Jake Hadley vs. Malcolm Gordon - UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Jake Hadley by KO/TKO

Fight Info:
Location: London, England, United Kingdom
Elevation: 11.00m
Weight Class: Flyweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Jake Hadley
26
15
2.7
-325
Malcolm Gordon
+250

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Jake Hadley Malcolm Gordon
Main Stats
Age 26 32
Height 67" 67"
Reach 70" 71"
Win Percentage 90.00% 70.00%
Wins 10 14
Losses 1 7
Wins at Weight Class 1 2
Losses at Weight Class 1 2
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 56.60% 60.57%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.49% 44.52%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.872 4.112
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.327 1.904
Knockdowns per Fight 0.000 0.000
Striking Impact Differential 14.00% -12.60%
Significant Striking Impact Differential 5.00% -1.00%
Striking Output Differential 9.00% -4.60%
Significant Striking Output Differential -1.00% 5.80%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 84.21% 38.26%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 114.29% 75.36%
Striking Defense Percentage 56.00% 41.27%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 1.325 0.828
Takedowns per Fight 0.000 1.656
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 0.000 5.382
Takedown Defense 150.00% 1000.00%
Takedown Accuracy 0.00% 30.77%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.208 1.628
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 6.314 3.891
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.678 1.242
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 1.192 0.138
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 1.501 0.138
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.325 0.469
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.927 0.138
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.927 0.248
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.883 0.331
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.133 0.276
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.177 0.331
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.133 0.110
Jake Hadley History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Nov. 5, 2022 Flyweight Carlos Candelario Jake Hadley Jake Hadley
May 14, 2022 Flyweight Jake Hadley Allan Nascimento Allan Nascimento
Malcolm Gordon History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 Flyweight Muhammad Mokaev Malcolm Gordon Muhammad Mokaev
Feb. 5, 2022 Flyweight Malcolm Gordon Denys Bondar Malcolm Gordon
July 17, 2021 Flyweight Francisco Figueiredo Malcolm Gordon Malcolm Gordon
Nov. 28, 2020 Flyweight Sumudaerji Malcolm Gordon Sumudaerji
July 18, 2020 Bantamweight Malcolm Gordon Amir Albazi Amir Albazi