Results: Gillian Robertson vs. Polyana Viana

Winner: Gillian Robertson by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Elevation: 77.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Gillian Robertson vs Polyana Viana

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Gillian Robertson to Win

Gillian Robertson's Breakdown

Gillian Robertson, a formidable force in the Women's Strawweight division, carries a reputation for her grappling and submission skills. Her recent fights reveal a fighter who, while dominant on the ground, sometimes struggles in the stand-up exchanges. Against Tabatha Ricci, Robertson demonstrated resilience and adaptability, though she ultimately lost via unanimous decision. Her bout with Piera Rodriguez showed her strength in submissions, notably her armbar victory, highlighting her comfort on the ground. However, her striking game, particularly in defense, seems to be a vulnerable area, as seen in her fight against JJ Aldrich. Robertson's grappling remains her ace, as seen in her victory over Mariya Agapova. Her style is reminiscent of fighters like Mackenzie Dern, who leverage their jiu-jitsu expertise to control fights.

Polyana Viana's Breakdown

Polyana Viana, known for her aggressive submission tactics, brings a distinct flair to the Strawweight division. Her recent loss to Iasmin Lucindo exposed some of the risks inherent in her style. While Viana's willingness to engage in high-risk maneuvers often leads to spectacular victories, it can leave her exposed, as evidenced in her bout against Lucindo. Her win over Jinh Yu Frey, achieved through a remarkable KO, showcases her striking potential, balancing her grappling prowess. Against Tabatha Ricci, Viana displayed her ground game but ultimately lost by decision, indicating a need for strategic refinement. Viana's approach mirrors fighters like Charles Oliveira, who use a combination of striking and grappling to secure finishes.

Analysis and Key Points

The upcoming fight between Robertson and Viana is a classic grappler vs. grappler matchup, with both fighters excelling on the ground. Robertson’s ground control and transition game are likely to clash with Viana’s aggressive submission attempts. However, Robertson's superior grappling control may give her an edge in this matchup. Viana’s striking has improved, but Robertson’s experience and resilience, particularly against aggressive grapplers, might be the deciding factor. The key for Robertson will be to maintain control on the ground and avoid Viana’s high-risk submission attempts, while Viana needs to exploit any openings in Robertson's striking defense.

Conclusion

Gillian Robertson's experience and proven track record in grappling make her the favored winner against Polyana Viana. Robertson's ability to control the pace and position of the fight on the ground, combined with her resilience against aggressive submission artists, positions her well for victory. However, Viana's striking improvements and submission prowess make her a formidable opponent. The fight is likely to be a ground-centric battle, with Robertson's strategic grappling control giving her the edge.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Gillian Robertson Polyana Viana
Main Stats
Age 28 31
Height 65" 65"
Reach 63" 67"
Win Percentage 60.00% 68.42%
Wins 13 13
Losses 8 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 4
Losses at Weight Class 1 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.46% 58.60%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.45% 41.62%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.050 7.796
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.600 3.186
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.232
Striking Impact Differential -14.27% 24.78%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -5.93% 4.00%
Striking Output Differential -22.80% 38.11%
Significant Striking Output Differential -14.53% 12.89%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 105.24% 46.83%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 153.95% 101.46%
Striking Defense Percentage 55.50% 55.15%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.924 2.088
Takedowns per Fight 2.463 0.928
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.951 2.784
Takedown Defense 128.57% 128.57%
Takedown Accuracy 41.38% 33.33%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.642 1.547
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.234 5.538
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.504 1.176
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.493 0.990
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.841 1.408
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.424 0.804
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.465 0.650
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.643 0.712
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.281 0.650
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.103 0.278
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.144 0.387
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.335 0.263
Gillian Robertson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 24, 2023 Women's Strawweight Tabatha Ricci Gillian Robertson Tabatha Ricci
April 15, 2023 Women's Strawweight Gillian Robertson Piera Rodriguez Gillian Robertson
Sept. 17, 2022 Women's Flyweight Mariya Agapova Gillian Robertson Gillian Robertson
March 12, 2022 Women's Flyweight JJ Aldrich Gillian Robertson JJ Aldrich
Dec. 11, 2021 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Priscila Cachoeira Gillian Robertson
March 27, 2021 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Miranda Maverick Miranda Maverick
Dec. 19, 2020 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Taila Santos Taila Santos
Oct. 17, 2020 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Poliana Botelho Gillian Robertson
June 20, 2020 Women's Flyweight Cortney Casey Gillian Robertson Gillian Robertson
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Maycee Barber Gillian Robertson Maycee Barber
July 27, 2019 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Sarah Frota Gillian Robertson
Feb. 23, 2019 Women's Flyweight Veronica Hardy Gillian Robertson Gillian Robertson
Sept. 22, 2018 Women's Flyweight Mayra Bueno Silva Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva
May 27, 2018 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Molly McCann Gillian Robertson
Dec. 1, 2017 Women's Flyweight Gillian Robertson Emily Whitmire Gillian Robertson
Polyana Viana History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 12, 2023 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Iasmin Lucindo Iasmin Lucindo
Nov. 5, 2022 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Jinh Yu Frey Polyana Viana
May 21, 2022 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Tabatha Ricci Tabatha Ricci
Feb. 13, 2021 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Mallory Martin Polyana Viana
Aug. 29, 2020 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Emily Whitmire Polyana Viana
Aug. 10, 2019 Women's Flyweight Veronica Hardy Polyana Viana Veronica Hardy
March 2, 2019 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Hannah Cifers Hannah Cifers
Aug. 4, 2018 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana JJ Aldrich JJ Aldrich
Feb. 3, 2018 Women's Strawweight Maia Stevenson Polyana Viana Polyana Viana