The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Sean Strickland, a middleweight mauler, boasts an impressive resume with a strong leaning towards striking, particularly boxing. His recent unanimous decision victory over Israel Adesanya, a titan in the division, showcases his high fighting IQ and ability to go toe-to-toe with the best in striking duels. This fight, alongside his KO/TKO win over Abus Magomedov, reflects his proficiency in maintaining pressure with a barrage of straight punches and jabs. However, it's important to note his susceptibility to leg kicks and body strikes, evident in past fights.
Strickland's style mirrors that of Nate Diaz, leveraging consistent pressure and a high-volume striking game. His takedown defense has improved, as seen in the fight against Jack Hermansson, but a lack of finish in recent fights, such as the one against Nassourdine Imavov, highlights a potential area for growth. A recent split decision loss to Jared Cannonier and a KO/TKO loss to Alex Pereira raise concerns about his ability to handle power strikers.
Dricus Du Plessis enters the Octagon with a diverse skill set, marked by an unorthodox and aggressive style. His recent KO/TKO victory against Robert Whittaker is a testament to his ability to strategize and adapt mid-fight, employing techniques like a southpaw jab and outside low kicks effectively. Du Plessis' ground game is equally formidable, showcasing technical proficiency in matches like the one against Derek Brunson, where he utilized an empty half guard escape effectively.
His striking mechanics, while not traditionally textbook, are effective and complemented by a solid grappling foundation. Du Plessis' victory over Darren Till by submission and his unanimous decision win against Brad Tavares highlight his versatility and tactical intelligence. However, his approach might leave him vulnerable to disciplined strikers who can exploit his sometimes chaotic style.
The upcoming clash between Strickland and Du Plessis presents a fascinating stylistic matchup. Strickland’s boxing-centric approach and forward pressure will be key against Du Plessis' unorthodox and versatile arsenal. The fight could hinge on Strickland's ability to maintain his rhythm and pressure without falling prey to Du Plessis' dynamic striking and grappling.
Strickland needs to leverage his jab and straight punches while being mindful of Du Plessis' power and unpredictability. Du Plessis, on the other hand, should look to exploit any openings with his diverse striking and seize opportunities on the ground, given Strickland's past vulnerabilities to leg and body attacks.
Sean Strickland's disciplined striking and improved ground game give him the edge in this matchup, but Du Plessis' dynamic style and tactical adaptability make him a formidable opponent. The fight is likely to be a tightly contested battle, with Strickland's consistency in striking being the decisive factor. Expect a strategic showdown with moments of high intensity and technical prowess from both fighters.
Stat | Sean Strickland | Dricus Du Plessis | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 32 | 30 | 34 | |
Height | 73" | 73" | 75" | |
Reach | 76" | 76" | 78" | |
Win Percentage | 84.85% | 90.91% | 88.53% | |
Wins | 28 | 21 | ||
Losses | 6 | 2 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 43.78% | 57.99% | 54.06% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 41.90% | 55.99% | 50.15% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.385 | 8.162 | 5.911 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.825 | 6.947 | 4.847 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.306 | 1.088 | 0.733 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 25.15% | 32.50% | 21.50% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 23.35% | 29.00% | 20.49% | |
Striking Output Differential | 37.85% | 46.50% | 22.08% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 35.30% | 39.17% | 21.34% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 114.90% | 53.78% | 90.06% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 124.74% | 62.66% | 104.05% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 63.16% | 53.45% | 59.68% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.204 | 1.088 | 0.209 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.918 | 2.721 | 0.497 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.427 | 5.441 | 1.044 | |
Takedown Defense | 19.05% | 150.00% | 39.07% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 64.29% | 50.00% | 32.64% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 4.761 | 4.625 | 2.960 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 12.431 | 9.377 | 7.354 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.798 | 2.630 | 1.881 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.758 | 0.925 | 0.939 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.074 | 1.179 | 1.273 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.434 | 0.798 | 0.750 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.306 | 1.397 | 0.947 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.398 | 1.850 | 1.159 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.006 | 0.363 | 0.656 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.245 | 0.907 | 0.473 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.367 | 1.288 | 0.624 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.150 | 0.363 | 0.251 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 9, 2023 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
July 1, 2023 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Abus Magomedov | Sean Strickland | |
Jan. 14, 2023 | Light Heavyweight | Sean Strickland | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland | |
Dec. 17, 2022 | Middleweight | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland | Jared Cannonier | |
July 2, 2022 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
Feb. 5, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
July 31, 2021 | Middleweight | Uriah Hall | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
May 1, 2021 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Krzysztof Jotko | Sean Strickland | |
Nov. 14, 2020 | Catch Weight | Brendan Allen | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
Oct. 31, 2020 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Jack Marshman | Sean Strickland | |
Oct. 27, 2018 | Welterweight | Nordine Taleb | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
May 12, 2018 | Welterweight | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Sean Strickland | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | |
Nov. 11, 2017 | Welterweight | Court McGee | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
April 8, 2017 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Sean Strickland | Kamaru Usman | |
June 4, 2016 | Welterweight | Sean Strickland | Tom Breese | Sean Strickland | |
Feb. 21, 2016 | Welterweight | Alex Garcia | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
July 15, 2015 | Welterweight | Igor Araujo | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
Feb. 22, 2015 | Welterweight | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Sean Strickland | Santiago Ponzinibbio | |
May 31, 2014 | Middleweight | Luke Barnatt | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland | |
March 15, 2014 | Middleweight | Robert McDaniel | Sean Strickland | Sean Strickland |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 8, 2023 | Middleweight | Robert Whittaker | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
March 4, 2023 | Middleweight | Derek Brunson | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
Dec. 10, 2022 | Middleweight | Darren Till | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
July 2, 2022 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
July 10, 2021 | Middleweight | Trevin Giles | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
Oct. 10, 2020 | Middleweight | Markus Perez | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis |