The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Neil Magny, a seasoned welterweight, brings a vast experience with 28 wins and 12 losses. His long reach, impressive cardio, and volume striking are his hallmarks. Despite his strengths, he's shown vulnerability to powerful strikers and leg kicks. Magny's recent performances display a decline in his ability to handle fighters who exploit these weaknesses, as seen in his losses to Ian Garry, Gilbert Burns, and Shavkat Rakhmonov.
In his fight against Garry, Magny's leg kick defense was noticeably lacking, leading to significant mobility issues. This pattern was also evident in his bouts against Larkin and dos Anjos. Magny's adaptability and high fight IQ, however, allow him to make mid-fight adjustments, using his jab and range to control the pace.
Against Phil Rowe and Max Griffin, Magny leveraged his reach and endurance effectively, demonstrating a consistent evolution in his striking and grappling. Magny's ability to switch strategies mid-fight is crucial, but his recent trend of losses against strong grapplers and power strikers, with a 33% win rate in recent fights, indicates a potential decline in his career trajectory.
Mike Malott, with a record of 10 wins and 1 loss, shows a stark contrast in his career trajectory. He's a rising star with a striking 91% win rate and a recent flawless record. Malott's striking and submission skills are formidable, as seen in his victories against Adam Fugitt and Yohan Lainesse.
Malott's prowess in submissions and knockouts, showcased in his wins over Fugitt, Lainesse, and Mickey Gall, indicates his versatility and ability to finish fights. His impressive takedown accuracy and ability to control the pace with significant strikes are key advantages. Malott's ability to execute submissions and knockdowns demonstrates his threat in both striking and grappling domains.
With Malott's recent performance trend, he shows a dominance that's hard to overlook. His capability to adapt and utilize various techniques, combined with his high finishing rate, makes him a formidable opponent in the welterweight division.
Magny's experience and range could be crucial in keeping Malott at bay. However, Malott's aggressive striking and submission threat might overwhelm Magny, especially considering Magny's vulnerability to leg kicks and powerful strikes. Malott's recent performance showcases a fighter on the rise, capable of handling various fighting styles and finishing fights decisively.
Magny's challenge will be to utilize his reach and experience to control the pace and avoid Malott's power strikes and submission attempts. Malott, on the other hand, will likely seek to exploit Magny's weaknesses in leg kick defense and grappling.
Considering both fighters' styles and recent performances, Mike Malott holds a significant advantage. His ability to finish fights with both strikes and submissions, combined with his recent momentum, makes him a strong contender to win this matchup. Magny's experience and range are notable, but his recent struggles against fighters with similar capabilities to Malott tilt the prediction in Malott's favor. WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Malott winning is well-founded, based on the analysis of their recent fights, techniques, and overall career trajectories.
Stat | Neil Magny | Mike Malott | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 36 | 32 | 33 | |
Height | 75" | 73" | 72" | |
Reach | 80" | 73" | 74" | |
Win Percentage | 70.00% | 90.91% | 78.94% | |
Wins | 29 | 10 | ||
Losses | 12 | 2 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 21 | 3 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 10 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 58.50% | 59.65% | 51.61% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 46.06% | 54.90% | 46.19% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.152 | 4.846 | 5.588 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.454 | 3.991 | 4.234 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.076 | 2.138 | 0.691 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 31.97% | 12.33% | 4.48% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 13.35% | 11.00% | 2.59% | |
Striking Output Differential | 50.61% | 14.67% | 4.45% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 30.23% | 13.33% | 2.57% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 47.00% | 57.35% | 88.26% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 78.54% | 69.64% | 107.21% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 53.06% | 62.90% | 50.52% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.268 | 2.138 | 0.587 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 2.216 | 3.207 | 1.264 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 5.426 | 3.207 | 3.373 | |
Takedown Defense | 79.63% | 0.00% | 70.63% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 40.85% | 100.00% | 35.11% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.392 | 2.352 | 2.774 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 6.086 | 5.273 | 6.804 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.399 | 1.140 | 2.419 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.683 | 1.354 | 0.828 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.915 | 1.568 | 1.161 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.385 | 0.428 | 0.809 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.380 | 0.285 | 0.632 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.499 | 0.428 | 0.765 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.617 | 0.071 | 0.652 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.670 | 0.071 | 0.416 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.869 | 0.071 | 0.562 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.237 | 0.071 | 0.370 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug. 19, 2023 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Ian Machado Garry | Ian Machado Garry | |
June 24, 2023 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Phil Rowe | Neil Magny | |
Jan. 21, 2023 | Welterweight | Gilbert Burns | Neil Magny | Gilbert Burns | |
Nov. 5, 2022 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Daniel Rodriguez | Neil Magny | |
June 25, 2022 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Shavkat Rakhmonov | |
March 26, 2022 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Max Griffin | Neil Magny | |
May 8, 2021 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Geoff Neal | Neil Magny | |
Jan. 20, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny | Michael Chiesa | |
Aug. 29, 2020 | Welterweight | Robbie Lawler | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
June 6, 2020 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Anthony Rocco Martin | Neil Magny | |
March 7, 2020 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Li Jingliang | Neil Magny | |
Nov. 17, 2018 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Santiago Ponzinibbio | |
May 27, 2018 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Craig White | Neil Magny | |
Dec. 30, 2017 | Welterweight | Carlos Condit | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
Sept. 9, 2017 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Rafael Dos Anjos | Rafael Dos Anjos | |
Dec. 30, 2016 | Welterweight | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
Aug. 20, 2016 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Lorenz Larkin | Lorenz Larkin | |
March 19, 2016 | Welterweight | Hector Lombard | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
Nov. 21, 2015 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Kelvin Gastelum | Neil Magny | |
Aug. 23, 2015 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Erick Silva | Neil Magny | |
Aug. 1, 2015 | Welterweight | Demian Maia | Neil Magny | Demian Maia | |
May 16, 2015 | Welterweight | Hyun Gyu Lim | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
Feb. 14, 2015 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Kiichi Kunimoto | Neil Magny | |
Oct. 25, 2014 | Welterweight | William Macario | Neil Magny | Neil Magny | |
Aug. 23, 2014 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Alex Garcia | Neil Magny | |
June 28, 2014 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Rodrigo de Lima | Neil Magny | |
May 10, 2014 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Tim Means | Neil Magny | |
Feb. 1, 2014 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny | |
Nov. 6, 2013 | Welterweight | Neil Magny | Seth Baczynski | Seth Baczynski | |
Aug. 3, 2013 | Welterweight | Sergio Moraes | Neil Magny | Sergio Moraes | |
Feb. 23, 2013 | Welterweight | Jon Manley | Neil Magny | Neil Magny |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2023 | Welterweight | Mike Malott | Adam Fugitt | Mike Malott | |
Feb. 25, 2023 | Welterweight | Mike Malott | Yohan Lainesse | Mike Malott | |
April 9, 2022 | Welterweight | Mickey Gall | Mike Malott | Mike Malott |