Tabatha Ricci vs. Loopy Godinez - UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Loopy Godinez by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: 10.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Tabatha Ricci
3
14
+128
Loopy Godinez
16
15.4
-155

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Fighter Comparison

Tabatha Ricci ("Baby Shark")

  • Record: 9 Wins, 1 Loss.
  • UFC Career: Strong grappling skills with high takedown attempts. Shows resilience in bouncing back from a debut loss.
  • Recent Performance: Consistent wins, including a notable submission victory, showcasing her grappling prowess.

Loopy Godinez

  • Record: 11 Wins, 3 Losses.
  • UFC Career: A well-rounded fighter with a balance of striking and grappling. Demonstrates high activity in both striking and takedowns.
  • Recent Performance: Mixed results but with recent wins, including a Performance of the Night award, highlighting her versatile skill set.

WolfTicketsAI Prediction: Godinez to Win

Analysis Behind the Prediction

  1. Grappling vs. Striking Balance: Godinez’s balance in striking and grappling provides a tactical advantage over Ricci, who is more grappling-oriented.
  2. Volume and Pressure: Godinez's high volume in strikes and takedown attempts could overwhelm Ricci, especially if the fight stays standing.
  3. Recent Momentum: Godinez’s recent performances, including a Performance of the Night, indicate a strong momentum and adaptability in various fight scenarios.

Key Heuristics

  • Recent Losses: While both fighters have recent losses, their ability to bounce back with wins demonstrates resilience and adaptability.
  • Fighter Experience: Both fighters have adequate UFC experience to provide a reliable basis for the prediction.
  • Career Trends: No significant downward trend observed for either fighter. Both are showing development and growth in their UFC careers.

Additional Insights

  • Fighter Versatility: Godinez's ability to adapt to different fighting styles could be key against Ricci’s grappling-centric approach.
  • Fight Style Matchup: The fight poses an interesting style matchup, with Godinez's striking and volume potentially challenging Ricci's grappling focus.

Conclusion

Loopy Godinez is predicted to prevail over Tabatha Ricci, primarily due to her balanced approach in both striking and grappling, coupled with her high fight volume. Godinez's recent performances and adaptability in various fight scenarios give her an edge over Ricci’s grappling-centric style. This fight promises to be an intriguing clash of styles, with Godinez’s versatility and momentum likely playing a pivotal role

Stat Breakdown

Stat Tabatha Ricci Loopy Godinez
Main Stats
Age 28 30
Height 61" 62"
Reach 61" 61"
Win Percentage 90.00% 78.57%
Wins 9 12
Losses 2 3
Wins at Weight Class 4 5
Losses at Weight Class 0 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 45.01% 56.69%
Significant Striking Accuracy 37.18% 50.26%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.209 5.820
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.117 4.030
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.127
Striking Impact Differential -4.80% 6.44%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -4.00% 6.67%
Striking Output Differential -6.00% -16.44%
Significant Striking Output Differential -4.80% -17.22%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 123.80% 106.41%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 170.56% 144.21%
Striking Defense Percentage 61.22% 62.27%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.249 1.273
Takedowns per Fight 4.234 3.818
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 8.716 8.018
Takedown Defense 50.00% 21.05%
Takedown Accuracy 48.57% 47.62%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.275 3.080
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.517 6.770
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.573 2.070
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.648 0.670
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.046 0.916
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.046 1.001
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.195 0.280
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.511 0.331
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.830 0.450
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.183 0.339
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.266 0.509
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.448 0.314
Tabatha Ricci History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 24, 2023 Women's Strawweight Tabatha Ricci Gillian Robertson Tabatha Ricci
March 4, 2023 Women's Strawweight Jessica Penne Tabatha Ricci Tabatha Ricci
May 21, 2022 Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana Tabatha Ricci Tabatha Ricci
Oct. 23, 2021 Women's Strawweight Tabatha Ricci Maria Oliveira Tabatha Ricci
June 5, 2021 Women's Flyweight Manon Fiorot Tabatha Ricci Manon Fiorot
Loopy Godinez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 16, 2023 Women's Strawweight Loopy Godinez Elise Reed Loopy Godinez
May 20, 2023 Catch Weight Emily Ducote Loopy Godinez Loopy Godinez
April 8, 2023 Women's Strawweight Cynthia Calvillo Loopy Godinez Loopy Godinez
Aug. 13, 2022 Catch Weight Angela Hill Loopy Godinez Angela Hill
May 7, 2022 Women's Strawweight Ariane Carnelossi Loopy Godinez Loopy Godinez
Nov. 20, 2021 Women's Strawweight Loma Lookboonmee Loopy Godinez Loopy Godinez
Oct. 16, 2021 Women's Flyweight Loopy Godinez Luana Carolina Luana Carolina
Oct. 9, 2021 Women's Strawweight Loopy Godinez Silvana Gomez Juarez Loopy Godinez
April 17, 2021 Women's Strawweight Jessica Penne Loopy Godinez Jessica Penne