Jalin Turner vs. Dan Hooker - UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Dan Hooker by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 609.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jalin Turner
26
22
19
8.6
-240
Dan Hooker
+195

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jalin Turner Dan Hooker
Main Stats
Age 28 33
Height 75" 72"
Reach 77" 75"
Win Percentage 68.42% 64.71%
Wins 13 23
Losses 7 12
Wins at Weight Class 5 9
Losses at Weight Class 2 4
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 50.76% 54.57%
Significant Striking Accuracy 45.53% 47.41%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.386 6.678
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.045 4.830
Knockdowns per Fight 1.197 0.616
Striking Impact Differential 10.33% 12.35%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 11.22% 2.15%
Striking Output Differential 35.22% 17.20%
Significant Striking Output Differential 36.22% 5.90%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 41.00% 75.79%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 48.42% 102.98%
Striking Defense Percentage 41.58% 51.90%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.676 0.308
Takedowns per Fight 0.719 0.847
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.197 2.310
Takedown Defense 34.48% 23.33%
Takedown Accuracy 60.00% 36.67%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.385 3.023
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 8.765 7.607
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.756 3.224
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.437 0.775
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.028 1.206
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.543 0.801
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.224 1.032
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.287 1.376
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 1.134 0.585
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.447 0.380
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.671 0.637
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.240 0.390
Jalin Turner History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 4, 2023 Lightweight Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner Mateusz Gamrot
July 2, 2022 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
March 5, 2022 Lightweight Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey Jalin Turner
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Uros Medic Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Sept. 12, 2020 Catch Weight Brok Weaver Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Jalin Turner Josh Culibao Jalin Turner
April 13, 2019 Lightweight Jalin Turner Matt Frevola Matt Frevola
Feb. 9, 2019 Lightweight Callan Potter Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Oct. 6, 2018 Welterweight Vicente Luque Jalin Turner Vicente Luque
Dan Hooker History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 12, 2022 Lightweight Dan Hooker Claudio Puelles Dan Hooker
March 19, 2022 Featherweight Arnold Allen Dan Hooker Arnold Allen
Oct. 30, 2021 Lightweight Islam Makhachev Dan Hooker Islam Makhachev
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Dan Hooker Nasrat Haqparast Dan Hooker
Jan. 23, 2021 Lightweight Dan Hooker Michael Chandler Michael Chandler
June 27, 2020 Lightweight Dustin Poirier Dan Hooker Dustin Poirier
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Paul Felder Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Oct. 5, 2019 Lightweight Al Iaquinta Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
July 20, 2019 Lightweight James Vick Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Edson Barboza Dan Hooker Edson Barboza
July 7, 2018 Lightweight Dan Hooker Gilbert Burns Dan Hooker
April 21, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Dec. 30, 2017 Lightweight Dan Hooker Marc Diakiese Dan Hooker
June 10, 2017 Lightweight Dan Hooker Ross Pearson Dan Hooker
Nov. 26, 2016 Featherweight Dan Hooker Jason Knight Jason Knight
March 19, 2016 Featherweight Dan Hooker Mark Eddiva Dan Hooker
Oct. 3, 2015 Featherweight Yair Rodriguez Dan Hooker Yair Rodriguez
May 9, 2015 Featherweight Hatsu Hioki Dan Hooker Dan Hooker
Sept. 20, 2014 Featherweight Maximo Blanco Dan Hooker Maximo Blanco
June 28, 2014 Featherweight Dan Hooker Ian Entwistle Dan Hooker