The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Andre Fili, with a UFC history marked by alternating wins and losses, displays a diverse skill set. Key strengths include his ability to switch stances, offering a dynamic challenge to opponents, and a strong jab that can control distance and set up power shots. His combination of high kicks with boxing techniques makes him a formidable striker. However, vulnerabilities lie in his predictability and a potential weakness in clinch work. Recent losses, especially the KO/TKO by Joanderson Brito, raise concerns about his striking defense. Fili's recent win percentage in the UFC is 0.33, signaling a possible downward trend in his career.
Lucas Almeida, comparatively inexperienced in the UFC with only two fights, shows promise but lacks a detailed analysis of his fighting style. His recent loss to Pat Sabatini by submission and a win by KO/TKO against Michael Trizano highlight a mixed performance. Almeida's limited UFC history makes it challenging to fully assess his capabilities and strategies against a versatile striker like Fili. His recent win percentage of 0.33 in the UFC, identical to Fili's, suggests he's still finding his footing in the promotion.
Andre Fili's experience and striking versatility position him as the favorite in this matchup, as predicted by WolfTicketsAI. However, his recent performances suggest potential vulnerabilities that Almeida could exploit. Almeida's limited UFC history presents both a challenge in assessing his full potential and an opportunity for him to surprise. This fight could be pivotal for both fighters in establishing their trajectories in the UFC.
Stat | Andre Fili | Lucas Almeida | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 33 | 32 | 31 | |
Height | 71" | 71" | 69" | |
Reach | 74" | 71" | 71" | |
Win Percentage | 68.75% | 87.50% | 79.28% | |
Wins | 23 | 14 | ||
Losses | 10 | 3 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 1 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 10 | 1 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 41.55% | 55.11% | 49.49% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 37.31% | 49.36% | 43.27% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.668 | 5.475 | 5.294 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.829 | 4.346 | 3.685 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 0.337 | 1.693 | 0.359 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -10.70% | -16.50% | 3.94% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | -3.40% | 9.50% | 2.22% | |
Striking Output Differential | 11.85% | 2.50% | 7.44% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | 19.50% | 29.50% | 5.07% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 97.31% | 42.27% | 83.68% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 114.30% | 50.65% | 105.99% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 51.42% | 40.21% | 48.16% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.269 | 0.000 | 0.653 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 2.222 | 0.000 | 1.479 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.645 | 0.000 | 4.123 | |
Takedown Defense | 44.68% | 200.00% | 82.45% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 47.83% | 0.00% | 33.58% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.756 | 1.806 | 2.297 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.770 | 5.475 | 6.063 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.329 | 2.371 | 2.294 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.552 | 0.960 | 0.806 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.835 | 1.298 | 1.161 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.763 | 0.734 | 0.938 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.521 | 1.580 | 0.581 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.655 | 2.032 | 0.707 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.041 | 0.169 | 0.549 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.193 | 0.056 | 0.431 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.350 | 0.056 | 0.588 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.166 | 0.169 | 0.591 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
July 22, 2023 | Featherweight | Nathaniel Wood | Andre Fili | Nathaniel Wood | |
Sept. 17, 2022 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Bill Algeo | Andre Fili | |
April 30, 2022 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Joanderson Brito | Joanderson Brito | |
June 26, 2021 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Daniel Pineda | None | |
Oct. 31, 2020 | Featherweight | Bryce Mitchell | Andre Fili | Bryce Mitchell | |
June 13, 2020 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Charles Jourdain | Andre Fili | |
Jan. 18, 2020 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Sodiq Yusuff | Sodiq Yusuff | |
July 13, 2019 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Sheymon Moraes | Andre Fili | |
Feb. 17, 2019 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Myles Jury | Andre Fili | |
Aug. 25, 2018 | Featherweight | Michael Johnson | Andre Fili | Michael Johnson | |
Jan. 27, 2018 | Featherweight | Dennis Bermudez | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
Oct. 21, 2017 | Featherweight | Artem Lobov | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
July 29, 2017 | Featherweight | Andre Fili | Calvin Kattar | Calvin Kattar | |
Oct. 1, 2016 | Featherweight | Hacran Dias | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
April 23, 2016 | Featherweight | Yair Rodriguez | Andre Fili | Yair Rodriguez | |
Nov. 21, 2015 | Featherweight | Gabriel Benitez | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
March 21, 2015 | Featherweight | Godofredo Pepey | Andre Fili | Godofredo Pepey | |
Oct. 25, 2014 | Featherweight | Felipe Arantes | Andre Fili | Andre Fili | |
April 26, 2014 | Featherweight | Max Holloway | Andre Fili | Max Holloway | |
Oct. 19, 2013 | Featherweight | Jeremy Larsen | Andre Fili | Andre Fili |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 17, 2023 | Featherweight | Pat Sabatini | Lucas Almeida | Pat Sabatini | |
June 4, 2022 | Featherweight | Michael Trizano | Lucas Almeida | Lucas Almeida |