Neil Magny vs. Mike Malott - UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Neil Magny by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Elevation: 77.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Neil Magny vs Mike Malott

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Mike Malott to Win

Neil Magny's Breakdown

Neil Magny, a seasoned welterweight, brings a vast experience with 28 wins and 12 losses. His long reach, impressive cardio, and volume striking are his hallmarks. Despite his strengths, he's shown vulnerability to powerful strikers and leg kicks. Magny's recent performances display a decline in his ability to handle fighters who exploit these weaknesses, as seen in his losses to Ian Garry, Gilbert Burns, and Shavkat Rakhmonov.

In his fight against Garry, Magny's leg kick defense was noticeably lacking, leading to significant mobility issues. This pattern was also evident in his bouts against Larkin and dos Anjos. Magny's adaptability and high fight IQ, however, allow him to make mid-fight adjustments, using his jab and range to control the pace.

Against Phil Rowe and Max Griffin, Magny leveraged his reach and endurance effectively, demonstrating a consistent evolution in his striking and grappling. Magny's ability to switch strategies mid-fight is crucial, but his recent trend of losses against strong grapplers and power strikers, with a 33% win rate in recent fights, indicates a potential decline in his career trajectory.

Mike Malott's Breakdown

Mike Malott, with a record of 10 wins and 1 loss, shows a stark contrast in his career trajectory. He's a rising star with a striking 91% win rate and a recent flawless record. Malott's striking and submission skills are formidable, as seen in his victories against Adam Fugitt and Yohan Lainesse.

Malott's prowess in submissions and knockouts, showcased in his wins over Fugitt, Lainesse, and Mickey Gall, indicates his versatility and ability to finish fights. His impressive takedown accuracy and ability to control the pace with significant strikes are key advantages. Malott's ability to execute submissions and knockdowns demonstrates his threat in both striking and grappling domains.

With Malott's recent performance trend, he shows a dominance that's hard to overlook. His capability to adapt and utilize various techniques, combined with his high finishing rate, makes him a formidable opponent in the welterweight division.

Analysis and Key Points

Magny's experience and range could be crucial in keeping Malott at bay. However, Malott's aggressive striking and submission threat might overwhelm Magny, especially considering Magny's vulnerability to leg kicks and powerful strikes. Malott's recent performance showcases a fighter on the rise, capable of handling various fighting styles and finishing fights decisively.

Magny's challenge will be to utilize his reach and experience to control the pace and avoid Malott's power strikes and submission attempts. Malott, on the other hand, will likely seek to exploit Magny's weaknesses in leg kick defense and grappling.

Conclusion

Considering both fighters' styles and recent performances, Mike Malott holds a significant advantage. His ability to finish fights with both strikes and submissions, combined with his recent momentum, makes him a strong contender to win this matchup. Magny's experience and range are notable, but his recent struggles against fighters with similar capabilities to Malott tilt the prediction in Malott's favor. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Malott winning is well-founded, based on the analysis of their recent fights, techniques, and overall career trajectories.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Neil Magny Mike Malott
Main Stats
Age 36 32
Height 75" 73"
Reach 80" 73"
Win Percentage 70.00% 90.91%
Wins 29 10
Losses 12 2
Wins at Weight Class 21 3
Losses at Weight Class 10 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.50% 59.65%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.06% 54.90%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.152 4.846
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.454 3.991
Knockdowns per Fight 0.076 2.138
Striking Impact Differential 31.97% 12.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 13.35% 11.00%
Striking Output Differential 50.61% 14.67%
Significant Striking Output Differential 30.23% 13.33%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 47.00% 57.35%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 78.54% 69.64%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.06% 62.90%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.268 2.138
Takedowns per Fight 2.216 3.207
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.426 3.207
Takedown Defense 79.63% 0.00%
Takedown Accuracy 40.85% 100.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.392 2.352
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.086 5.273
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.399 1.140
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.683 1.354
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.915 1.568
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.385 0.428
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.380 0.285
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.499 0.428
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.617 0.071
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.670 0.071
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.869 0.071
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.237 0.071
Neil Magny History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 19, 2023 Welterweight Neil Magny Ian Machado Garry Ian Machado Garry
June 24, 2023 Welterweight Neil Magny Phil Rowe Neil Magny
Jan. 21, 2023 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Neil Magny Gilbert Burns
Nov. 5, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Daniel Rodriguez Neil Magny
June 25, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Shavkat Rakhmonov Shavkat Rakhmonov
March 26, 2022 Welterweight Neil Magny Max Griffin Neil Magny
May 8, 2021 Welterweight Neil Magny Geoff Neal Neil Magny
Jan. 20, 2021 Welterweight Michael Chiesa Neil Magny Michael Chiesa
Aug. 29, 2020 Welterweight Robbie Lawler Neil Magny Neil Magny
June 6, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Anthony Rocco Martin Neil Magny
March 7, 2020 Welterweight Neil Magny Li Jingliang Neil Magny
Nov. 17, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio Santiago Ponzinibbio
May 27, 2018 Welterweight Neil Magny Craig White Neil Magny
Dec. 30, 2017 Welterweight Carlos Condit Neil Magny Neil Magny
Sept. 9, 2017 Welterweight Neil Magny Rafael Dos Anjos Rafael Dos Anjos
Dec. 30, 2016 Welterweight Johny Hendricks Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 20, 2016 Welterweight Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin Lorenz Larkin
March 19, 2016 Welterweight Hector Lombard Neil Magny Neil Magny
Nov. 21, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kelvin Gastelum Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Erick Silva Neil Magny
Aug. 1, 2015 Welterweight Demian Maia Neil Magny Demian Maia
May 16, 2015 Welterweight Hyun Gyu Lim Neil Magny Neil Magny
Feb. 14, 2015 Welterweight Neil Magny Kiichi Kunimoto Neil Magny
Oct. 25, 2014 Welterweight William Macario Neil Magny Neil Magny
Aug. 23, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Alex Garcia Neil Magny
June 28, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Rodrigo de Lima Neil Magny
May 10, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Tim Means Neil Magny
Feb. 1, 2014 Welterweight Neil Magny Gasan Umalatov Neil Magny
Nov. 6, 2013 Welterweight Neil Magny Seth Baczynski Seth Baczynski
Aug. 3, 2013 Welterweight Sergio Moraes Neil Magny Sergio Moraes
Feb. 23, 2013 Welterweight Jon Manley Neil Magny Neil Magny
Mike Malott History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 10, 2023 Welterweight Mike Malott Adam Fugitt Mike Malott
Feb. 25, 2023 Welterweight Mike Malott Yohan Lainesse Mike Malott
April 9, 2022 Welterweight Mickey Gall Mike Malott Mike Malott