Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Mario Bautista - UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Mario Bautista by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Elevation: 14.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Da'Mon Blackshear
15
+180
Mario Bautista
22
0
10.4
-220

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Da'Mon Blackshear Mario Bautista
Main Stats
Age 29 30
Height 70" 69"
Reach 72" 69"
Win Percentage 73.68% 85.71%
Wins 14 13
Losses 6 2
Wins at Weight Class 2 6
Losses at Weight Class 2 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.59% 57.65%
Significant Striking Accuracy 44.73% 50.33%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.763 7.451
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.678 5.333
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.265
Striking Impact Differential 10.25% 21.13%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 0.00% 11.38%
Striking Output Differential 19.25% 27.25%
Significant Striking Output Differential 7.25% 16.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 71.95% 61.85%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 105.10% 85.10%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.24% 54.91%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.054 1.324
Takedowns per Fight 1.757 2.914
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.974 4.238
Takedown Defense 83.33% 60.00%
Takedown Accuracy 29.41% 68.75%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.921 3.408
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.623 8.034
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.319 2.260
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.726 1.183
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.148 1.642
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.890 0.671
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.031 0.742
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.453 0.918
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.469 0.795
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.492 1.059
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.679 1.289
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.281 0.494
Da'Mon Blackshear History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 12, 2023 Bantamweight Da'Mon Blackshear Jose Johnson Da'Mon Blackshear
June 3, 2023 Bantamweight Da'Mon Blackshear Luan Lacerda Da'Mon Blackshear
March 4, 2023 Bantamweight Da'Mon Blackshear Farid Basharat Farid Basharat
Aug. 13, 2022 Bantamweight Youssef Zalal Da'Mon Blackshear None
Mario Bautista History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 11, 2023 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Guido Cannetti Mario Bautista
Nov. 5, 2022 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Benito Lopez Mario Bautista
June 25, 2022 Bantamweight Brian Kelleher Mario Bautista Mario Bautista
Feb. 19, 2022 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Jay Perrin Mario Bautista
March 6, 2021 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Trevin Jones Trevin Jones
Feb. 8, 2020 Bantamweight Miles Johns Mario Bautista Mario Bautista
July 20, 2019 Bantamweight Mario Bautista Jin Soo Son Mario Bautista
Jan. 19, 2019 Bantamweight Cory Sandhagen Mario Bautista Cory Sandhagen