CJ Vergara vs. Vinicius Salvador - UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: CJ Vergara by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah, USA
Elevation: 1300.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
CJ Vergara
23
8
15
16.2
-170
Vinicius Salvador
+136

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat CJ Vergara Vinicius Salvador
Main Stats
Age 32 27
Height 66" 67"
Reach 68" 70"
Win Percentage 73.33% 73.68%
Wins 12 14
Losses 4 6
Wins at Weight Class 2 0
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 64.95% 49.40%
Significant Striking Accuracy 57.08% 36.15%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.350 5.533
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.498 3.133
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 35.00% -26.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 9.00% -15.00%
Striking Output Differential 23.00% -3.00%
Significant Striking Output Differential -6.00% 12.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 65.84% 74.70%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 97.74% 119.15%
Striking Defense Percentage 53.06% 47.46%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.310 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 6.000
Takedown Defense 41.18% 15.79%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 16.67%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.038 1.733
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.490 6.800
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.018 1.867
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.860 1.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.460 1.400
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.302 0.933
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.599 0.400
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.682 0.467
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.434 1.333
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.537 0.267
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.765 0.467
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.310 0.267
CJ Vergara History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 25, 2023 Flyweight CJ Vergara Daniel Lacerda CJ Vergara
Oct. 15, 2022 Flyweight Tatsuro Taira CJ Vergara Tatsuro Taira
May 7, 2022 Flyweight Kleydson Rodrigues CJ Vergara CJ Vergara
Nov. 6, 2021 Flyweight CJ Vergara Ode Osbourne Ode Osbourne
Vinicius Salvador History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 25, 2023 Flyweight Victor Altamirano Vinicius Salvador Victor Altamirano