The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.
Basic Prediction
This prediction was made before July 20th, 2024 and does not include detailed insights.
| Stat | Leon Edwards | Kamaru Usman | Weight Class Average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Stats | ||||
| Age | 31 | 35 | 35 | |
| Height | 74" | 72" | 72" | |
| Reach | 74" | 76" | 75" | |
| Win Percentage | 86.96% | 90.91% | 88.69% | |
| Wins | 21 | 20 | ||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | ||
| Wins at Weight Class | 1 | 6 | ||
| Losses at Weight Class | 0 | 1 | ||
| Striking Stats | ||||
| Striking Accuracy | 57.92% | 65.35% | 60.72% | |
| Significant Striking Accuracy | 50.58% | 53.09% | 50.23% | |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.680 | 8.235 | 6.815 | |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.585 | 4.552 | 3.999 | |
| Knockdowns per Fight | 0.316 | 0.548 | 0.422 | |
| Striking Impact Differential | -17.13% | 84.06% | 47.75% | |
| Significant Striking Impact Differential | 4.80% | 34.06% | 23.74% | |
| Striking Output Differential | -19.47% | 97.69% | 61.05% | |
| Significant Striking Output Differential | 3.80% | 44.38% | 34.58% | |
| Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 76.66% | 43.35% | 55.77% | |
| Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio | 100.16% | 75.14% | 85.48% | |
| Striking Defense Percentage | 53.15% | 57.17% | 56.78% | |
| Takedown and Submission Stats | ||||
| Submissions per Fight | 0.379 | 0.110 | 0.226 | |
| Takedowns per Fight | 1.390 | 3.012 | 2.626 | |
| Takedowns Attempted per Fight | 4.105 | 6.242 | 5.653 | |
| Takedown Defense | 46.30% | 2.86% | 57.35% | |
| Takedown Accuracy | 33.85% | 48.25% | 45.76% | |
| Head Stats | ||||
| Head Strikes Landed per Minute | 1.638 | 2.844 | 2.513 | |
| Head Strikes Attempted per Minute | 3.924 | 6.490 | 6.147 | |
| Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 1.326 | 1.489 | 1.483 | |
| Body Stats | ||||
| Body Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.560 | 1.336 | 1.032 | |
| Body Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.754 | 1.661 | 1.333 | |
| Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.598 | 0.686 | 0.659 | |
| Leg Stats | ||||
| Leg Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.387 | 0.372 | 0.454 | |
| Leg kicks Attempted per Minute | 0.434 | 0.423 | 0.537 | |
| Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute | 0.358 | 0.387 | 0.380 | |
| Clinch Stats | ||||
| Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute | 0.383 | 0.781 | 0.667 | |
| Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute | 0.472 | 0.953 | 0.836 | |
| Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute | 0.375 | 0.391 | 0.394 | |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 20, 2022 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| June 12, 2021 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Nate Diaz | Leon Edwards | |
| March 13, 2021 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Belal Muhammad | None | |
| July 20, 2019 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| March 16, 2019 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Gunnar Nelson | Leon Edwards | |
| June 23, 2018 | Welterweight | Donald Cerrone | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| March 17, 2018 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Peter Sobotta | Leon Edwards | |
| Sept. 2, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Bryan Barberena | Leon Edwards | |
| March 18, 2017 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Vicente Luque | Leon Edwards | |
| Oct. 8, 2016 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Albert Tumenov | Leon Edwards | |
| May 8, 2016 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Dominic Waters | Leon Edwards | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards | Kamaru Usman | |
| July 18, 2015 | Welterweight | Leon Edwards | Pawel Pawlak | Leon Edwards | |
| April 11, 2015 | Welterweight | Seth Baczynski | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| Nov. 8, 2014 | Welterweight | Claudio Silva | Leon Edwards | Claudio Silva |
| Date | Weight | Elevation | Red Corner | Blue Corner | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 20, 2022 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards | Leon Edwards | |
| Nov. 6, 2021 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Colby Covington | Kamaru Usman | |
| April 24, 2021 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman | |
| Feb. 13, 2021 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Gilbert Burns | Kamaru Usman | |
| July 11, 2020 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Jorge Masvidal | Kamaru Usman | |
| Dec. 14, 2019 | UFC Welterweight Title | Kamaru Usman | Colby Covington | Kamaru Usman | |
| March 2, 2019 | UFC Welterweight Title | Tyron Woodley | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| Nov. 30, 2018 | Welterweight | Rafael Dos Anjos | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| May 19, 2018 | Welterweight | Demian Maia | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| Jan. 14, 2018 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Emil Meek | Kamaru Usman | |
| Sept. 16, 2017 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Sergio Moraes | Kamaru Usman | |
| April 8, 2017 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Sean Strickland | Kamaru Usman | |
| Nov. 19, 2016 | Welterweight | Warlley Alves | Kamaru Usman | Kamaru Usman | |
| July 23, 2016 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Alexander Yakovlev | Kamaru Usman | |
| Dec. 19, 2015 | Welterweight | Kamaru Usman | Leon Edwards | Kamaru Usman | |
| July 12, 2015 | Ultimate Fighter 21 Welterweight Tournament Title | Kamaru Usman | Hayder Hassan | Kamaru Usman |