The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Raquel Pennington, a seasoned warrior in the Women's Bantamweight division, brings an arsenal that's heavy on resilience, striking, and clinch work. Her recent unanimous decision win over Aspen Ladd showcases her ability to handle aggressive strikers and turn the tide in her favor. Pennington's strategy often revolves around closing the distance, utilizing dirty boxing in the clinch, reminiscent of the approach of fighters like Randy Couture. Her split decision victory over Ketlen Vieira further cements her capability to handle versatile fighters.
Pennington's fight against Macy Chiasson is a testament to her evolving ground game. Her adeptness at transitioning from striking to submissions, particularly guillotine chokes, has become a crucial aspect of her style. Despite her loss to Holly Holm, Pennington demonstrated a steadfastness against a fighter known for a more evasive, hit-and-run style.
What stands out is Pennington's consistent performance against top-level competition. Her ability to adapt and evolve, even in losses, highlights her growth as a fighter. Pennington's clinch work, combined with an improved ground game, makes her a formidable opponent for anyone in the division.
Mayra Bueno Silva brings a contrasting style to the octagon, characterized by her aggressive grappling and submission skills. Her recent submission win over Holly Holm was particularly impressive, showcasing her ability to finish fights against high-level opponents. Silva's victory against Lina Lansberg through submission underlines her prowess on the ground.
Silva's style is aggressive, often forcing opponents into uncomfortable grappling exchanges where she shines. Her armbar victory over Stephanie Egger is a prime example of her submission threat. Against Wu Yanan, Silva displayed her striking evolution, combining it effectively with her grappling base.
However, Silva's losses to fighters like Manon Fiorot and Maryna Moroz expose potential weaknesses in striking defense and pacing. Silva's aggressive style can sometimes lead to her being caught in exchanges or gassed out in later rounds.
Pennington's experience and adaptability in the face of diverse fighting styles make her a tough match-up for Silva. While Silva's ground game is formidable, Pennington has shown significant improvements in her grappling defense and submission awareness. The key for Pennington will be to manage the distance effectively, utilize her clinch work to wear Silva down, and avoid prolonged ground exchanges.
Silva, on the other hand, will need to find a way to bring the fight to the ground and exploit any openings for submissions. Her striking has improved, but she'll need to be cautious of Pennington's counter-striking and clinch control.
This fight is a classic striker vs. grappler matchup, with both fighters having evolved to become more well-rounded. Pennington's experience and recent performance trend suggest she has the tools to neutralize Silva's grappling threat and control the fight in the clinch and at striking range. Silva's path to victory lies in her ability to take the fight to the ground and lock in a submission. However, given Pennington's recent form and adaptability, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of a Pennington win seems well-founded.
Stat | Raquel Pennington | Mayra Bueno Silva | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 35 | 32 | 34 | |
Height | 67" | 66" | 67" | |
Reach | 67" | 66" | 68" | |
Win Percentage | 62.50% | 83.33% | 75.51% | |
Wins | 16 | 10 | ||
Losses | 9 | 3 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 57.75% | 62.47% | 57.44% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.68% | 55.02% | 49.77% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.697 | 5.841 | 6.393 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.018 | 4.175 | 4.311 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.242 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 2.12% | -12.56% | 12.21% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 9.53% | -5.33% | 8.79% | |
Striking Output Differential | -21.18% | -44.22% | 6.75% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -13.29% | -32.78% | 3.10% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 102.04% | 118.13% | 86.18% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 137.44% | 152.14% | 113.01% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 62.28% | 57.23% | 58.07% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.623 | 1.427 | 0.828 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.935 | 0.357 | 1.520 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.428 | 0.714 | 2.987 | |
Takedown Defense | 57.58% | 47.83% | 87.47% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 27.27% | 50.00% | 49.70% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.252 | 1.998 | 2.723 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.809 | 4.663 | 6.639 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.832 | 2.736 | 2.134 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.288 | 1.273 | 0.859 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.579 | 1.606 | 1.194 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.981 | 1.558 | 0.826 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.478 | 0.904 | 0.728 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.540 | 1.320 | 1.013 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.532 | 0.452 | 0.533 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.313 | 0.857 | 0.578 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.616 | 1.047 | 0.734 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.006 | 0.428 | 0.423 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan. 14, 2023 | Women's Bantamweight | Ketlen Vieira | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
April 9, 2022 | Women's Bantamweight | Aspen Ladd | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
Dec. 18, 2021 | Women's Featherweight | Raquel Pennington | Macy Chiasson | Raquel Pennington | |
Sept. 18, 2021 | Women's Bantamweight | Pannie Kianzad | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
June 20, 2020 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington | |
Jan. 18, 2020 | Women's Bantamweight | Holly Holm | Raquel Pennington | Holly Holm | |
July 20, 2019 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Irene Aldana | Raquel Pennington | |
Nov. 10, 2018 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Germaine de Randamie | Germaine de Randamie | |
May 12, 2018 | UFC Women's Bantamweight Title | Amanda Nunes | Raquel Pennington | Amanda Nunes | |
Nov. 12, 2016 | Women's Bantamweight | Miesha Tate | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
Aug. 20, 2016 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Elizabeth Phillips | Raquel Pennington | |
April 16, 2016 | Women's Bantamweight | Bethe Correia | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
Sept. 5, 2015 | Women's Bantamweight | Jessica Andrade | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington | |
Feb. 28, 2015 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Holly Holm | Holly Holm | |
Dec. 6, 2014 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Ashlee Evans-Smith | Raquel Pennington | |
March 15, 2014 | Women's Bantamweight | Raquel Pennington | Jessica Andrade | Jessica Andrade | |
Nov. 30, 2013 | Women's Bantamweight | Roxanne Modafferi | Raquel Pennington | Raquel Pennington |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 15, 2023 | Women's Bantamweight | Holly Holm | Mayra Bueno Silva | None | |
Feb. 18, 2023 | Women's Bantamweight | Lina Lansberg | Mayra Bueno Silva | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
Aug. 6, 2022 | Women's Bantamweight | Mayra Bueno Silva | Stephanie Egger | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
April 16, 2022 | Women's Bantamweight | Mayra Bueno Silva | Wu Yanan | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
Oct. 16, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Manon Fiorot | Mayra Bueno Silva | Manon Fiorot | |
Feb. 27, 2021 | Women's Flyweight | Montana De La Rosa | Mayra Bueno Silva | None | |
Sept. 19, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Mayra Bueno Silva | Mara Romero Borella | Mayra Bueno Silva | |
March 14, 2020 | Women's Flyweight | Mayra Bueno Silva | Maryna Moroz | Maryna Moroz | |
Sept. 22, 2018 | Women's Flyweight | Mayra Bueno Silva | Gillian Robertson | Mayra Bueno Silva |