The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Chris Weidman | Brad Tavares | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 39 | 35 | 32 | |
| Height | 74" | 73" | 73" | |
| Reach | 78" | 74" | 75" | |
| Win Percentage | 71.43% | 67.86% | 78.46% | |
| Wins | 15 | 20 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 9 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 7 | 14 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 4 | 8 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 52.52% | 47.65% | 54.80% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 43.38% | 42.47% | 48.44% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.695 | 4.182 | 5.787 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.029 | 3.316 | 4.151 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.274 | 0.213 | 1.125 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 4.94% | -1.00% | 4.10% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | -1.12% | 3.32% | 2.63% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 11.47% | 5.32% | 5.07% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 3.94% | 9.73% | 3.03% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 76.04% | 98.05% | 82.92% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 113.25% | 120.34% | 103.71% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 52.17% | 56.62% | 49.63% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.912 | 0.000 | 0.604 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 3.923 | 0.852 | 1.510 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 8.302 | 3.195 | 4.007 | |
| Takedown Defense | 53.33% | 23.81% | 81.74% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 47.25% | 26.67% | 33.21% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.281 | 1.985 | 2.830 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.839 | 5.986 | 6.337 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.111 | 1.811 | 2.258 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.462 | 0.575 | 0.846 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.772 | 0.905 | 1.111 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.675 | 0.501 | 0.798 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.286 | 0.756 | 0.475 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.371 | 0.916 | 0.555 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.359 | 0.746 | 0.521 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.310 | 0.462 | 0.531 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.474 | 0.710 | 0.698 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.554 | 0.565 | 0.477 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 24, 2021 | Middleweight | Uriah Hall | Chris Weidman | Uriah Hall | |
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Middleweight | Omari Akhmedov | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Dominick Reyes | Chris Weidman | Dominick Reyes | |
| Nov. 3, 2018 | Middleweight | Chris Weidman | Jacare Souza | Jacare Souza | |
| July 22, 2017 | Middleweight | Chris Weidman | Kelvin Gastelum | Chris Weidman | |
| April 8, 2017 | Middleweight | Chris Weidman | Gegard Mousasi | Gegard Mousasi | |
| Nov. 12, 2016 | Middleweight | Chris Weidman | Yoel Romero | Yoel Romero | |
| Dec. 12, 2015 | UFC Middleweight Title | Chris Weidman | Luke Rockhold | Luke Rockhold | |
| May 23, 2015 | UFC Middleweight Title | Chris Weidman | Vitor Belfort | Chris Weidman | |
| July 5, 2014 | UFC Middleweight Title | Chris Weidman | Lyoto Machida | Chris Weidman | |
| Dec. 28, 2013 | UFC Middleweight Title | Chris Weidman | Anderson Silva | Chris Weidman | |
| July 6, 2013 | UFC Middleweight Title | Anderson Silva | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| July 11, 2012 | Middleweight | Mark Munoz | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| Jan. 28, 2012 | Middleweight | Demian Maia | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| Nov. 19, 2011 | Middleweight | Tom Lawlor | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| June 11, 2011 | Middleweight | Jesse Bongfeldt | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman | |
| March 3, 2011 | Middleweight | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman | Chris Weidman |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22, 2023 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva | Bruno Silva | |
| July 2, 2022 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Dricus Du Plessis | Dricus Du Plessis | |
| July 10, 2021 | Middleweight | Omari Akhmedov | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| Jan. 23, 2021 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Antonio Carlos Junior | Brad Tavares | |
| Nov. 2, 2019 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan | Edmen Shahbazyan | |
| July 6, 2018 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| April 14, 2018 | Middleweight | Krzysztof Jotko | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| Oct. 7, 2017 | Middleweight | Thales Leites | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| July 7, 2017 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Elias Theodorou | Brad Tavares | |
| Sept. 10, 2016 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Caio Magalhaes | Brad Tavares | |
| May 9, 2015 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker | Robert Whittaker | |
| Jan. 3, 2015 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt | Brad Tavares | |
| Aug. 16, 2014 | Middleweight | Tim Boetsch | Brad Tavares | Tim Boetsch | |
| April 19, 2014 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Yoel Romero | Yoel Romero | |
| Jan. 15, 2014 | Middleweight | Lorenz Larkin | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| Aug. 28, 2013 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel | Brad Tavares | |
| March 2, 2013 | Middleweight | Riki Fukuda | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| Sept. 29, 2012 | Middleweight | Tom Watson | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| May 15, 2012 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Dongi Yang | Brad Tavares | |
| July 2, 2011 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Aaron Simpson | Aaron Simpson | |
| Jan. 1, 2011 | Middleweight | Phil Baroni | Brad Tavares | Brad Tavares | |
| June 19, 2010 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Seth Baczynski | Brad Tavares |