UFC Event Results

June 29, 2024

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Paradise, Nevada, United States
627.00m Elevation

Model Performance Summary (% Correct)

WTAI Model

Main: 75.0% Under: 85.71% Full: 81.82%

Profit Model

Main: 50.0% Under: 28.57% Full: 36.36%

Plain Model

Main: 100.0% Under: 57.14% Full: 72.73%

Selected Bets Results

ROI: %

Parlay #1

Andre Fili

Win

-210

Strength: 11.0 points
EV: 2.4%

Michael Page

Win

-136

Strength: 6.0 points
EV: 4.5%

Total Odds

2.56x

Return on $10 Bet

$15.62

Parlay #2

Marc-Andre Barriault

Win

-290

Strength: 16.0 points
EV: 1.8%

Gillian Robertson

Win

-186

Strength: 14.0 points
EV: 10.1%

Total Odds

2.07x

Return on $10 Bet

$10.68

Parlay #3

Jiri Prochazka

Win

-184

Strength: 10.0 points
EV: 5.4%

Vinicius Oliveira

Win

-225

Strength: 5.0 points
EV: -9.1%

Total Odds

2.23x

Return on $10 Bet

$12.29

The tables below show how the model predictions performed. Confidence scores indicate the model's certainty.

Correct predictions are shown in normal text, incorrect predictions are highlighted in red.

WTAI = WTAI Model Profit = Profit Model Plain = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
W
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Alex Pereira
10
13
13
5.4
-184
Jiri Prochazka
+142
Anthony Smith
9
+122
Roman Dolidze
5
1
-0.8
-156
Mayra Bueno Silva
2
11
-8.6
-180
Macy Chiasson
6
+140
Ian Machado Garry
6
9
20
4.5
-136
Michael Page
+106

Fight Analysis Recap

Click on any fight below to expand the detailed AI analysis and SHAP chart explaining the prediction.