Tai Tuivasa vs. Alexander Volkov - UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Alexander Volkov by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Elevation: 80.00m
Weight Class: Heavyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Tai Tuivasa
+190
Alexander Volkov
11
7
16
-0.4
-240

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Tai Tuivasa Alexander Volkov
Main Stats
Age 30 34
Height 74" 79"
Reach 75" 80"
Win Percentage 75.00% 78.26%
Wins 15 37
Losses 6 10
Wins at Weight Class 8 10
Losses at Weight Class 5 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 52.69% 61.50%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.93% 56.80%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.625 6.606
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.096 5.229
Knockdowns per Fight 1.381 0.255
Striking Impact Differential -4.23% 32.43%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -2.46% 25.07%
Striking Output Differential -1.38% 34.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential 0.31% 26.93%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 80.60% 60.72%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 90.17% 73.24%
Striking Defense Percentage 45.28% 54.17%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 0.595
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.518 0.850
Takedown Defense 90.91% 33.87%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 70.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.589 3.252
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.224 6.793
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.106 1.847
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.713 1.071
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.886 1.348
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.874 0.691
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.794 0.906
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.093 1.065
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.483 0.703
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 1.093 0.521
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.519 0.765
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.518 0.198
Tai Tuivasa History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Dec. 3, 2022 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Sergei Pavlovich Sergei Pavlovich
Sept. 3, 2022 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Tai Tuivasa Ciryl Gane
Feb. 12, 2022 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Dec. 11, 2021 Heavyweight Augusto Sakai Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
July 10, 2021 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Greg Hardy Tai Tuivasa
March 20, 2021 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Harry Hunsucker Tai Tuivasa
Oct. 24, 2020 Heavyweight Stefan Struve Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Oct. 5, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Serghei Spivac Serghei Spivac
June 8, 2019 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Blagoy Ivanov Blagoy Ivanov
Dec. 1, 2018 Heavyweight Junior Dos Santos Tai Tuivasa Junior Dos Santos
June 9, 2018 Heavyweight Andrei Arlovski Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Feb. 10, 2018 Heavyweight Tai Tuivasa Cyril Asker Tai Tuivasa
Nov. 18, 2017 Heavyweight Rashad Coulter Tai Tuivasa Tai Tuivasa
Alexander Volkov History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 11, 2023 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Alexandr Romanov Alexander Volkov
June 4, 2022 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Jairzinho Rozenstruik Alexander Volkov
March 19, 2022 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Tom Aspinall Tom Aspinall
Oct. 30, 2021 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Marcin Tybura Alexander Volkov
June 26, 2021 Heavyweight Ciryl Gane Alexander Volkov Ciryl Gane
Feb. 6, 2021 Heavyweight Alistair Overeem Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov
Oct. 24, 2020 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Walt Harris Alexander Volkov
June 20, 2020 Heavyweight Curtis Blaydes Alexander Volkov Curtis Blaydes
Nov. 9, 2019 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Greg Hardy Alexander Volkov
Oct. 6, 2018 Heavyweight Derrick Lewis Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis
March 17, 2018 Heavyweight Fabricio Werdum Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov
Sept. 2, 2017 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Stefan Struve Alexander Volkov
April 15, 2017 Heavyweight Alexander Volkov Roy Nelson Alexander Volkov
Nov. 19, 2016 Heavyweight Timothy Johnson Alexander Volkov Alexander Volkov