Nazim Sadykhov vs. Viacheslav Borshchev - UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: None by Decision - Majority

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: 10.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Nazim Sadykhov
8
13
-140
Viacheslav Borshchev
17
30.7
+115

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Fighter Overview

Nazim Sadykhov ("Black Wolf")

  • Record: 9 Wins, 1 Loss.
  • UFC Career: Demonstrates a solid striking game, complemented by effective takedown skills.
  • Recent Performance: Impressive recent victories, including a submission win, reflecting his well-rounded abilities.

Viacheslav Borshchev ("Slava Claus")

  • Record: 7 Wins, 3 Losses.
  • UFC Career: Known for his striking power, with significant knockdowns per fight. However, shows less emphasis on grappling.
  • Recent Performance: Mixed results but includes a notable knockout win, showcasing his striking ability.

WolfTicketsAI Prediction: Borshchev to Win

Prediction Rationale

  1. Striking Dominance: Borshchev's higher knockdown rate and significant striking accuracy give him an edge in the stand-up game.
  2. Recent Knockout Win: His recent victory via knockout highlights his power and ability to finish fights.
  3. Defensive Skills: Borshchev's takedown defense ratio suggests he could effectively counter Sadykhov's takedown attempts.

Key Heuristics

  • Recent Losses by KO/TKO: Neither fighter has recent losses by KO/TKO, indicating resilience and durability in their fights.
  • Experience Level: Both fighters have a sufficient number of UFC fights to provide a reliable basis for the prediction.
  • Career Trajectory: No significant downward trend for either fighter; both show potential and growth in their careers.

Additional Insights

  • Fighter Versatility: Sadykhov’s versatility in both striking and grappling poses a challenge to Borshchev.
  • Style Matchup: The fight presents an intriguing clash of styles, with Borshchev's striking prowess against Sadykhov's more well-rounded approach.

Conclusion

Viacheslav Borshchev’s predicted victory over Nazim Sadykhov is primarily based on his superior striking power and recent performance, especially his ability to score knockdowns. While Sadykhov brings a well-rounded skill set to the match, Borshchev’s striking dominance and effective takedown defense are likely to play a pivotal role in this lightweight bout.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Nazim Sadykhov Viacheslav Borshchev
Main Stats
Age 29 31
Height 70" 71"
Reach 69" 69"
Win Percentage 90.00% 70.00%
Wins 8 7
Losses 1 3
Wins at Weight Class 2 2
Losses at Weight Class 0 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.17% 60.72%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.98% 56.05%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.433 5.266
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.299 4.251
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 1.449
Striking Impact Differential -7.00% 8.25%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -2.00% 12.75%
Striking Output Differential -12.00% -1.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential -4.50% 5.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 95.60% 82.11%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 111.11% 94.89%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.28% 57.19%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.896 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.896 0.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.896 0.000
Takedown Defense 37.50% 183.33%
Takedown Accuracy 100.00% 0.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.627 2.029
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.806 5.169
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.672 2.246
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.134 0.845
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.254 0.966
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.328 0.193
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.537 1.377
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.716 1.449
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.537 0.580
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.597 0.435
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.836 0.676
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.716 0.266
Nazim Sadykhov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 15, 2023 Lightweight Nazim Sadykhov Terrance McKinney Nazim Sadykhov
Feb. 18, 2023 Lightweight Nazim Sadykhov Evan Elder Nazim Sadykhov
Viacheslav Borshchev History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 20, 2023 Lightweight Maheshate Viacheslav Borshchev Viacheslav Borshchev
Oct. 1, 2022 Lightweight Mike Davis Viacheslav Borshchev Mike Davis
March 26, 2022 Lightweight Marc Diakiese Viacheslav Borshchev Marc Diakiese
Jan. 15, 2022 Lightweight Dakota Bush Viacheslav Borshchev Viacheslav Borshchev