The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Josh Emmett's recent UFC performance shows a mixed bag of results, with his last two fights resulting in losses - one by submission and the other by unanimous decision. Emmett's strengths lie in his striking power and wrestling, honed at Team Alpha Male. He's known for his heavy hands and ability to deliver knockouts, as evidenced by his wins against Bektic and Johnson. However, his recent fights indicate a potential vulnerability in maintaining consistency throughout the fight, especially when faced with skilled grapplers or diverse strikers.
Bryce Mitchell, coming off a unanimous decision win against Dan Ige, boasts an impressive grappling and submission game. His record is peppered with submission wins, showing his prowess on the ground. Mitchell's strategy against Emmett will likely involve leveraging his superior wrestling and submission skills. His ability to maintain pressure and integrate striking with takedown attempts has served him well in past fights, like his win against Barboza, and will be crucial against Emmett's striking and wrestling defense.
Emmett's recent losses, particularly the submission loss to Rodriguez, could be a critical factor considering Mitchell's grappling strength. Emmett's striking remains a potent weapon, but his recent trend suggests a potential vulnerability against versatile fighters who can challenge him both on the feet and on the ground. Mitchell's relentless pressure and ground game might exploit these vulnerabilities. Additionally, Emmett's recent performance trend, losing 2 of his last 3 fights, indicates a possible downturn in his career trajectory.
Mitchell, on the other hand, has shown a more consistent upward trend, with his grappling and pressure fighting being particularly effective against diverse opponents. His recent win against Ige, a well-rounded fighter, further cements his capability to handle different fighting styles.
Considering Emmett's recent struggles, particularly against grapplers and versatile strikers, and Mitchell's consistent performance with a strong focus on grappling and pressure, WolfTicketsAI's prediction in favor of Bryce Mitchell seems well-founded. Mitchell's ability to blend striking with takedowns and control the ground game could be the key to overcoming Emmett's striking power and wrestling base.
Stat | Josh Emmett | Bryce Mitchell | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 38 | 29 | 31 | |
Height | 66" | 70" | 69" | |
Reach | 70" | 70" | 71" | |
Win Percentage | 81.82% | 88.89% | 79.28% | |
Wins | 19 | 16 | ||
Losses | 4 | 3 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 7 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 37.82% | 71.21% | 49.49% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 36.41% | 58.97% | 43.27% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.405 | 5.093 | 5.294 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.070 | 2.342 | 3.685 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.921 | 0.146 | 0.359 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -12.85% | 31.00% | 3.94% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -8.15% | 9.00% | 2.22% | |
Striking Output Differential | -14.85% | 25.88% | 7.44% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -11.23% | 0.38% | 5.07% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 167.68% | 48.28% | 83.68% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 180.11% | 98.33% | 105.99% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 61.13% | 58.42% | 48.16% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.084 | 1.610 | 0.653 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 0.921 | 3.512 | 1.479 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 2.429 | 8.488 | 4.123 | |
Takedown Defense | 114.29% | 200.00% | 82.45% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 37.93% | 41.38% | 33.58% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.591 | 1.551 | 2.297 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 9.096 | 2.820 | 6.063 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.339 | 1.093 | 2.294 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.871 | 0.644 | 0.806 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.396 | 0.966 | 1.161 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.692 | 0.322 | 0.938 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.609 | 0.146 | 0.581 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.687 | 0.185 | 0.707 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.631 | 0.224 | 0.549 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.235 | 0.098 | 0.431 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.313 | 0.166 | 0.588 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.235 | 0.068 | 0.591 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 24, 2023 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Ilia Topuria | Ilia Topuria | |
Feb. 11, 2023 | UFC Interim Featherweight Title | Yair Rodriguez | Josh Emmett | Yair Rodriguez | |
June 18, 2022 | Featherweight | Calvin Kattar | Josh Emmett | Josh Emmett | |
Dec. 11, 2021 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Dan Ige | Josh Emmett | |
June 20, 2020 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Shane Burgos | Josh Emmett | |
July 13, 2019 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Mirsad Bektic | Josh Emmett | |
March 30, 2019 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Michael Johnson | Josh Emmett | |
Feb. 24, 2018 | Featherweight | Josh Emmett | Jeremy Stephens | Jeremy Stephens | |
Dec. 16, 2017 | Featherweight | Ricardo Lamas | Josh Emmett | Josh Emmett | |
Oct. 21, 2017 | Featherweight | Felipe Arantes | Josh Emmett | Josh Emmett | |
April 8, 2017 | Lightweight | Josh Emmett | Desmond Green | Desmond Green | |
Dec. 17, 2016 | Lightweight | Josh Emmett | Scott Holtzman | Josh Emmett | |
May 8, 2016 | Lightweight | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett | Josh Emmett |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 23, 2023 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Dan Ige | Bryce Mitchell | |
Dec. 10, 2022 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Ilia Topuria | Ilia Topuria | |
March 5, 2022 | Featherweight | Edson Barboza | Bryce Mitchell | Bryce Mitchell | |
Oct. 31, 2020 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Andre Fili | Bryce Mitchell | |
May 9, 2020 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Charles Rosa | Bryce Mitchell | |
Dec. 7, 2019 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Matt Sayles | Bryce Mitchell | |
March 23, 2019 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Bobby Moffett | Bryce Mitchell | |
July 6, 2018 | Featherweight | Tyler Diamond | Bryce Mitchell | Bryce Mitchell |