The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Alex Pereira | Israel Adesanya | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 35 | 33 | 34 | |
| Height | 76" | 76" | 75" | |
| Reach | 79" | 80" | 78" | |
| Win Percentage | 87.50% | 92.00% | 88.61% | |
| Wins | 7 | 24 | ||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 67.49% | 54.13% | 55.61% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 59.64% | 50.17% | 50.75% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 7.904 | 4.678 | 5.623 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.232 | 3.926 | 4.368 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.668 | 0.698 | 0.752 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | 34.50% | 15.64% | 21.43% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 18.00% | 20.79% | 19.19% | |
| Striking Output Differential | 27.25% | 14.36% | 17.08% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 11.25% | 20.64% | 15.06% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 56.34% | 86.25% | 89.88% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 79.15% | 99.51% | 108.23% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 53.30% | 58.27% | 60.68% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.000 | 0.174 | 0.191 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 0.334 | 0.058 | 0.348 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 0.334 | 0.407 | 0.812 | |
| Takedown Defense | 35.71% | 28.36% | 30.06% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 100.00% | 14.29% | 25.24% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 2.471 | 1.981 | 2.473 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 5.210 | 5.352 | 6.203 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 2.048 | 1.601 | 1.795 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.892 | 0.705 | 0.930 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 2.293 | 1.027 | 1.252 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.779 | 0.601 | 0.569 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.868 | 1.240 | 0.965 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 1.269 | 1.446 | 1.160 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.802 | 0.597 | 0.614 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.935 | 0.233 | 0.466 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 1.135 | 0.295 | 0.604 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.267 | 0.256 | 0.250 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 12, 2022 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
| July 2, 2022 | Middleweight | Sean Strickland | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
| March 12, 2022 | Middleweight | Alex Pereira | Bruno Silva | Alex Pereira | |
| Nov. 6, 2021 | Middleweight | Alex Pereira | Andreas Michailidis | Alex Pereira |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 12, 2022 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Alex Pereira | Alex Pereira | |
| July 2, 2022 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Jared Cannonier | Israel Adesanya | |
| Feb. 12, 2022 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Robert Whittaker | Israel Adesanya | |
| June 12, 2021 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori | Israel Adesanya | |
| March 6, 2021 | UFC Light Heavyweight Title | Jan Blachowicz | Israel Adesanya | Jan Blachowicz | |
| Sept. 26, 2020 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Paulo Costa | Israel Adesanya | |
| March 7, 2020 | UFC Middleweight Title | Israel Adesanya | Yoel Romero | Israel Adesanya | |
| Oct. 5, 2019 | UFC Middleweight Title | Robert Whittaker | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| April 13, 2019 | UFC Interim Middleweight Title | Kelvin Gastelum | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| Feb. 9, 2019 | Middleweight | Israel Adesanya | Anderson Silva | Israel Adesanya | |
| Nov. 3, 2018 | Middleweight | Derek Brunson | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| July 6, 2018 | Middleweight | Brad Tavares | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya | |
| April 14, 2018 | Middleweight | Israel Adesanya | Marvin Vettori | Israel Adesanya | |
| Feb. 10, 2018 | Middleweight | Rob Wilkinson | Israel Adesanya | Israel Adesanya |