Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs. Luana Pinheiro - UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Luana Pinheiro by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Miami, Florida, USA
Elevation: 2.00m
Weight Class: Women's Strawweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
+150
Luana Pinheiro
13
15
9.3
-185

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Michelle Waterson-Gomez Luana Pinheiro
Main Stats
Age 37 30
Height 63" 62"
Reach 62" 62"
Win Percentage 64.29% 90.91%
Wins 18 11
Losses 11 1
Wins at Weight Class 6 2
Losses at Weight Class 5 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 54.40% 44.16%
Significant Striking Accuracy 47.87% 41.98%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.062 5.294
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.794 4.619
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.779
Striking Impact Differential -9.92% 4.50%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -9.58% 9.00%
Striking Output Differential -13.25% 16.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential -12.08% 21.00%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.18% 102.94%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 113.28% 111.24%
Striking Defense Percentage 49.24% 58.24%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.665 0.779
Takedowns per Fight 1.329 5.450
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 4.486 7.007
Takedown Defense 47.06% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 29.63% 77.78%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 1.783 3.218
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.051 8.824
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 2.249 1.817
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.108 0.934
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.584 1.557
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.202 0.623
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.903 0.467
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.290 0.623
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.980 1.246
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.709 0.467
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.864 0.571
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.997 0.415
Michelle Waterson-Gomez History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 16, 2022 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Amanda Lemos Amanda Lemos
May 8, 2021 Women's Flyweight Marina Rodriguez Michelle Waterson-Gomez Marina Rodriguez
Sept. 12, 2020 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Angela Hill Michelle Waterson-Gomez
May 9, 2020 Women's Strawweight Carla Esparza Michelle Waterson-Gomez Carla Esparza
Oct. 12, 2019 Women's Strawweight Joanna Jedrzejczyk Michelle Waterson-Gomez Joanna Jedrzejczyk
March 30, 2019 Women's Strawweight Karolina Kowalkiewicz Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Oct. 6, 2018 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson-Gomez
April 14, 2018 Women's Strawweight Michelle Waterson-Gomez Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Dec. 2, 2017 Women's Strawweight Tecia Pennington Michelle Waterson-Gomez Tecia Pennington
April 15, 2017 Women's Strawweight Rose Namajunas Michelle Waterson-Gomez Rose Namajunas
Dec. 17, 2016 Women's Strawweight Paige VanZant Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
July 12, 2015 Women's Strawweight Angela Magana Michelle Waterson-Gomez Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Luana Pinheiro History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 20, 2021 Women's Strawweight Luana Pinheiro Sam Hughes Luana Pinheiro
May 1, 2021 Women's Strawweight Randa Markos Luana Pinheiro Luana Pinheiro