UFC Fight Analysis: Cody Garbrandt vs Brian Kelleher

WolfTicketsAI Predicts Cody Garbrandt to Win

Cody Garbrandt's Breakdown

Cody Garbrandt's recent performance has been a mixed bag, with a 2-3 record in his last five UFC fights. Notably, three of these losses were by KO/TKO, raising concerns about his chin's durability. Despite this, his striking prowess remains formidable, averaging 2.2203 head strikes landed per minute. His wrestling background, with an average of 1.1290 takedowns per fight, provides a solid foundation for both offense and defense. Garbrandt's adaptability and fight IQ will be critical, especially in managing distance to avoid knockout punches.

Brian Kelleher's Breakdown

Brian Kelleher has a more varied record, with a 3-2 record in his last five UFC fights. His strength lies in his grappling, with an average of 1.7862 takedowns per fight and a strong submission game, evident in his recent wins. However, his chin and durability may be tested against Garbrandt's striking. Kelleher's strategy should focus on exploiting Garbrandt's known vulnerabilities, particularly the chin, while being cautious of Garbrandt's counter-striking ability. Engaging in clinch work and maintaining a strong defensive grappling game will be key to neutralizing Garbrandt's striking advantage.

Analysis and Key Points

Both fighters have their strengths and weaknesses. Garbrandt's striking is a significant threat, but his recent KO/TKO losses suggest vulnerability. Kelleher's grappling and submission skills could exploit this, but he must be wary of Garbrandt's power punches. Garbrandt's move to Flyweight and back to Bantamweight could affect his performance, while Kelleher's recent two-fight losing streak may impact his confidence. Kelleher should avoid stand-up exchanges and look for takedowns, while Garbrandt needs to maintain distance and utilize his striking advantage.

Conclusion

WolfTicketsAI's prediction in favor of Cody Garbrandt seems reasonable given his striking power and speed, though his recent vulnerability to knockouts is a concern. For Kelleher, the key to victory lies in his grappling and ability to withstand Garbrandt's powerful strikes. This fight could go either way, with Garbrandt having the edge in stand-up and Kelleher potentially dominating on the ground.