Brad Katona vs. Cody Gibson - UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Brad Katona by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Elevation: 14.00m
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Brad Katona
18
13
14.9
-180
Cody Gibson
14
+146

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Brad Katona Cody Gibson
Main Stats
Age 31 35
Height 66" 70"
Reach 64" 71"
Win Percentage 87.50% 68.18%
Wins 15 20
Losses 2 9
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 2 3
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 58.37% 36.96%
Significant Striking Accuracy 51.95% 31.65%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.767 3.180
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.333 2.465
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.740
Striking Impact Differential -20.25% -18.75%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 5.25% -0.75%
Striking Output Differential -35.00% -9.75%
Significant Striking Output Differential -10.25% 8.25%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 91.96% 142.64%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 123.50% 180.00%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.98% 63.60%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.370
Takedowns per Fight 1.250 1.849
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.500 4.807
Takedown Defense 112.50% 71.43%
Takedown Accuracy 22.73% 38.46%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.017 1.701
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.533 6.631
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.950 1.208
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.433 0.567
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.850 0.863
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.650 0.641
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.883 0.197
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.033 0.296
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.383 0.690
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.333 0.789
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.467 1.307
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.233 0.789
Brad Katona History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 14, 2019 Bantamweight Brad Katona Hunter Azure Hunter Azure
May 4, 2019 Bantamweight Brad Katona Merab Dvalishvili Merab Dvalishvili
Dec. 8, 2018 Bantamweight Brad Katona Matthew Lopez Brad Katona
July 6, 2018 Ultimate Fighter 27 Featherweight Tournament Title Jay Cucciniello Brad Katona Brad Katona
Cody Gibson History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 22, 2015 Bantamweight Douglas Silva de Andrade Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade
Sept. 27, 2014 Bantamweight Manvel Gamburyan Cody Gibson Manvel Gamburyan
June 28, 2014 Bantamweight Johnny Bedford Cody Gibson Cody Gibson
Feb. 22, 2014 Bantamweight Cody Gibson Aljamain Sterling Aljamain Sterling