The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Recent Prediction
This prediction includes detailed insights.
Predicted Winner: Wang Cong
Weight Class: Women's Flyweight
Final Confidence: 30.03
Value: +5.0%
Reason: Base confidence between 22 and 26, increased by 5%
Value: +10.0%
Reason: Opponent is moving up in weight for the first time
Weight Change: Staying at usual weight
Weight Change: Moving up in weight (from Women's Strawweight to Women's Flyweight)
Score: 26
Odds:
Wang Cong: -480
Bruna Brasil: 330
Wang Cong is a dynamic force with a powerful kickboxing background. Her past bouts showcase her aggressive striking and effective grappling. Despite her recent loss to Gabriella Fernandes by submission, she demonstrated impressive striking with 21 out of 32 strikes landing. Known for her step-up kicks and precise right straights, she capitalizes on overwhelming her opponents, as seen in her knockout victory over Victoria Leonardo. Wang's ability to control pace with aggressive striking, combined with her grappling versatility, marks her as a formidable opponent.
Bruna Brasil brings a well-rounded striking game with a Muay Thai base. Her notable victory against Molly McCann via unanimous decision highlighted her ability to keep opponents at bay with effective leg kicks and Muay Thai knees in the clinch. However, her overreliance on spinning techniques, as seen in her loss to Denise Gomes, can leave her exposed to counterattacks. Despite her resilience, her defensive gaps and susceptibility to straightforward striking remain areas opponents can exploit.
SHAP features influencing the model's prediction:
WolfTicketsAI has been right about Bruna Brasil before, accurately predicting her loss to Loma Lookboonmee. However, it incorrectly picked Molly McCann over Brasil, showcasing some unpredictability in Brasil's fight outcomes.
Expect Wang Cong's superior striking and pace control to dictate the bout against Bruna Brasil. While Brasil's clinch work is a threat, her defensive lapses could be crucial. WolfTicketsAI confidently sides with Wang Cong as the likely victor in this matchup.
| Stat | Wang Cong | Bruna Brasil | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 32 | 31 | 31 | |
| Height | 66" | 66" | 66" | |
| Reach | 66" | 65" | 67" | |
| Win Percentage | 85.71% | 71.43% | 76.55% | |
| Wins | 7 | 10 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 41.73% | 64.35% | 49.93% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.88% | 57.43% | 42.33% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.888 | 4.383 | 5.871 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.685 | 2.714 | 3.864 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 1.523 | 0.000 | 0.250 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 19.00% | -29.25% | 5.28% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 18.50% | -13.75% | 3.85% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 34.50% | -53.00% | 6.46% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 34.50% | -39.00% | 4.62% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 86.21% | 96.54% | 78.12% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 87.50% | 144.76% | 106.59% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 72.06% | 51.11% | 50.32% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.587 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.000 | 1.708 | 1.474 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.523 | 2.562 | 3.429 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 75.00% | 63.52% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.00% | 66.67% | 37.26% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.929 | 1.252 | 2.409 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.325 | 2.922 | 6.517 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.320 | 1.594 | 2.078 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.234 | 1.025 | 0.886 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 3.756 | 1.271 | 1.279 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.203 | 1.271 | 0.798 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.523 | 0.436 | 0.569 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.827 | 0.531 | 0.715 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.406 | 0.892 | 0.554 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.000 | 0.607 | 0.454 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.000 | 0.702 | 0.621 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.000 | 0.493 | 0.452 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 23, 2024 | Women's Flyweight | Wang Cong | Gabriella Fernandes | Gabriella Fernandes | |
| Aug. 24, 2024 | Women's Flyweight | Wang Cong | Victoria Leonardo | Wang Cong |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 27, 2024 | Women's Strawweight | Molly McCann | Bruna Brasil | Bruna Brasil | |
| Feb. 10, 2024 | Women's Strawweight | Loma Lookboonmee | Bruna Brasil | Loma Lookboonmee | |
| July 22, 2023 | Women's Strawweight | Shauna Bannon | Bruna Brasil | Bruna Brasil | |
| April 15, 2023 | Women's Strawweight | Bruna Brasil | Denise Gomes | Denise Gomes |