Diana Belbita vs. Maria Oliveira - UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Diana Belbita by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Elevation: 302.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Diana Belbita
16
11
15
24.2
-108
Maria Oliveira
-115

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Diana Belbita Maria Oliveira
Main Stats
Age 26 26
Height 67" 66"
Reach 68" 69"
Win Percentage 66.67% 68.42%
Wins 15 13
Losses 7 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 1
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 45.69% 42.01%
Significant Striking Accuracy 42.40% 38.95%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 7.545 6.311
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.434 5.444
Knockdowns per Fight 0.314 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 2.75% -18.67%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 3.00% 7.67%
Striking Output Differential 33.25% 43.33%
Significant Striking Output Differential 31.50% 74.67%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 85.00% 72.54%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 98.70% 74.69%
Striking Defense Percentage 50.67% 45.19%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.000 0.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.629 0.667
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.257 1.333
Takedown Defense 47.06% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 50.00% 50.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 3.605 3.444
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 11.715 11.089
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 4.464 3.578
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.572 1.111
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.054 1.711
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.257 0.622
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.257 0.889
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.404 1.178
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.461 0.733
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.880 0.200
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.320 0.222
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.922 0.333
Diana Belbita History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 19, 2022 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Gloria de Paula Gloria de Paula
July 24, 2021 Women's Strawweight Diana Belbita Hannah Goldy Diana Belbita
July 15, 2020 Women's Flyweight Diana Belbita Liana Jojua Liana Jojua
Oct. 18, 2019 Women's Flyweight Molly McCann Diana Belbita Molly McCann
Maria Oliveira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 19, 2022 Women's Strawweight Vanessa Demopoulos Maria Oliveira Vanessa Demopoulos
June 18, 2022 Women's Strawweight Maria Oliveira Gloria de Paula Maria Oliveira
Oct. 23, 2021 Women's Strawweight Tabatha Ricci Maria Oliveira Tabatha Ricci