The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Drew Dober | Matt Frevola | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 34 | 32 | 31 | |
| Height | 68" | 69" | 70" | |
| Reach | 70" | 71" | 72" | |
| Win Percentage | 70.27% | 76.92% | 80.42% | |
| Wins | 26 | 11 | ||
| Losses | 12 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 11 | 4 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 7 | 4 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 45.74% | 47.10% | 49.10% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 40.11% | 41.70% | 43.43% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.752 | 4.621 | 5.410 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.466 | 3.604 | 3.958 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.711 | 1.122 | 1.628 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -2.40% | -2.63% | 1.49% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 0.55% | -0.50% | 0.25% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 14.05% | -7.75% | 3.16% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 17.35% | -3.63% | 1.61% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 84.76% | 125.57% | 90.83% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 104.77% | 150.21% | 113.70% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 51.53% | 59.64% | 49.48% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.089 | 0.673 | 0.472 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.711 | 2.243 | 1.643 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.087 | 6.281 | 4.389 | |
| Takedown Defense | 80.65% | 150.00% | 84.40% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 17.39% | 35.71% | 29.72% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.926 | 2.498 | 2.648 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 8.992 | 6.805 | 6.539 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 3.086 | 2.632 | 2.296 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.948 | 0.583 | 0.736 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.386 | 1.241 | 1.078 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.960 | 0.718 | 0.762 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.592 | 0.523 | 0.574 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.758 | 0.598 | 0.680 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.355 | 0.314 | 0.563 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.575 | 0.374 | 0.371 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.877 | 0.688 | 0.528 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.474 | 0.299 | 0.389 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 17, 2022 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | King Green | Drew Dober | |
| July 30, 2022 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Rafael Alves | Drew Dober | |
| March 12, 2022 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Terrance McKinney | Drew Dober | |
| June 12, 2021 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Brad Riddell | Brad Riddell | |
| March 6, 2021 | Lightweight | Islam Makhachev | Drew Dober | Islam Makhachev | |
| May 13, 2020 | Lightweight | Alexander Hernandez | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| Jan. 18, 2020 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Nasrat Haqparast | Drew Dober | |
| June 29, 2019 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Marco Polo Reyes | Drew Dober | |
| March 9, 2019 | Lightweight | Beneil Dariush | Drew Dober | Beneil Dariush | |
| Aug. 25, 2018 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Jon Tuck | Drew Dober | |
| Jan. 27, 2018 | Welterweight | Drew Dober | Frank Camacho | Drew Dober | |
| July 29, 2017 | Lightweight | Joshua Burkman | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| Dec. 10, 2016 | Lightweight | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Drew Dober | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | |
| Sept. 10, 2016 | Lightweight | Drew Dober | Jason Gonzalez | Drew Dober | |
| Jan. 2, 2016 | Lightweight | Scott Holtzman | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| June 13, 2015 | Lightweight | Efrain Escudero | Drew Dober | Efrain Escudero | |
| March 21, 2015 | Lightweight | Leandro Silva | Drew Dober | None | |
| Dec. 13, 2014 | Lightweight | Jamie Varner | Drew Dober | Drew Dober | |
| May 31, 2014 | Lightweight | Nick Hein | Drew Dober | Nick Hein | |
| Nov. 30, 2013 | Welterweight | Sean Spencer | Drew Dober | Sean Spencer |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 12, 2022 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Ottman Azaitar | Matt Frevola | |
| Jan. 22, 2022 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Genaro Valdez | Matt Frevola | |
| June 12, 2021 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Terrance McKinney | Terrance McKinney | |
| Jan. 23, 2021 | Lightweight | Arman Tsarukyan | Matt Frevola | Arman Tsarukyan | |
| Oct. 12, 2019 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Luis Pena | Matt Frevola | |
| April 13, 2019 | Lightweight | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola | Matt Frevola | |
| Nov. 3, 2018 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Lando Vannata | None | |
| Jan. 14, 2018 | Lightweight | Matt Frevola | Marco Polo Reyes | Marco Polo Reyes |