Kurt Holobaugh vs. Austin Hubbard - UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Kurt Holobaugh by Submission

Fight Info:
Location: Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Elevation: 14.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Austin Hubbard
19
19
17
14.9
-180
Kurt Holobaugh
+151

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Kurt Holobaugh Austin Hubbard
Main Stats
Age 36 31
Height 71" 70"
Reach 70" 71"
Win Percentage 74.07% 72.73%
Wins 21 16
Losses 7 7
Wins at Weight Class 0 3
Losses at Weight Class 1 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.88% 53.81%
Significant Striking Accuracy 41.94% 47.59%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 9.092 5.481
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.649 3.669
Knockdowns per Fight 0.344 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 10.50% 20.29%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -3.00% 8.86%
Striking Output Differential 38.25% 25.86%
Significant Striking Output Differential 25.75% 7.57%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 47.86% 77.82%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 81.77% 112.88%
Striking Defense Percentage 43.57% 58.23%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.687 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 1.374 1.351
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 3.779 2.195
Takedown Defense 133.33% 58.33%
Takedown Accuracy 36.36% 61.54%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.000 1.745
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.840 4.885
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.214 1.610
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.099 0.855
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.466 1.598
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.504 0.462
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.550 1.069
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.779 1.227
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.206 0.900
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.847 0.203
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.145 0.315
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.710 0.270
Kurt Holobaugh History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
May 11, 2019 Lightweight Thiago Moises Kurt Holobaugh Thiago Moises
Nov. 3, 2018 Featherweight Shane Burgos Kurt Holobaugh Shane Burgos
July 14, 2018 Featherweight Kurt Holobaugh Raoni Barcelos Raoni Barcelos
April 27, 2013 Featherweight Steven Siler Kurt Holobaugh Steven Siler
Austin Hubbard History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Aug. 21, 2021 Lightweight Vinc Pichel Austin Hubbard Vinc Pichel
April 17, 2021 Lightweight Austin Hubbard Dakota Bush Austin Hubbard
Aug. 22, 2020 Lightweight Austin Hubbard Joe Solecki Joe Solecki
June 20, 2020 Lightweight Austin Hubbard Max Rohskopf Austin Hubbard
March 7, 2020 Lightweight Mark Madsen Austin Hubbard Mark Madsen
Sept. 14, 2019 Lightweight Kyle Prepolec Austin Hubbard Austin Hubbard
May 18, 2019 Lightweight Davi Ramos Austin Hubbard Davi Ramos