The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Muhammad "Hillman" Naimov has his work cut out for him taking on veteran contender Nathaniel "The Prospect" Wood in this featherweight matchup. While Naimov is a dangerous striker with knockout power, his limited UFC experience could be a problem against the crafty Wood. Wood has 20 wins under his belt and has faced top competition, recently defeating Fili and Jourdain. However, his 5 losses show he is beatable, including KO defeats to Dodson and Kenney. This fight likely comes down to whether Naimov can avoid Wood's submissions while landing his powerful strikes. WolfTicketsAI is predicting Wood, but don't count out the heavy-handed Naimov as the underdog. This should be an exciting scrap between a tested veteran and an upstart knockout artist.
| Stat | Nathaniel Wood | Muhammad Naimov | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 29 | 31 | |
| Height | 66" | 69" | 69" | |
| Reach | 69" | 70" | 71" | |
| Win Percentage | 80.00% | 81.82% | 79.49% | |
| Wins | 19 | 10 | ||
| Losses | 6 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 3 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 54.78% | 41.67% | 49.68% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 49.21% | 40.00% | 43.40% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 8.059 | 3.758 | 5.322 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.243 | 3.507 | 3.723 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.262 | 1.879 | 0.365 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 37.78% | -10.00% | 4.84% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 24.11% | -11.00% | 2.66% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 45.78% | -1.00% | 8.21% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 30.78% | -1.00% | 5.36% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 74.76% | 110.00% | 84.44% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 94.83% | 114.29% | 107.42% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 57.65% | 45.07% | 48.59% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.524 | 0.000 | 0.639 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.703 | 0.000 | 1.450 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 3.143 | 1.879 | 4.093 | |
| Takedown Defense | 31.58% | 60.00% | 78.93% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 54.17% | 0.00% | 34.83% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 3.318 | 2.129 | 2.335 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.714 | 7.015 | 6.120 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.672 | 1.879 | 2.273 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.699 | 0.626 | 0.818 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.257 | 1.002 | 1.177 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.899 | 1.754 | 0.942 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.226 | 0.752 | 0.571 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 2.715 | 0.752 | 0.694 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.777 | 1.253 | 0.559 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.375 | 0.376 | 0.442 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.515 | 0.626 | 0.602 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.472 | 1.503 | 0.585 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 22, 2023 | Featherweight | Nathaniel Wood | Andre Fili | Nathaniel Wood | |
| Sept. 3, 2022 | Featherweight | Charles Jourdain | Nathaniel Wood | Nathaniel Wood | |
| July 23, 2022 | Featherweight | Nathaniel Wood | Charles Rosa | Nathaniel Wood | |
| Oct. 24, 2020 | Catch Weight | Nathaniel Wood | Casey Kenney | Casey Kenney | |
| July 25, 2020 | Bantamweight | Nathaniel Wood | John Castaneda | Nathaniel Wood | |
| Feb. 15, 2020 | Bantamweight | John Dodson | Nathaniel Wood | John Dodson | |
| March 16, 2019 | Bantamweight | Nathaniel Wood | Jose Quinonez | Nathaniel Wood | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | Bantamweight | Nathaniel Wood | Andre Ewell | Nathaniel Wood | |
| June 1, 2018 | Bantamweight | Johnny Eduardo | Nathaniel Wood | Nathaniel Wood |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2023 | Lightweight | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov | Muhammad Naimov |