The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Score: 13 Odds: Andrea Lee: +159 Miranda Maverick: -185
Andrea Lee's UFC journey has been a rollercoaster, marked by a mix of triumphs and setbacks. Her Muay Thai background and BJJ skills make her a formidable opponent. However, her recent UFC record reveals some vulnerabilities, especially in decision-making and defense.
Past Performance Analysis: - Lee's loss against Natalia Silva showcased her striking prowess but also highlighted her difficulties in adapting to Silva's style. Her defensive head movement and footwork, though improved, were still found lacking. - The split decision loss to Maycee Barber was a close call. Lee's striking and grappling were on display, but her inability to decisively dominate the exchanges cost her. - Her KO/TKO win over Cynthia Calvillo stands out, demonstrating her striking power and improved fight IQ. - However, a trend of losses, especially in recent fights, signals a potential decline.
Model's Past Predictions: - WolfTicketsAI has been mixed in its predictions for Lee, correctly predicting her loss against Silva, but missing the mark on the Barber fight.
Current Stats: - Lee's significant striking and grappling stats are commendable but her striking defense could be a concern against a well-rounded fighter like Maverick.
Miranda Maverick has proven to be a rising talent in the Women's Flyweight division. Her grappling background, complemented by a steadily improving striking game, makes her a tough matchup for anyone in the division.
Past Performance Analysis: - Maverick’s recent win against Priscila Cachoeira displayed her grappling dominance and evolving striking skills. - Her loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius, however, revealed issues with maintaining control against a persistent striker. - Maverick's unanimous decision win over Shanna Young showcased her well-rounded skill set.
Model's Past Predictions: - WolfTicketsAI has shown a better track record predicting Maverick's fights, accurately forecasting her victories against Young and Mazo, though it missed her loss against Jasudavicius.
Current Stats: - Maverick's striking and grappling stats are impressive, particularly her ability to take the fight to the ground and control opponents.
WolfTicketsAI has shown an overall competent performance in predicting past fights of both fighters, with a notable accuracy in Maverick's matchups. However, its mixed results in predicting Lee's fights add a layer of uncertainty to this prediction.
Miranda Maverick is favored to win against Andrea Lee, largely due to her superior grappling skills, physical strength, and evolving striking game. While Lee's striking is formidable, Maverick's ability to blend her grappling with improved striking poses a significant challenge. The key will be Maverick's ability to take the fight to the ground and control Lee, offsetting Lee's striking advantage. Considering Lee's recent performance trends and Maverick's well-rounded skill set, the prediction leans towards a Maverick victory, likely through a combination of ground control and cumulative striking damage.
Stat | Andrea Lee | Miranda Maverick | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 35 | 26 | 31 | |
Height | 66" | 63" | 65" | |
Reach | 69" | 65" | 66" | |
Win Percentage | 61.90% | 73.68% | 75.40% | |
Wins | 13 | 15 | ||
Losses | 9 | 5 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 5 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 6 | 3 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 52.36% | 58.81% | 51.28% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 47.41% | 46.77% | 44.05% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.154 | 6.980 | 6.062 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.907 | 3.711 | 4.130 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.097 | 0.000 | 0.119 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 8.27% | 39.63% | 6.58% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 17.09% | 13.50% | 5.38% | |
Striking Output Differential | -12.18% | 47.38% | 8.75% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 2.45% | 18.75% | 7.43% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 114.59% | 61.10% | 84.88% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 132.11% | 102.44% | 111.67% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 63.71% | 59.15% | 52.69% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.581 | 0.453 | 0.567 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 1.840 | 2.414 | 1.433 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.196 | 4.978 | 3.176 | |
Takedown Defense | 84.62% | 137.50% | 72.46% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 57.58% | 48.48% | 38.99% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.260 | 2.203 | 2.622 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.728 | 6.044 | 7.141 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.267 | 1.951 | 2.217 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.563 | 0.885 | 0.915 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.299 | 1.167 | 1.282 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.762 | 0.513 | 0.874 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.085 | 0.624 | 0.592 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.324 | 0.724 | 0.741 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.665 | 0.161 | 0.595 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.536 | 0.221 | 0.482 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.678 | 0.272 | 0.660 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.245 | 0.282 | 0.474 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug. 19, 2023 | Women's Flyweight | Andrea Lee | Natalia Silva | Natalia Silva | |
March 25, 2023 | Women's Flyweight | Andrea Lee | Maycee Barber | Maycee Barber | |
May 14, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Viviane Araujo | Andrea Lee | Viviane Araujo | |
Nov. 13, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Cynthia Calvillo | Andrea Lee | Andrea Lee | |
May 15, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Andrea Lee | Antonina Shevchenko | Andrea Lee | |
Sept. 12, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Roxanne Modafferi | Andrea Lee | Roxanne Modafferi | |
Feb. 8, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Lauren Murphy | Andrea Lee | Lauren Murphy | |
Sept. 7, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Joanne Wood | Andrea Lee | Joanne Wood | |
June 22, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Andrea Lee | Montana De La Rosa | Andrea Lee | |
Feb. 17, 2019 | Women's Flyweight | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Andrea Lee | Andrea Lee | |
May 19, 2018 | Women's Flyweight | Veronica Hardy | Andrea Lee | Andrea Lee |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 29, 2023 | Women's Flyweight | Miranda Maverick | Priscila Cachoeira | Miranda Maverick | |
June 10, 2023 | Women's Flyweight | Miranda Maverick | Jasmine Jasudavicius | Jasmine Jasudavicius | |
Nov. 5, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Miranda Maverick | Shanna Young | Miranda Maverick | |
March 12, 2022 | Women's Flyweight | Sabina Mazo | Miranda Maverick | Miranda Maverick | |
Dec. 11, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Miranda Maverick | Erin Blanchfield | Erin Blanchfield | |
July 24, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Miranda Maverick | Maycee Barber | Maycee Barber | |
March 27, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Gillian Robertson | Miranda Maverick | Miranda Maverick | |
Oct. 24, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Liana Jojua | Miranda Maverick | Miranda Maverick |