The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Michael Chiesa | Kevin Holland | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 30 | 32 | |
| Height | 73" | 75" | 72" | |
| Reach | 75" | 81" | 74" | |
| Win Percentage | 75.00% | 72.73% | 78.71% | |
| Wins | 16 | 25 | ||
| Losses | 7 | 9 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 4 | 3 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 2 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 57.17% | 66.71% | 51.95% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 41.04% | 53.12% | 46.33% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.362 | 7.580 | 5.687 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 1.878 | 4.013 | 4.274 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.089 | 0.376 | 0.677 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 12.35% | 24.56% | 4.14% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 2.06% | 10.22% | 2.05% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 22.53% | 21.44% | 4.64% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 9.00% | 12.22% | 2.44% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 51.36% | 53.60% | 91.12% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 106.33% | 83.77% | 111.96% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 54.46% | 52.10% | 52.01% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.981 | 0.526 | 0.560 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 3.387 | 0.902 | 1.269 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 6.240 | 1.954 | 3.490 | |
| Takedown Defense | 65.00% | 97.67% | 67.32% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 54.29% | 46.15% | 36.16% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.391 | 2.265 | 2.834 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 3.940 | 5.301 | 7.027 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.903 | 1.658 | 2.435 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.357 | 0.721 | 0.807 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.493 | 1.082 | 1.153 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.398 | 0.782 | 0.820 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.131 | 1.027 | 0.634 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.143 | 1.172 | 0.756 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.368 | 0.651 | 0.647 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.238 | 0.446 | 0.414 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.333 | 0.606 | 0.572 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.238 | 0.361 | 0.389 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 20, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Sean Brady | Sean Brady | |
| Aug. 7, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Vicente Luque | Vicente Luque | |
| Jan. 20, 2021 | Welterweight | Michael Chiesa | Neil Magny | Michael Chiesa | |
| Jan. 25, 2020 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| July 6, 2019 | Welterweight | Diego Sanchez | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| Dec. 29, 2018 | Welterweight | Carlos Condit | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| July 7, 2018 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Anthony Pettis | Anthony Pettis | |
| June 25, 2017 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Kevin Lee | Kevin Lee | |
| April 16, 2016 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| Dec. 10, 2015 | Lightweight | Jim Miller | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| April 4, 2015 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Mitch Clarke | Michael Chiesa | |
| Sept. 5, 2014 | Lightweight | Joe Lauzon | Michael Chiesa | Joe Lauzon | |
| May 24, 2014 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Francisco Trinaldo | Michael Chiesa | |
| Nov. 6, 2013 | Lightweight | Colton Smith | Michael Chiesa | Michael Chiesa | |
| July 27, 2013 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Jorge Masvidal | Jorge Masvidal | |
| Feb. 23, 2013 | Lightweight | Michael Chiesa | Anton Kuivanen | Michael Chiesa | |
| June 1, 2012 | Ultimate Fighter 15 Lightweight Tournament Title | Michael Chiesa | Al Iaquinta | Michael Chiesa |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 8, 2023 | Welterweight | Kevin Holland | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Kevin Holland | |
| Dec. 3, 2022 | Welterweight | Stephen Thompson | Kevin Holland | Stephen Thompson | |
| Sept. 10, 2022 | Catch Weight | Khamzat Chimaev | Kevin Holland | Khamzat Chimaev | |
| June 18, 2022 | Welterweight | Tim Means | Kevin Holland | Kevin Holland | |
| March 5, 2022 | Welterweight | Kevin Holland | Alex Oliveira | Kevin Holland | |
| Oct. 2, 2021 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Kyle Daukaus | None | |
| April 10, 2021 | Middleweight | Marvin Vettori | Kevin Holland | Marvin Vettori | |
| March 20, 2021 | Middleweight | Derek Brunson | Kevin Holland | Derek Brunson | |
| Dec. 12, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Jacare Souza | Kevin Holland | |
| Oct. 31, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Charlie Ontiveros | Kevin Holland | |
| Sept. 19, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Darren Stewart | Kevin Holland | |
| Aug. 8, 2020 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Joaquin Buckley | Kevin Holland | |
| May 16, 2020 | Middleweight | Anthony Hernandez | Kevin Holland | Kevin Holland | |
| Oct. 18, 2019 | Middleweight | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland | Brendan Allen | |
| June 22, 2019 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Alessio Di Chirico | Kevin Holland | |
| March 30, 2019 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | Gerald Meerschaert | Kevin Holland | |
| Nov. 24, 2018 | Middleweight | Kevin Holland | John Phillips | Kevin Holland | |
| Aug. 4, 2018 | Middleweight | Thiago Santos | Kevin Holland | Thiago Santos |