The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Charles Jourdain, with a record of 15-6, shows a mixed bag of outcomes but a consistent display of striking prowess. A dynamic athlete, Jourdain's style is a cocktail of kicks, punches, elbows, and knees, reminiscent of strikers like Max Holloway. He particularly excels in maintaining distance and unleashing his striking arsenal effectively. However, his Achilles' heel lies in his wrestling defense, making him vulnerable to takedowns.
His fight against Kron Gracie highlighted his ability to handle grappling threats, using sharp striking and movement to keep the match on his feet. Against Nathaniel Wood and Shane Burgos, despite losing by decision, Jourdain displayed a tenacity and willingness to engage in striking duels, showcasing his resilience even in challenging matchups.
The submission win against Lando Vannata demonstrates Jourdain's evolving ground game, an area previously seen as a gap. This adaptability and willingness to engage in various aspects of MMA make Jourdain a formidable opponent in the featherweight division.
Sean Woodson, holding a 10-1 record, is a striking specialist with a significant reach advantage. His style revolves around using his length to control the distance, combined with precise striking. He is adept at managing the pace of the fight and utilizing his jab and low kicks effectively. Woodson's recent unanimous decision win over Dennis Buzukja showcased his ability to maintain distance and effectively counter his opponent's aggression.
A weakness in Woodson's game, however, was exposed in his loss to Julian Erosa, where he was submitted in the third round. This indicates potential vulnerabilities in his ground game, particularly against submission-savvy fighters. Nonetheless, Woodson's striking accuracy and ability to control the range make him a challenging opponent for any featherweight.
The upcoming fight between Jourdain and Woodson is a classic striker vs. striker matchup, with each fighter bringing a distinct approach to striking. Jourdain's agility and dynamic striking will test Woodson's range control and defensive capabilities. Woodson's height and reach advantage could pose a significant challenge for Jourdain, especially if Woodson effectively uses his jab and leg kicks to keep Jourdain at bay.
One key factor will be Jourdain's ability to close the distance without getting caught by Woodson's counter strikes. If Jourdain can successfully navigate inside Woodson's range, he could leverage his powerful close-range strikes. Conversely, Woodson will aim to maintain distance and use his reach to control the fight's pace.
This fight is poised to be an intriguing clash of striking styles. Jourdain's aggressive, all-around striking meets Woodson's methodical, range-based approach. Given Woodson's recent performances and his ability to control the distance against aggressive strikers, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Woodson winning seems well-founded. However, Jourdain's unpredictability and improvements in his ground game make this fight far from a foregone conclusion. Fans can expect a tactical yet explosive encounter between two skilled strikers in the featherweight division.
Stat | Charles Jourdain | Sean Woodson | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 28 | 31 | 31 | |
Height | 69" | 74" | 69" | |
Reach | 69" | 78" | 71" | |
Win Percentage | 71.43% | 90.91% | 79.69% | |
Wins | 15 | 11 | ||
Losses | 7 | 1 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 6 | 4 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 55.79% | 55.12% | 49.48% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 49.65% | 46.64% | 43.16% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.501 | 8.779 | 5.301 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.714 | 5.839 | 3.665 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.609 | 0.388 | 0.350 | |
Striking Impact Differential | 21.42% | 52.33% | 4.80% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 18.50% | 20.50% | 2.64% | |
Striking Output Differential | 19.25% | 67.50% | 8.32% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 18.00% | 31.50% | 5.48% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 81.59% | 67.99% | 82.44% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 102.13% | 99.78% | 105.28% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 58.09% | 57.84% | 47.89% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.508 | 0.583 | 0.700 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.102 | 0.777 | 1.494 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.609 | 0.971 | 4.089 | |
Takedown Defense | 109.52% | 17.50% | 82.76% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 16.67% | 80.00% | 33.47% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.195 | 4.156 | 2.288 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.178 | 10.268 | 6.017 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.424 | 2.201 | 2.284 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.510 | 0.945 | 0.803 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.153 | 1.411 | 1.151 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.961 | 0.945 | 0.930 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.009 | 0.738 | 0.574 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.178 | 0.842 | 0.698 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.826 | 1.101 | 0.540 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.043 | 0.388 | 0.435 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.347 | 0.492 | 0.590 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.508 | 0.505 | 0.592 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 23, 2023 | Featherweight | Ricardo Ramos | Charles Jourdain | Charles Jourdain | |
May 6, 2023 | Featherweight | Kron Gracie | Charles Jourdain | Charles Jourdain | |
Sept. 3, 2022 | Featherweight | Charles Jourdain | Nathaniel Wood | Nathaniel Wood | |
July 16, 2022 | Featherweight | Shane Burgos | Charles Jourdain | Shane Burgos | |
April 23, 2022 | Featherweight | Lando Vannata | Charles Jourdain | Charles Jourdain | |
Dec. 18, 2021 | Featherweight | Charles Jourdain | Andre Ewell | Charles Jourdain | |
Sept. 4, 2021 | Catch Weight | Julian Erosa | Charles Jourdain | Julian Erosa | |
March 13, 2021 | Featherweight | Charles Jourdain | Marcelo Rojo | Charles Jourdain | |
Oct. 3, 2020 | Featherweight | Charles Jourdain | Josh Culibao | None | |
June 13, 2020 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Charles Jourdain | Andre Fili | |
Dec. 21, 2019 | Featherweight | Dooho Choi | Charles Jourdain | Charles Jourdain | |
May 18, 2019 | Lightweight | Desmond Green | Charles Jourdain | Desmond Green |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aug. 5, 2023 | Featherweight | Sean Woodson | Dennis Buzukja | Sean Woodson | |
Aug. 20, 2022 | Featherweight | Sean Woodson | Luis Saldana | None | |
Nov. 13, 2021 | Featherweight | Sean Woodson | Collin Anglin | Sean Woodson | |
June 5, 2021 | Featherweight | Sean Woodson | Youssef Zalal | Sean Woodson | |
June 27, 2020 | Catch Weight | Sean Woodson | Julian Erosa | Julian Erosa | |
Oct. 18, 2019 | Featherweight | Kyle Bochniak | Sean Woodson | Sean Woodson |