Charles Oliveira vs. Beneil Dariush - UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Charles Oliveira by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Elevation: 302.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Charles Oliveira
1
+110
Beneil Dariush
19
15
22.6
-130

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Charles Oliveira Beneil Dariush
Main Stats
Age 33 34
Height 70" 70"
Reach 74" 72"
Win Percentage 78.57% 84.62%
Wins 34 22
Losses 9 5
Wins at Weight Class 12 16
Losses at Weight Class 4 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 61.52% 53.73%
Significant Striking Accuracy 53.45% 49.22%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.065 5.010
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.483 3.808
Knockdowns per Fight 0.487 0.526
Striking Impact Differential 4.84% 12.24%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 1.97% 11.95%
Striking Output Differential 2.42% 16.29%
Significant Striking Output Differential -0.58% 14.43%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 69.41% 77.60%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 97.60% 96.32%
Striking Defense Percentage 51.51% 58.98%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 2.783 0.902
Takedowns per Fight 2.365 1.954
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.844 5.712
Takedown Defense 80.00% 24.32%
Takedown Accuracy 40.48% 34.21%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.999 2.330
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 4.480 5.812
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.333 1.543
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.965 0.887
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.396 1.253
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.594 0.737
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.519 0.591
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.640 0.671
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.274 0.271
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.728 0.616
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.983 0.927
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.315 0.401
Charles Oliveira History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 UFC Lightweight Title Charles Oliveira Islam Makhachev Islam Makhachev
May 7, 2022 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Justin Gaethje Charles Oliveira
Dec. 11, 2021 UFC Lightweight Title Charles Oliveira Dustin Poirier Charles Oliveira
May 15, 2021 UFC Lightweight Title Charles Oliveira Michael Chandler Charles Oliveira
Dec. 12, 2020 Lightweight Tony Ferguson Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
March 14, 2020 Lightweight Kevin Lee Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Nov. 16, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Jared Gordon Charles Oliveira
May 18, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Nik Lentz Charles Oliveira
Feb. 2, 2019 Lightweight Charles Oliveira David Teymur Charles Oliveira
Dec. 15, 2018 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Sept. 22, 2018 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Christos Giagos Charles Oliveira
June 9, 2018 Lightweight Clay Guida Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Dec. 2, 2017 Lightweight Charles Oliveira Paul Felder Paul Felder
April 8, 2017 Lightweight Will Brooks Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Nov. 5, 2016 Featherweight Ricardo Lamas Charles Oliveira Ricardo Lamas
Aug. 27, 2016 Featherweight Anthony Pettis Charles Oliveira Anthony Pettis
Dec. 19, 2015 Featherweight Charles Oliveira Myles Jury Charles Oliveira
Aug. 23, 2015 Featherweight Max Holloway Charles Oliveira Max Holloway
May 30, 2015 Featherweight Nik Lentz Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Dec. 12, 2014 Featherweight Jeremy Stephens Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
June 28, 2014 Featherweight Hatsu Hioki Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Feb. 15, 2014 Featherweight Charles Oliveira Andy Ogle Charles Oliveira
July 6, 2013 Featherweight Frankie Edgar Charles Oliveira Frankie Edgar
Sept. 22, 2012 Featherweight Cub Swanson Charles Oliveira Cub Swanson
June 1, 2012 Featherweight Jonathan Brookins Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Jan. 28, 2012 Featherweight Charles Oliveira Eric Wisely Charles Oliveira
Aug. 14, 2011 Lightweight Donald Cerrone Charles Oliveira Donald Cerrone
June 26, 2011 Lightweight Nik Lentz Charles Oliveira None
Dec. 11, 2010 Lightweight Jim Miller Charles Oliveira Jim Miller
Sept. 15, 2010 Lightweight Efrain Escudero Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Aug. 1, 2010 Lightweight Darren Elkins Charles Oliveira Charles Oliveira
Beneil Dariush History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot Beneil Dariush
May 15, 2021 Lightweight Tony Ferguson Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Feb. 6, 2021 Lightweight Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Aug. 8, 2020 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Scott Holtzman Beneil Dariush
March 7, 2020 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drakkar Klose Beneil Dariush
Oct. 26, 2019 Lightweight Frank Camacho Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
March 9, 2019 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Drew Dober Beneil Dariush
Nov. 10, 2018 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush
March 3, 2018 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Alexander Hernandez Alexander Hernandez
Oct. 7, 2017 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Evan Dunham None
March 11, 2017 Lightweight Edson Barboza Beneil Dariush Edson Barboza
Nov. 5, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Rashid Magomedov Beneil Dariush
June 4, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush James Vick Beneil Dariush
April 16, 2016 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Michael Chiesa Michael Chiesa
Aug. 8, 2015 Lightweight Michael Johnson Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
April 18, 2015 Lightweight Jim Miller Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
March 14, 2015 Lightweight Daron Cruickshank Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Oct. 25, 2014 Lightweight Diego Ferreira Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush
Aug. 23, 2014 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Anthony Rocco Martin Beneil Dariush
April 11, 2014 Lightweight Ramsey Nijem Beneil Dariush Ramsey Nijem
Jan. 15, 2014 Lightweight Charlie Brenneman Beneil Dariush Beneil Dariush