The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Benoit Saint Denis is predicted to triumph over Matt Frevola, primarily due to his aggressive fighting style, balanced skill set, and recent momentum. Saint Denis’ ability to maintain a high pace and volume in both striking and grappling poses a significant challenge for Frevola. While Frevola has demonstrated resilience and capability in his recent fights, Saint Denis’ current trajectory and versatile approach give him the edge in this lightweight contest.
Stat | Matt Frevola | Benoit Saint Denis | Weight Class Average | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Main Stats | ||||
Age | 33 | 27 | 31 | |
Height | 69" | 71" | 70" | |
Reach | 71" | 73" | 72" | |
Win Percentage | 78.57% | 92.31% | 80.25% | |
Wins | 11 | 13 | ||
Losses | 4 | 1 | ||
Wins at Weight Class | 5 | 4 | ||
Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 0 | ||
Striking Stats | ||||
Striking Accuracy | 47.35% | 61.22% | 47.99% | |
Significant Striking Accuracy | 42.27% | 52.50% | 42.40% | |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.901 | 8.710 | 5.186 | |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.887 | 5.589 | 3.814 | |
Knockdowns per Fight | 1.268 | 1.089 | 1.121 | |
Striking Impact Differential | -0.22% | 19.60% | 1.36% | |
Significant Striking Impact Differential | 1.22% | 2.60% | 0.42% | |
Striking Output Differential | -4.67% | 28.00% | 2.43% | |
Significant Striking Output Differential | -1.44% | 8.80% | 1.32% | |
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 122.70% | 51.67% | 87.59% | |
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 145.29% | 77.06% | 110.38% | |
Striking Defense Percentage | 60.21% | 44.95% | 48.11% | |
Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
Submissions per Fight | 0.634 | 1.452 | 0.477 | |
Takedowns per Fight | 2.113 | 4.718 | 1.538 | |
Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 6.127 | 13.065 | 4.119 | |
Takedown Defense | 150.00% | 25.00% | 83.98% | |
Takedown Accuracy | 34.48% | 36.11% | 28.94% | |
Head Stats | ||||
Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.718 | 3.169 | 2.461 | |
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 7.268 | 7.718 | 6.229 | |
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.648 | 3.218 | 2.286 | |
Body Stats | ||||
Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.634 | 1.597 | 0.795 | |
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.324 | 2.081 | 1.154 | |
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.789 | 1.476 | 0.766 | |
Leg Stats | ||||
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.535 | 0.823 | 0.559 | |
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.606 | 0.847 | 0.666 | |
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.296 | 0.581 | 0.559 | |
Clinch Stats | ||||
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.366 | 0.460 | 0.378 | |
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.676 | 0.702 | 0.539 | |
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.296 | 1.089 | 0.393 |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
May 6, 2023 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Matt Frevola | Matt Frevola | |
Nov. 12, 2022 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Ottman Azaitar | Matt Frevola | |
Jan. 22, 2022 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Genaro Valdez | Matt Frevola | |
June 12, 2021 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Terrance McKinney | Terrance McKinney | |
Jan. 23, 2021 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola | Arman Tsarukyan | |
Oct. 12, 2019 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Luis Pena | Matt Frevola | |
April 13, 2019 | Lightweight | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola | Matt Frevola | |
Nov. 3, 2018 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Lando Vannata | None | |
Jan. 14, 2018 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Marco Polo Reyes | Marco Polo Reyes |
Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 2, 2023 | Lightweight | Benoit Saint Denis | Thiago Moises | Benoit Saint Denis | |
July 1, 2023 | Lightweight | Ismael Bonfim | Benoit Saint Denis | Benoit Saint Denis | |
Sept. 3, 2022 | Lightweight | Benoit Saint Denis | Gabriel Miranda | Benoit Saint Denis | |
June 4, 2022 | Lightweight | Niklas Stolze | Benoit Saint Denis | Benoit Saint Denis | |
Oct. 30, 2021 | Welterweight | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | Benoit Saint Denis | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |