Gilbert Burns vs. Jorge Masvidal - UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Gilbert Burns by Decision - Unanimous

Fight Info:
Location: Miami, Florida, USA
Elevation: 2.00m
Weight Class: Welterweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Gilbert Burns
33
16
-2.7
-450
Jorge Masvidal
+325

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Gilbert Burns Jorge Masvidal
Main Stats
Age 36 38
Height 70" 71"
Reach 71" 74"
Win Percentage 80.77% 68.63%
Wins 22 35
Losses 5 17
Wins at Weight Class 7 7
Losses at Weight Class 1 5
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.82% 56.67%
Significant Striking Accuracy 48.35% 49.74%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.095 5.660
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.418 4.059
Knockdowns per Fight 0.280 0.485
Striking Impact Differential 9.26% 5.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 2.84% 12.95%
Striking Output Differential 8.16% 3.95%
Significant Striking Output Differential 0.74% 12.10%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 77.91% 77.87%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 112.30% 102.65%
Striking Defense Percentage 54.80% 57.48%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.630 0.377
Takedowns per Fight 2.031 0.915
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 5.744 1.723
Takedown Defense 109.09% 39.76%
Takedown Accuracy 35.37% 53.13%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.060 2.444
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.314 6.004
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.994 1.834
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.761 0.980
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.976 1.285
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.584 0.764
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.598 0.635
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.780 0.872
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.588 0.485
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.374 0.721
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.556 0.948
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.327 0.409
Gilbert Burns History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Jan. 21, 2023 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Neil Magny Gilbert Burns
April 9, 2022 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Khamzat Chimaev Khamzat Chimaev
July 10, 2021 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Stephen Thompson Gilbert Burns
Feb. 13, 2021 UFC Welterweight Title Kamaru Usman Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman
May 30, 2020 Welterweight Tyron Woodley Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
March 14, 2020 Welterweight Demian Maia Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Sept. 28, 2019 Welterweight Gunnar Nelson Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Aug. 10, 2019 Welterweight Gilbert Burns Aleksei Kunchenko Gilbert Burns
April 27, 2019 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Mike Davis Gilbert Burns
Dec. 8, 2018 Lightweight Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
July 7, 2018 Lightweight Dan Hooker Gilbert Burns Dan Hooker
April 14, 2018 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Dan Moret Gilbert Burns
Sept. 16, 2017 Lightweight Jason Saggo Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Sept. 24, 2016 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Michel Prazeres Michel Prazeres
July 7, 2016 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Lukasz Sajewski Gilbert Burns
Nov. 7, 2015 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Rashid Magomedov Rashid Magomedov
March 21, 2015 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Alex Oliveira Gilbert Burns
Oct. 25, 2014 Lightweight Gilbert Burns Christos Giagos Gilbert Burns
July 26, 2014 Welterweight Andreas Stahl Gilbert Burns Gilbert Burns
Jorge Masvidal History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
March 5, 2022 Welterweight Colby Covington Jorge Masvidal Colby Covington
April 24, 2021 UFC Welterweight Title Kamaru Usman Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman
July 11, 2020 UFC Welterweight Title Kamaru Usman Jorge Masvidal Kamaru Usman
Nov. 2, 2019 Welterweight Jorge Masvidal Nate Diaz Jorge Masvidal
July 6, 2019 Welterweight Jorge Masvidal Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal
March 16, 2019 Welterweight Darren Till Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
Nov. 4, 2017 Welterweight Stephen Thompson Jorge Masvidal Stephen Thompson
May 13, 2017 Welterweight Demian Maia Jorge Masvidal Demian Maia
Jan. 28, 2017 Welterweight Donald Cerrone Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
Dec. 3, 2016 Welterweight Jake Ellenberger Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
July 30, 2016 Welterweight Ross Pearson Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
May 29, 2016 Welterweight Jorge Masvidal Lorenz Larkin Lorenz Larkin
Nov. 28, 2015 Welterweight Benson Henderson Jorge Masvidal Benson Henderson
July 12, 2015 Welterweight Jorge Masvidal Cezar Ferreira Jorge Masvidal
April 4, 2015 Lightweight Jorge Masvidal Al Iaquinta Al Iaquinta
Sept. 27, 2014 Lightweight Jorge Masvidal James Krause Jorge Masvidal
July 26, 2014 Lightweight Daron Cruickshank Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
April 19, 2014 Lightweight Jorge Masvidal Pat Healy Jorge Masvidal
Nov. 6, 2013 Lightweight Jorge Masvidal Rustam Khabilov Rustam Khabilov
July 27, 2013 Lightweight Michael Chiesa Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal
April 20, 2013 Lightweight Tim Means Jorge Masvidal Jorge Masvidal