The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Jan Blachowicz | Alex Pereira | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 40 | 36 | 33 | |
| Height | 74" | 76" | 74" | |
| Reach | 78" | 79" | 77" | |
| Win Percentage | 76.32% | 77.78% | 78.04% | |
| Wins | 29 | 8 | ||
| Losses | 10 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 10 | 0 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 5 | 0 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 57.70% | 66.12% | 55.11% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 49.47% | 59.29% | 49.78% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.961 | 7.445 | 5.320 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.410 | 5.233 | 4.025 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.365 | 0.553 | 0.552 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -1.68% | 29.20% | 3.45% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 7.84% | 16.00% | 4.81% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -2.47% | 19.60% | 7.22% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 8.89% | 6.80% | 8.69% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 74.53% | 63.12% | 74.11% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 99.76% | 84.86% | 95.69% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 54.79% | 54.16% | 48.77% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.243 | 0.000 | 0.408 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.972 | 0.276 | 1.217 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 1.822 | 0.276 | 2.902 | |
| Takedown Defense | 45.00% | 35.71% | 73.84% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 53.33% | 100.00% | 32.86% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.122 | 2.193 | 2.587 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.184 | 4.828 | 6.202 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.729 | 2.027 | 2.225 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.761 | 1.843 | 0.829 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.077 | 2.285 | 1.124 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.494 | 0.903 | 0.711 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.527 | 1.198 | 0.608 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.632 | 1.714 | 0.734 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.583 | 0.829 | 0.577 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.413 | 0.792 | 0.556 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.571 | 0.977 | 0.738 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.292 | 0.221 | 0.492 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 10, 2022 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jan Blachowicz | Magomed Ankalaev | None | |
| May 14, 2022 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Aleksandar Rakic | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Oct. 30, 2021 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jan Blachowicz | Glover Teixeira | Glover Teixeira | |
| March 6, 2021 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jan Blachowicz | Israel Adesanya | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Sept. 26, 2020 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Dominick Reyes | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Feb. 15, 2020 | Light Heavyweight | Corey Anderson | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Nov. 16, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Jacare Souza | Jan Blachowicz | |
| July 6, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Luke Rockhold | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Feb. 23, 2019 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Thiago Santos | Thiago Santos | |
| Sept. 15, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov | Jan Blachowicz | |
| March 17, 2018 | Light Heavyweight | Jimi Manuwa | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Dec. 16, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Jared Cannonier | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Oct. 21, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Devin Clark | Jan Blachowicz | |
| April 8, 2017 | Light Heavyweight | Patrick Cummins | Jan Blachowicz | Patrick Cummins | |
| Sept. 3, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Alexander Gustafsson | Jan Blachowicz | Alexander Gustafsson | |
| April 10, 2016 | Light Heavyweight | Igor Pokrajac | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Sept. 5, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Jan Blachowicz | Corey Anderson | Corey Anderson | |
| April 11, 2015 | Light Heavyweight | Jimi Manuwa | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa | |
| Oct. 4, 2014 | Light Heavyweight | Ilir Latifi | Jan Blachowicz | Jan Blachowicz |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 8, 2023 | UFC Middleweight Title | Alex Pereira | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| Nov. 12, 2022 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
| July 2, 2022 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
| March 12, 2022 | Middleweight | Alex Pereira | Bruno Silva | Alex Pereira | |
| Nov. 6, 2021 | Middleweight | Alex Pereira | Andreas Michailidis | Alex Pereira |