The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
WolfTicketsAI has predicted Mokaev to reign supreme in his upcoming scrap with Elliott. The 23-year-old phenom is undefeated with 4 dominant wins in the Octagon, exhibiting vicious ground and pound and a nasty guillotine choke. Meanwhile the 36-year-old Elliott's best days appear behind him, with a 3 fight loss streak starting in 2019, and being 2-1 in his last 3 against lower ranked opposition. Elliott's slippery scrambles could frustrate early but Mokaev's relentless pressure and nasty top game should overwhelm as the fight wears on. Expect The Punisher to continue his rampage, notching another W to remain unbeaten.
| Stat | Tim Elliott | Muhammad Mokaev | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 36 | 23 | 30 | |
| Height | 67" | 67" | 66" | |
| Reach | 66" | 70" | 68" | |
| Win Percentage | 62.50% | 100.00% | 79.95% | |
| Wins | 20 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 13 | 0 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 9 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 59.93% | 79.18% | 50.60% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 44.29% | 54.26% | 43.06% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.757 | 5.163 | 4.717 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.468 | 1.135 | 3.210 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.132 | 0.334 | 0.559 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 43.50% | 17.00% | 0.32% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 9.00% | 3.00% | -0.85% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 60.83% | 13.75% | -1.96% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 18.28% | -2.00% | -3.52% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 49.24% | 31.90% | 89.32% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 104.68% | 123.53% | 121.49% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 56.83% | 61.76% | 46.58% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.921 | 1.335 | 0.843 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 3.880 | 7.344 | 1.417 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 8.221 | 13.687 | 4.108 | |
| Takedown Defense | 66.67% | 0.00% | 82.79% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 47.20% | 53.66% | 24.86% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.021 | 0.512 | 1.924 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.621 | 1.269 | 5.045 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.877 | 0.423 | 2.156 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.710 | 0.445 | 0.770 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.245 | 0.601 | 1.066 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.566 | 0.245 | 0.805 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.737 | 0.178 | 0.516 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.965 | 0.223 | 0.647 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.316 | 0.200 | 0.543 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.623 | 0.022 | 0.250 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.886 | 0.045 | 0.363 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.333 | 0.178 | 0.276 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2023 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Victor Altamirano | Tim Elliott | |
| March 5, 2022 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Tagir Ulanbekov | Tim Elliott | |
| Oct. 9, 2021 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Matheus Nicolau | Matheus Nicolau | |
| March 6, 2021 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Jordan Espinosa | Tim Elliott | |
| July 15, 2020 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Ryan Benoit | Tim Elliott | |
| May 30, 2020 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Brandon Royval | Brandon Royval | |
| Jan. 18, 2020 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Askar Askarov | Askar Askarov | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Flyweight | Deiveson Figueiredo | Tim Elliott | Deiveson Figueiredo | |
| Dec. 30, 2017 | Bantamweight | Tim Elliott | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott | |
| June 10, 2017 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Ben Nguyen | Ben Nguyen | |
| April 15, 2017 | Flyweight | Louis Smolka | Tim Elliott | Tim Elliott | |
| Dec. 3, 2016 | UFC Flyweight Title | Demetrious Johnson | Tim Elliott | Demetrious Johnson | |
| Feb. 14, 2015 | Flyweight | Zach Makovsky | Tim Elliott | Zach Makovsky | |
| April 26, 2014 | Flyweight | Joseph Benavidez | Tim Elliott | Joseph Benavidez | |
| Nov. 16, 2013 | Flyweight | Tim Elliott | Ali Bagautinov | Ali Bagautinov | |
| Aug. 31, 2013 | Flyweight | Louis Gaudinot | Tim Elliott | Tim Elliott | |
| Dec. 15, 2012 | Flyweight | Jared Papazian | Tim Elliott | Tim Elliott | |
| May 5, 2012 | Flyweight | John Dodson | Tim Elliott | John Dodson |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 18, 2023 | Flyweight | Muhammad Mokaev | Jafel Filho | Muhammad Mokaev | |
| Oct. 22, 2022 | Flyweight | Muhammad Mokaev | Malcolm Gordon | Muhammad Mokaev | |
| July 23, 2022 | Flyweight | Muhammad Mokaev | Charles Johnson | Muhammad Mokaev | |
| March 19, 2022 | Flyweight | Muhammad Mokaev | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |