Charles Jourdain vs. Sean Woodson - UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Sean Woodson by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Elevation: 77.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
Fighter
WolfTicketsAI
Profit
Plain
Odds When Predicted

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

UFC Fight Analysis: Charles Jourdain vs Sean Woodson

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Sean Woodson to Win

Charles Jourdain's Breakdown

Charles Jourdain, with a record of 15-6, shows a mixed bag of outcomes but a consistent display of striking prowess. A dynamic athlete, Jourdain's style is a cocktail of kicks, punches, elbows, and knees, reminiscent of strikers like Max Holloway. He particularly excels in maintaining distance and unleashing his striking arsenal effectively. However, his Achilles' heel lies in his wrestling defense, making him vulnerable to takedowns.

His fight against Kron Gracie highlighted his ability to handle grappling threats, using sharp striking and movement to keep the match on his feet. Against Nathaniel Wood and Shane Burgos, despite losing by decision, Jourdain displayed a tenacity and willingness to engage in striking duels, showcasing his resilience even in challenging matchups.

The submission win against Lando Vannata demonstrates Jourdain's evolving ground game, an area previously seen as a gap. This adaptability and willingness to engage in various aspects of MMA make Jourdain a formidable opponent in the featherweight division.

Sean Woodson's Breakdown

Sean Woodson, holding a 10-1 record, is a striking specialist with a significant reach advantage. His style revolves around using his length to control the distance, combined with precise striking. He is adept at managing the pace of the fight and utilizing his jab and low kicks effectively. Woodson's recent unanimous decision win over Dennis Buzukja showcased his ability to maintain distance and effectively counter his opponent's aggression.

A weakness in Woodson's game, however, was exposed in his loss to Julian Erosa, where he was submitted in the third round. This indicates potential vulnerabilities in his ground game, particularly against submission-savvy fighters. Nonetheless, Woodson's striking accuracy and ability to control the range make him a challenging opponent for any featherweight.

Analysis and Key Points

The upcoming fight between Jourdain and Woodson is a classic striker vs. striker matchup, with each fighter bringing a distinct approach to striking. Jourdain's agility and dynamic striking will test Woodson's range control and defensive capabilities. Woodson's height and reach advantage could pose a significant challenge for Jourdain, especially if Woodson effectively uses his jab and leg kicks to keep Jourdain at bay.

One key factor will be Jourdain's ability to close the distance without getting caught by Woodson's counter strikes. If Jourdain can successfully navigate inside Woodson's range, he could leverage his powerful close-range strikes. Conversely, Woodson will aim to maintain distance and use his reach to control the fight's pace.

Conclusion

This fight is poised to be an intriguing clash of striking styles. Jourdain's aggressive, all-around striking meets Woodson's methodical, range-based approach. Given Woodson's recent performances and his ability to control the distance against aggressive strikers, WolfTicketsAI's prediction of Woodson winning seems well-founded. However, Jourdain's unpredictability and improvements in his ground game make this fight far from a foregone conclusion. Fans can expect a tactical yet explosive encounter between two skilled strikers in the featherweight division.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Charles Jourdain Sean Woodson
Main Stats
Age 28 31
Height 69" 74"
Reach 69" 78"
Win Percentage 71.43% 90.91%
Wins 15 11
Losses 7 1
Wins at Weight Class 6 4
Losses at Weight Class 4 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 55.79% 55.12%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.65% 46.64%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.501 8.779
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.714 5.839
Knockdowns per Fight 0.609 0.388
Striking Impact Differential 21.42% 52.33%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 18.50% 20.50%
Striking Output Differential 19.25% 67.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 18.00% 31.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.59% 67.99%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 102.13% 99.78%
Striking Defense Percentage 58.09% 57.84%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.508 0.583
Takedowns per Fight 0.102 0.777
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.609 0.971
Takedown Defense 109.52% 17.50%
Takedown Accuracy 16.67% 80.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.195 4.156
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.178 10.268
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.424 2.201
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.510 0.945
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.153 1.411
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.961 0.945
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.009 0.738
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.178 0.842
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.826 1.101
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.043 0.388
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.347 0.492
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.508 0.505
Charles Jourdain History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 23, 2023 Featherweight Ricardo Ramos Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
May 6, 2023 Featherweight Kron Gracie Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
Sept. 3, 2022 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Nathaniel Wood Nathaniel Wood
July 16, 2022 Featherweight Shane Burgos Charles Jourdain Shane Burgos
April 23, 2022 Featherweight Lando Vannata Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
Dec. 18, 2021 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Andre Ewell Charles Jourdain
Sept. 4, 2021 Catch Weight Julian Erosa Charles Jourdain Julian Erosa
March 13, 2021 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Marcelo Rojo Charles Jourdain
Oct. 3, 2020 Featherweight Charles Jourdain Josh Culibao None
June 13, 2020 Featherweight Andre Fili Charles Jourdain Andre Fili
Dec. 21, 2019 Featherweight Dooho Choi Charles Jourdain Charles Jourdain
May 18, 2019 Lightweight Desmond Green Charles Jourdain Desmond Green
Sean Woodson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 5, 2023 Featherweight Sean Woodson Dennis Buzukja Sean Woodson
Aug. 20, 2022 Featherweight Sean Woodson Luis Saldana None
Nov. 13, 2021 Featherweight Sean Woodson Collin Anglin Sean Woodson
June 5, 2021 Featherweight Sean Woodson Youssef Zalal Sean Woodson
June 27, 2020 Catch Weight Sean Woodson Julian Erosa Julian Erosa
Oct. 18, 2019 Featherweight Kyle Bochniak Sean Woodson Sean Woodson