Mike Breeden vs. Anshul Jubli - UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Mike Breeden by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Elevation: 27.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mike Breeden
+300
Anshul Jubli
31
5
15
-0.8
-400

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

WolfTicketsAI has predicted Anshul Jubli to defeat Mike Breeden, which is a reasonable pick given the data. Jubli is undefeated with 7 wins and no losses or no contests. He has finished every UFC fight by KO/TKO showing dangerous striking accuracy, power, and defense. His striking stats are far superior to Breeden's in accuracy and impact. Breeden is on a 3 fight losing skid with 2 by KO/TKO which is concerning for his chin and Wolftickets likely factored this recent poor stretch into their prediction. Breeden does have more MMA experience but his 10-6 record shows inconsistency. Coming off 2 bad KO losses and facing a surging finisher like Jubli spells trouble for Breeden. The betting odds confirm Anshul Jubli as a heavy favorite. Look for the King of Lions to continue his reign of terror against the outmatched Money Breeden.

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mike Breeden Anshul Jubli
Main Stats
Age 34 28
Height 70" 72"
Reach 70" 69"
Win Percentage 62.50% 100.00%
Wins 11 7
Losses 6 1
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 3 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 50.62% 74.75%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.26% 74.51%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.873 8.473
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.254 4.351
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential -9.00% 54.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -10.33% 24.00%
Striking Output Differential 3.00% 59.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 2.33% 26.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 68.03% 27.03%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 72.97% 28.95%
Striking Defense Percentage 36.32% 44.00%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 1.718
Takedowns per Fight 2.535 3.435
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.225 8.588
Takedown Defense 81.82% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 60.00% 40.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.831 4.122
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 9.859 5.382
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 5.972 0.229
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 2.254 0.115
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.930 0.344
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.690 0.344
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.169 0.115
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.169 0.115
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.338 1.031
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.789 0.000
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.296 0.000
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.183 0.229
Mike Breeden History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 12, 2023 Lightweight Terrance McKinney Mike Breeden Terrance McKinney
April 30, 2022 Lightweight Natan Levy Mike Breeden Natan Levy
Oct. 2, 2021 Lightweight Alexander Hernandez Mike Breeden Alexander Hernandez
Anshul Jubli History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 4, 2023 Road To UFC 1 Lightweight Tournament Title Jeka Saragih Anshul Jubli Anshul Jubli