dariush won against Daron Cruickshank. The fight ended in round 2 at 2:38. Method of victory: Submission.
  • October 25, 2014: Beneil Dariush won against Diego Ferreira. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 27 - 30. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • August 23, 2014: Beneil Dariush won against Anthony Rocco Martin. The fight ended in round 2 at 3:38. Method of victory: Submission.
  • April 11, 2014: Beneil Dariush lost against Ramsey Nijem. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:20. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • January 15, 2014: Beneil Dariush won against Charlie Brenneman. The fight ended in round 1 at 1:45. Method of victory: Submission.
Renato Moicano

Weight Change: Staying at usual weight

Fight History:

  • January 18, 2025: Renato Moicano lost against Islam Makhachev. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:05. Method of victory: Submission.
  • September 28, 2024: Renato Moicano won against Benoit Saint Denis. The fight ended in round 2 at 5:00. Method of victory: TKO - Doctor's Stoppage.
  • April 13, 2024: Renato Moicano won against Jalin Turner. The fight ended in round 2 at 4:11. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • February 3, 2024: Renato Moicano won against Drew Dober. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 28 - 29. 28 - 29.
  • November 12, 2022: Renato Moicano won against Brad Riddell. The fight ended in round 1 at 3:20. Method of victory: Submission.
  • March 5, 2022: Renato Moicano lost against Rafael Dos Anjos. The fight ended in round 5 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 44 - 50. 44 - 49. 45 - 49.
  • February 12, 2022: Renato Moicano won against Alexander Hernandez. The fight ended in round 2 at 1:23. Method of victory: Submission.
  • June 26, 2021: Renato Moicano won against Jai Herbert. The fight ended in round 2 at 4:34. Method of victory: Submission.
  • December 12, 2020: Renato Moicano lost against Rafael Fiziev. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:05. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • March 14, 2020: Renato Moicano won against Damir Hadzovic. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:44. Method of victory: Submission.
  • June 22, 2019: Renato Moicano lost against Chan Sung Jung. The fight ended in round 1 at 0:58. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • February 2, 2019: Renato Moicano lost against Jose Aldo. The fight ended in round 2 at 0:44. Method of victory: KO/TKO.
  • August 4, 2018: Renato Moicano won against Cub Swanson. The fight ended in round 1 at 4:15. Method of victory: Submission.
  • April 7, 2018: Renato Moicano won against Calvin Kattar. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a unanimous decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 27 - 30. 27 - 30.
  • July 29, 2017: Renato Moicano lost against Brian Ortega. The fight ended in round 3 at 2:59. Method of victory: Submission.
  • April 15, 2017: Renato Moicano won against Jeremy Stephens. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 28 - 29.
  • May 14, 2016: Renato Moicano won against Zubaira Tukhugov. The fight ended in round 3 at 5:00. It was a split decision. Additional details: 28 - 29. 29 - 28. 28 - 29.
  • December 20, 2014: Renato Moicano won against Tom Niinimaki. The fight ended in round 2 at 3:30. Method of victory: Submission.

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Beneil Dariush Renato Moicano
Main Stats
Age 36 36
Height 70" 71"
Reach 72" 72"
Win Percentage 78.57% 76.92%
Wins 23 20
Losses 6 7
Wins at Weight Class 16 7
Losses at Weight Class 7 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.63% 55.77%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.99% 48.91%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.048 6.068
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.779 4.363
Knockdowns per Fight 0.513 0.091
Striking Impact Differential 10.70% 17.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 10.04% 7.44%
Striking Output Differential 15.09% 11.11%
Significant Striking Output Differential 12.52% -1.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 76.69% 90.80%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 96.77% 125.59%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.97% 60.69%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.879 0.546
Takedowns per Fight 1.904 1.820
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.566 4.096
Takedown Defense 23.68% 40.00%
Takedown Accuracy 34.21% 44.44%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.309 3.168
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.805 7.360
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.655 2.312
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.879 0.407
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.240 0.631
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.732 0.655
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.591 0.789
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.669 0.928
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.264 0.583
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.601 0.121
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.903 0.164
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.415 0.127
Beneil Dariush History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 2, 2023 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan Arman Tsarukyan
June 10, 2023 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Beneil Dariush Charles Oliveira
Oct. 22, 2022 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot Beneil Dariush
May 15, 2021 Lightweight Tony Ferguson Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Feb. 6, 2021 Lightweight Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Aug. 8, 2020 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman Beneil Dariush
March 7, 2020 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose Beneil Dariush
Oct. 26, 2019 Lightweight Frank Camacho Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
March 9, 2019 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drew Dober Beneil Dariush
Nov. 10, 2018 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush
March 3, 2018 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez
Oct. 7, 2017 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Evan Dunham None
March 11, 2017 Lightweight Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush Edson Barboza
Nov. 5, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Rashid Magomedov Beneil Dariush
June 4, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush James Vick Beneil Dariush
April 16, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Michael Chiesa Michael Chiesa
Aug. 8, 2015 Lightweight Michael Johnson Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
April 18, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
March 14, 2015 Lightweight Daron Cruickshank Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Oct. 25, 2014 Lightweight Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Aug. 23, 2014 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Anthony Rocco Martin Beneil Dariush
April 11, 2014 Lightweight Ramsey Nijem Beneil Dariush Ramsey Nijem
Jan. 15, 2014 Lightweight Charlie Brenneman Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Renato Moicano History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 18, 2025 UFC Lightweight Title Islam Makhachev Renato Moicano Islam Makhachev
Sept. 28, 2024 Lightweight Renato Moicano Benoit Saint Denis Renato Moicano
April 13, 2024 Lightweight Jalin Turner Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
Feb. 3, 2024 Lightweight Renato Moicano Drew Dober Renato Moicano
Nov. 12, 2022 Lightweight Brad Riddell Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
March 5, 2022 Catch Weight Rafael Dos Anjos Renato Moicano Rafael Dos Anjos
Feb. 12, 2022 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
June 26, 2021 Lightweight Renato Moicano Jai Herbert Renato Moicano
Dec. 12, 2020 Lightweight Renato Moicano Rafael Fiziev Rafael Fiziev
March 14, 2020 Lightweight Renato Moicano Damir Hadzovic Renato Moicano
June 22, 2019 Featherweight Renato Moicano Chan Sung Jung Chan Sung Jung
Feb. 2, 2019 Featherweight Jose Aldo Renato Moicano Jose Aldo
Aug. 4, 2018 Featherweight Cub Swanson Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
April 7, 2018 Featherweight Renato Moicano Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano
July 29, 2017 Featherweight Brian Ortega Renato Moicano Brian Ortega
April 15, 2017 Featherweight Jeremy Stephens Renato Moicano Renato Moicano
May 14, 2016 Featherweight Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov Renato Moicano
Dec. 20, 2014 Featherweight Tom Niinimaki Renato Moicano Renato Moicano