Andre Petroski vs. Gerald Meerschaert - UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Andre Petroski by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Elevation: 14.00m
Weight Class: Middleweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Andre Petroski
26
24
18
6.9
-260
Gerald Meerschaert
+210

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Andre Petroski Gerald Meerschaert
Main Stats
Age 32 35
Height 72" 73"
Reach 73" 77"
Win Percentage 81.82% 68.63%
Wins 10 35
Losses 2 17
Wins at Weight Class 4 10
Losses at Weight Class 0 8
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.73% 49.92%
Significant Striking Accuracy 55.90% 43.84%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.177 4.270
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.640 3.112
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.318
Striking Impact Differential 22.25% -8.56%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 15.00% -2.78%
Striking Output Differential 29.00% -7.11%
Significant Striking Output Differential 18.50% -1.72%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 50.22% 96.03%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 70.19% 123.81%
Striking Defense Percentage 52.80% 52.65%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 3.391 1.694
Takedowns per Fight 5.426 2.117
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 9.495 5.610
Takedown Defense 33.33% 242.86%
Takedown Accuracy 57.14% 37.74%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.894 2.223
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.607 6.097
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.243 2.456
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.656 0.579
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.769 0.685
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.543 0.586
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.090 0.311
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.136 0.318
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.497 0.423
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.068 0.367
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.068 0.543
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.023 0.247
Andre Petroski History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 12, 2022 Middleweight Andre Petroski Wellington Turman Andre Petroski
May 14, 2022 Middleweight Nick Maximov Andre Petroski Andre Petroski
Oct. 30, 2021 Middleweight Hu Yaozong Andre Petroski Andre Petroski
Aug. 28, 2021 Middleweight Andre Petroski Micheal Gillmore Andre Petroski
Gerald Meerschaert History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
April 8, 2023 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Joe Pyfer Joe Pyfer
Aug. 13, 2022 Middleweight Bruno Silva Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
April 30, 2022 Middleweight Krzysztof Jotko Gerald Meerschaert Krzysztof Jotko
Dec. 18, 2021 Middleweight Dustin Stoltzfus Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
Aug. 28, 2021 Middleweight Makhmud Muradov Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
April 17, 2021 Middleweight Bartosz Fabinski Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
Sept. 19, 2020 Middleweight Khamzat Chimaev Gerald Meerschaert Khamzat Chimaev
June 6, 2020 Middleweight Ian Heinisch Gerald Meerschaert Ian Heinisch
March 7, 2020 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Deron Winn Gerald Meerschaert
Oct. 12, 2019 Middleweight Eryk Anders Gerald Meerschaert Eryk Anders
Aug. 3, 2019 Middleweight Trevin Giles Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
March 30, 2019 Middleweight Kevin Holland Gerald Meerschaert Kevin Holland
Dec. 15, 2018 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Jack Hermansson Jack Hermansson
July 6, 2018 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Oskar Piechota Gerald Meerschaert
Dec. 1, 2017 Middleweight Eric Spicely Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert
July 8, 2017 Middleweight Thiago Santos Gerald Meerschaert Thiago Santos
Feb. 19, 2017 Middleweight Gerald Meerschaert Ryan Janes Gerald Meerschaert
Dec. 9, 2016 Middleweight Joseph Gigliotti Gerald Meerschaert Gerald Meerschaert