UFC Event Results

Jan. 18, 2025

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

Inglewood, California, United States
40.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 75.0% Under: 37.5% Full: 50.0%

Profit Model

Main: 75.0% Under: 37.5% Full: 50.0%

Plain Model

Main: 75.0% Under: 25.0% Full: 41.67%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Serghei Spivac

Win

-400

Strength: 23.0 points
EV: -0.8%

Diego Ferreira

Win

-310

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: -0.4%

Muin Gafurov

Win

-480

Strength: 22.0 points
EV: -3.6%

Total Odds

2.00x

Return on $10 Bet

$9.98

Parlay #2

Umar Nurmagomedov

Win

+240

Strength: 6.0 points
EV: 32.8%

Jamahal Hill

Win

-118

Strength: 8.0 points
EV: 15.0%

Total Odds

6.28x

Return on $10 Bet

$52.81

Parlay #3

Clayton Carpenter

Win

-340

Strength: 22.0 points
EV: 1.9%

Sedriques Dumas

Win

-295

Strength: 21.0 points
EV: 4.5%

Total Odds

1.73x

Return on $10 Bet

$7.33

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Merab Dvalishvili
6
13
4
32.8
+240
Umar Nurmagomedov
-330
Jiri Prochazka
2
-108
Jamahal Hill
8
13
15.0
-118
Kevin Holland
9
-120
Reinier de Ridder
3
17
3.7
-106
Islam Makhachev
18
19
12
-13.1
-1200
Renato Moicano
+680

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.