The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
Aliskerov is riding high after a first round KO of Phil Hawes back in May. With 14 wins and just 1 loss, he's proven to be a dangerous striker who can end fights suddenly. Alves on the other hand has struggled as of late, losing 4 of his last 6. While he has more experience than Aliskerov, his downward trajectory indicates that his best days may be behind him. WolfTicketsAI has predicted Aliskerov to get his hand raised in this one. Given Aliskerov's momentum and Alves' recent skid, this seems like a sound prediction. Aliskerov's fight ending power coupled with Alves' deteriorating durability spells trouble for the veteran. Don't be surprised if Aliskerov adds another KO to his highlight reel.
| Stat | Ikram Aliskerov | Warlley Alves | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 30 | 32 | 32 | |
| Height | 72" | 71" | 73" | |
| Reach | 76" | 72" | 75" | |
| Win Percentage | 93.33% | 71.43% | 78.94% | |
| Wins | 15 | 15 | ||
| Losses | 1 | 7 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 60.61% | 52.53% | 54.52% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 60.61% | 47.85% | 48.40% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.231 | 4.009 | 5.820 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 9.231 | 3.215 | 4.215 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 6.923 | 0.317 | 1.204 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 3.00% | -18.36% | 4.64% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 3.00% | -8.86% | 2.87% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 5.00% | -26.86% | 5.56% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 5.00% | -17.21% | 3.17% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 55.00% | 111.23% | 82.49% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 55.00% | 134.57% | 102.33% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 39.29% | 51.42% | 49.45% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.950 | 0.627 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.000 | 1.372 | 1.515 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.000 | 2.743 | 3.915 | |
| Takedown Defense | 100.00% | 25.00% | 83.26% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 0.00% | 50.00% | 32.70% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 6.000 | 1.815 | 2.864 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 11.077 | 4.804 | 6.365 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.846 | 2.729 | 2.275 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.769 | 0.746 | 0.872 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 3.692 | 1.069 | 1.138 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 4.615 | 0.964 | 0.800 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.462 | 0.654 | 0.479 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.462 | 0.844 | 0.558 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 1.385 | 0.394 | 0.527 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.462 | 0.499 | 0.516 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.923 | 0.675 | 0.675 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.000 | 0.886 | 0.459 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Middleweight | Phil Hawes | Ikram Aliskerov | Ikram Aliskerov |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 21, 2023 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Nicolas Dalby | Nicolas Dalby | |
| June 26, 2021 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Jeremiah Wells | Jeremiah Wells | |
| Jan. 20, 2021 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Mounir Lazzez | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Randy Brown | Randy Brown | |
| May 11, 2019 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Sergio Moraes | Warlley Alves | |
| Aug. 25, 2018 | Welterweight | James Krause | Warlley Alves | James Krause | |
| May 12, 2018 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Sultan Aliev | Warlley Alves | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Welterweight | Salim Touahri | Warlley Alves | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 19, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| May 14, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Bryan Barberena | Bryan Barberena | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Colby Covington | Warlley Alves | |
| Aug. 1, 2015 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Nordine Taleb | Warlley Alves | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Alan Jouban | Warlley Alves | |
| May 31, 2014 | Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament Title | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves | Warlley Alves |