The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Chris Curtis, sporting a professional MMA record of 30 wins, 10 losses, and 1 no contest, is a seasoned fighter with a notable striking background. In recent bouts, he's shown resilience and adaptability, particularly against high-level grapplers like Rodolfo Vieira. Curtis's striking, marked by a strong left hand and effective hooks and uppercuts, is his most potent weapon. He's demonstrated a knack for body shots to wear down opponents, an approach he used effectively against Vieira. However, Curtis's performance has shown a tendency for hesitancy in early rounds, potentially costing him on scorecards.
In his fight against Kelvin Gastelum, Curtis displayed his striking prowess but fell short in a unanimous decision. Against Nassourdine Imavov, Curtis demonstrated his ability to withstand pressure, particularly in grappling exchanges, but an accidental clash of heads led to a no contest. His win against Joaquin Buckley, marked by effective counter-striking, highlighted his knockout power.
Curtis's stats, including his high knockdown rate and significant strikes landed per minute, underscore his striking capabilities. However, his recent win percentage of 0.33 signals a need to refine his approach, particularly in dealing with tactical fighters who can exploit his aggression.
Marc-Andre Barriault brings a record of 16 wins, 6 losses, and 1 no contest. Known for his aggressive style and endurance, Barriault has demonstrated his ability to maintain a high pace and impose his will in the octagon. His durability and forward pressure make him a formidable opponent.
Barriault's recent performances, like his unanimous decision win over Eryk Anders, showcase his striking and grappling skills. His bout against Julian Marquez highlighted his proficiency in boxing combinations and pressure tactics, reminiscent of fighters like Eddie Alvarez. However, his loss to Anthony Hernandez via submission points to potential vulnerabilities in his ground game.
Against Jordan Wright, Barriault's pressure-based striking was effective, dictating the pace and controlling positioning. His match against Chidi Njokuani, though ending in a loss, demonstrated his willingness to engage in striking exchanges, albeit with some defensive gaps.
Barriault's stats, with significant strikes landed per minute and a notable striking accuracy, paint him as a high-volume striker. His recent win percentage of 0.67 indicates a positive trend in his career, though his approach leaves room for potential counterattacks.
Both fighters are striking specialists, but their approaches differ. Curtis is more of a precision striker with knockout power, as seen in his fight against Buckley. Barriault, on the other hand, is a pressure fighter who thrives in high-pace exchanges, evident in his bout against Wright.
Curtis's tendency for hesitancy and a lower recent win rate could be factors against the relentless aggression of Barriault. Barriault's pressure might overwhelm Curtis, especially if the latter doesn't adapt quickly. However, Curtis's counter-striking ability poses a threat to Barriault's aggressive style, offering opportunities for Curtis if he can exploit Barriault's forward momentum.
This matchup is poised to be a striking battle with both fighters having the capability to end the fight early. Barriault's relentless pressure and high-volume striking could be the key to victory, particularly if he maintains his pace and avoids Curtis's powerful counters. The prediction for Barriault to win seems grounded in his recent performances and his ability to dictate the pace of the fight. However, Curtis's knockout power and counter-striking skills should not be underestimated, making this an intriguing and potentially close contest.
Stat | Chris Curtis | Marc-Andre Barriault | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 36 | 33 | 32 | |
Height | 70" | 73" | 73" | |
Reach | 75" | 74" | 75" | |
Win Percentage | 75.00% | 72.73% | 79.20% | |
Wins | 31 | 16 | ||
Losses | 10 | 7 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 4 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 3 | 6 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 49.45% | 50.85% | 54.15% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 47.29% | 47.36% | 47.97% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.629 | 7.032 | 5.804 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.062 | 5.949 | 4.217 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.622 | 0.364 | 1.230 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -10.43% | 5.73% | 4.55% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -14.43% | 8.18% | 2.90% | |
Striking Output Differential | -26.29% | 12.00% | 5.30% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -31.14% | 14.36% | 3.13% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 129.48% | 88.74% | 81.25% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 143.44% | 101.90% | 101.57% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 52.92% | 53.72% | 49.15% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.121 | 0.634 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.000 | 0.243 | 1.517 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.000 | 0.970 | 3.906 | |
Takedown Defense | 8.33% | 48.84% | 83.71% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 0.00% | 25.00% | 33.00% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.098 | 4.389 | 2.861 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.036 | 10.548 | 6.362 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.859 | 3.249 | 2.273 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.535 | 1.051 | 0.857 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.158 | 1.398 | 1.125 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.162 | 1.520 | 0.771 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.429 | 0.509 | 0.499 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.512 | 0.614 | 0.580 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.439 | 0.453 | 0.510 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.332 | 1.689 | 0.497 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.387 | 2.457 | 0.654 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.249 | 1.334 | 0.426 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2023 | Middleweight | Nassourdine Imavov | Chris Curtis | None | |
April 8, 2023 | Middleweight | Chris Curtis | Kelvin Gastelum | Kelvin Gastelum | |
Dec. 10, 2022 | Middleweight | Chris Curtis | Joaquin Buckley | Chris Curtis | |
July 23, 2022 | Middleweight | Jack Hermansson | Chris Curtis | Jack Hermansson | |
June 25, 2022 | Middleweight | Chris Curtis | Rodolfo Vieira | Chris Curtis | |
Dec. 4, 2021 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis | Chris Curtis | |
Nov. 6, 2021 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Chris Curtis | Chris Curtis |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 10, 2023 | Middleweight | Marc-Andre Barriault | Eryk Anders | Marc-Andre Barriault | |
March 4, 2023 | Middleweight | Julian Marquez | Marc-Andre Barriault | Marc-Andre Barriault | |
Sept. 17, 2022 | Middleweight | Anthony Hernandez | Marc-Andre Barriault | Anthony Hernandez | |
April 23, 2022 | Catch Weight | Jordan Wright | Marc-Andre Barriault | Marc-Andre Barriault | |
Feb. 5, 2022 | Middleweight | Chidi Njokuani | Marc-Andre Barriault | Chidi Njokuani | |
Sept. 4, 2021 | Middleweight | Dalcha Lungiambula | Marc-Andre Barriault | Marc-Andre Barriault | |
March 27, 2021 | Middleweight | Marc-Andre Barriault | Abu Azaitar | Marc-Andre Barriault | |
June 20, 2020 | Middleweight | Marc-Andre Barriault | Oskar Piechota | None | |
Dec. 21, 2019 | Middleweight | JunYong Park | Marc-Andre Barriault | JunYong Park | |
July 27, 2019 | Middleweight | Marc-Andre Barriault | Krzysztof Jotko | Krzysztof Jotko | |
May 4, 2019 | Middleweight | Marc-Andre Barriault | Andrew Sanchez | Andrew Sanchez |