Mateusz Gamrot vs. Jalin Turner - UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Results & AI Breakdown

Winner: Mateusz Gamrot by Decision - Split

Fight Info:
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Elevation: 627.00m
Weight Class: Lightweight
Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org…

The content below shows how the model reached its conclusion for the prediction. The higher the value of the number, the more confident the model is in the prediction. The confidence scores do not perfectly correlate with accuracy. Use your judgement to see where the model may have missed the mark.

The predictions below are shown in dark grey if they were correct, incorxrect predictions are shown in red.
Predictions
W = WTAI Model O = Profit Model P = Plain Model EV = Expected Value
Fighter
Confidence
EV
Odds
W
O
P
Mateusz Gamrot
19
20
9.9
-225
Jalin Turner
+180

Weighted Scoring Report

Fight Analysis

Stat Breakdown

Stat Mateusz Gamrot Jalin Turner
Main Stats
Age 32 27
Height 70" 75"
Reach 70" 77"
Win Percentage 91.30% 72.22%
Wins 22 13
Losses 2 6
Wins at Weight Class 4 5
Losses at Weight Class 2 1
Striking Stats
Striking Accuracy 53.73% 50.52%
Significant Striking Accuracy 49.46% 46.23%
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.063 7.096
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.259 5.794
Knockdowns per Fight 0.212 1.260
Striking Impact Differential 3.17% 15.00%
Significant Striking Impact Differential -1.00% 11.25%
Striking Output Differential -18.83% 38.38%
Significant Striking Output Differential -24.17% 33.88%
Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 131.94% 42.60%
Significant Striking Defense to Offense Ratio 162.34% 50.72%
Striking Defense Percentage 61.27% 42.94%
Takedown and Submission Stats
Submissions per Fight 0.212 2.204
Takedowns per Fight 4.656 0.945
Takedowns Attempted per Fight 14.813 1.260
Takedown Defense 11.11% 28.57%
Takedown Accuracy 31.43% 75.00%
Head Stats
Head Strikes Landed per Minute 2.328 3.968
Head Strikes Attempted per Minute 5.432 10.014
Head Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.594 1.931
Body Stats
Body Strikes Landed per Minute 0.522 1.596
Body Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.720 2.204
Body Strikes Absorbed per Minute 1.129 0.672
Leg Stats
Leg Strikes Landed per Minute 0.409 0.231
Leg kicks Attempted per Minute 0.437 0.315
Leg kicks Absorbed per Minute 0.621 1.302
Clinch Stats
Clinch Strikes Landed per Minute 0.254 0.504
Clinch Strikes Attempted per Minute 0.282 0.798
Clinch Strikes Absorbed per Minute 0.085 0.273
Mateusz Gamrot History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
Oct. 22, 2022 Lightweight Beneil Dariush Mateusz Gamrot Beneil Dariush
June 25, 2022 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan Mateusz Gamrot Mateusz Gamrot
Dec. 18, 2021 Lightweight Diego Ferreira Mateusz Gamrot Mateusz Gamrot
July 17, 2021 Lightweight Jeremy Stephens Mateusz Gamrot Mateusz Gamrot
April 10, 2021 Lightweight Scott Holtzman Mateusz Gamrot Mateusz Gamrot
Oct. 17, 2020 Lightweight Mateusz Gamrot Guram Kutateladze Guram Kutateladze
Jalin Turner History:
Date Weight Red Corner Blue Corner Winner
July 2, 2022 Lightweight Brad Riddell Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
March 5, 2022 Lightweight Jalin Turner Jamie Mullarkey Jalin Turner
Sept. 25, 2021 Lightweight Uros Medic Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Sept. 12, 2020 Catch Weight Brok Weaver Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Feb. 22, 2020 Lightweight Jalin Turner Josh Culibao Jalin Turner
April 13, 2019 Lightweight Jalin Turner Matt Frevola Matt Frevola
Feb. 9, 2019 Lightweight Callan Potter Jalin Turner Jalin Turner
Oct. 6, 2018 Welterweight Vicente Luque Jalin Turner Vicente Luque