Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Trey Ogden - UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Ignacio Bahamondes by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Miami, Florida, USA
Elevation: 2.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Ignacio Bahamondes
27
17
7.7
-250
Nikolas Motta
+195

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Ignacio Bahamondes Trey Ogden
Main Stats
Age 25 33
Height 75" 71"
Reach 75" 72"
Win Percentage 76.47% 76.19%
Wins 14 16
Losses 4 5
Wins at Weight Class 0 0
Losses at Weight Class 0 0
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 47.83% 57.55%
Significant Striking Accuracy 46.73% 43.41%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.994 6.733
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.249 3.733
Knockdowns per Fight 0.361 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 38.33% 13.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 38.67% -4.50%
Striking Output Differential 70.00% 1.50%
Significant Striking Output Differential 68.33% -12.50%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 83.69% 85.15%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 88.05% 144.64%
Striking Defense Percentage 57.09% 57.24%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.721 1.000
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.000
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 1.443 6.500
Takedown Defense 6.67% 100.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 15.38%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 4.858 1.067
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 13.563 5.167
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 3.679 0.833
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.876 1.000
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 2.309 1.400
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.058 1.067
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 1.515 1.667
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 1.780 2.033
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.721 2.133
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.529 0.033
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.649 0.033
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.409 0.000
Ignacio Bahamondes History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Feb. 26, 2022 Lightweight Rongzhu Ignacio Bahamondes Ignacio Bahamondes
Aug. 21, 2021 Lightweight Roosevelt Roberts Ignacio Bahamondes Ignacio Bahamondes
April 10, 2021 Lightweight John Makdessi Ignacio Bahamondes John Makdessi
Trey Ogden History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Sept. 17, 2022 Lightweight Trey Ogden Daniel Zellhuber Trey Ogden
April 16, 2022 Lightweight Jordan Leavitt Trey Ogden Jordan Leavitt