Dennis Buzukja vs. Jamall Emmers - UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jamall Emmers by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: New York City, New York, USA
Elevation: 10.00m
Weight Class: Featherweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Dennis Buzukja
+210
Jamall Emmers
12
1
13
0.9
-260

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Fighter Overview

Dennis Buzukja ("The Great")

  • Record: 8 Wins, 3 Losses.
  • Style: Striking-oriented fighter with solid defense.
  • Recent Form: Coming off a unanimous decision loss in August 2023.

Jamall Emmers ("Pretty Boy")

  • Record: 19 Wins, 7 Losses.
  • Style: Balanced fighter with a strong wrestling base and effective striking.
  • Recent Form: Mixed results with a recent split decision loss in June 2023 but a unanimous decision win earlier in February 2023.

WolfTicketsAI Prediction: Emmers to Win

Reasoning Behind Prediction

  1. Experience: Emmers has a significant experience advantage with more fights and victories.
  2. Versatility: His balanced approach in striking and grappling gives him adaptability against Buzukja's striking-focused style.
  3. Recent Performance: Despite a recent loss, Emmers' victory against a tough opponent like Khusein Askhabov showcases his capability to bounce back.

Key Heuristics

  • KO/TKO Losses: Neither fighter has a recent history of being knocked out, suggesting a potentially durable matchup.
  • Career Trajectory: Emmers shows a broader range of experience and has faced a diverse set of opponents.
  • Fighter Adaptability: Emmers' ability to switch between striking and wrestling could be key against Buzukja's striking defense.

Additional Factors

  • Fighter Resilience: Both fighters have demonstrated the ability to come back from setbacks, indicating a potentially competitive fight.
  • Style Matchup: Emmers’ wrestling could be the deciding factor against Buzukja's striking-centric approach.

Conclusion

Jamall Emmers' predicted victory over Dennis Buzukja is rooted in his experience, versatility, and ability to adapt his fighting style. While Buzukja poses a threat with his striking, Emmers’ well-rounded skill set and proven track record in grappling and striking make him a formidable opponent in this featherweight clash.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Dennis Buzukja Jamall Emmers
Main Stats
Age 26 34
Height 69" 70"
Reach 70" 74"
Win Percentage 72.73% 73.08%
Wins 11 20
Losses 4 7
Wins at Weight Class 0 2
Losses at Weight Class 1 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 38.02% 47.40%
Significant Striking Accuracy 36.21% 44.97%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.067 5.446
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.800 4.622
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -117.00% 10.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -29.00% 16.40%
Striking Output Differential -108.00% 19.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -10.00% 24.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 143.48% 97.63%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 130.95% 109.09%
Striking Defense Percentage 43.65% 60.47%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.242
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 2.182
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.000 5.333
Takedown Defense 400.00% 11.11%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 40.91%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.600 2.359
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.667 6.852
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.400 1.923
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.733 1.519
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.133 2.214
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.200 0.663
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.467 0.743
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.933 1.212
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.133 0.711
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 0.598
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.533 0.808
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.533 0.275
Dennis Buzukja History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 5, 2023 Featherweight Sean Woodson Dennis Buzukja Sean Woodson
Jamall Emmers History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
June 24, 2023 Featherweight Jamall Emmers Jack Jenkins Jack Jenkins
Feb. 18, 2023 Featherweight Jamall Emmers Khusein Askhabov Jamall Emmers
Aug. 28, 2021 Featherweight Jamall Emmers Pat Sabatini Pat Sabatini
Aug. 1, 2020 Featherweight Jamall Emmers Vince Cachero Jamall Emmers
March 7, 2020 Featherweight Giga Chikadze Jamall Emmers Giga Chikadze